Bitcoin Forecast: The Mystery, The Future, The Present

July 4, 2019

This Bitcoin forecast article was written by Ari Herzog, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

(Source: Pxhere.com)

Executive Summary

  • Bitcoin’s transactional verifiability, yet personal privacy, lead to its rise in popularity and is what separates itself typical fiat currencies
  • Bitcoin is reliant on the people using it to become more secure, thus providing an alternative to the need for a centralized authority
  • Bitcoin traders vary on style and exchange preference based on their level of experience and tolerance for risk
  • Bitcoin’s 77.68% rise in price over three months of Bitcoin forecast earlier this year was correctly predicted by I Know First’s predictive market algorithm in January

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I Know First Evaluation Report For Bitcoin Forecasting Performance

June 26, 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Bitcoin currency pairs with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 25 June 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying our algorithm to determine the predicted direction in the given time horizon for Bitcoin currency pairs:

Bitcoin Currency Pairs Highlights:

  • The best returns were obtained in the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, providing an average return of 77.68% in the 3-months time horizon.
  • The best hit ratios were similarly obtained for the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, with the best hit ratio being 93% for the 3-months time horizon.

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Algorithmic Performance Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Waltzing With Volatility

June 12, 2019
I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

Summary:

  • Bitcoin is beginning to show signs of waning momentum after strong surge.
  • Nevertheless, despite regainging some ground, current rally unlikely to push it back to late 2017 levels.
  • Despite high volatility and uncertainty, Bitcoin price forecast bullish, with growth expected over the 2019-2020 period.

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Why Bitcoin Mining is not profitable anymore

December 13, 2018

This article was written by Mathieu Stalder, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

“The four most dangerous words in investing are: This time it’s different”.
Sir John Templeton

Novogratz With A Stark Warning
What The World’s Central Banks Are Saying About Bitcoin
The Cost Of Bitcoin Mining

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5 Most Lucrative Israeli Fintech Firms

July 12, 2018

 

 

This article was written by Kwon Sok Oh, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

 

Summary

  • Structure of the Israeli Fintech Startup Environment

  • Strengths of the Israeli Fintech Startup Environment

  • Top 5 Israeli Fintech Startups

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AMD Stock Outlook: Why Bitmain’s ASIC Miner Are Not A Threat To AMD

March 29, 2018

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First. 

Summary:

  • Ignore the rumor that China-based Bitmain’s ASIC Ether miners will affect GPU sales of AMD and Nvidia.
  • Bitmain now controls 50% of Bitcoin hash rate. It operates the two largest mining pools for Bitcoin.
  • The developers and current miners of ASIC-resistant Ether and Monero blockchain certainly do not want Bitmain to again get 50% or more of their cryptocurrency’s hash rate.
  • The core developers of GPU-based cryptocurrencies will likely continuously update their blockchain algorithm to disable highly-efficient ASIC hardware miners.
  • Consequently, Ethereum and Monero miners will remain dependent on Radeon and GeForce video cards.

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NVDA Stock Prediction: Why Nvidia Lost Market Share In Discrete GPUs Last Q4 2017

February 28, 2018

NVDA Stock Prediction

 

The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First. 

Summary:

  • Jon Peddie Research has published its Q4 2017 add-in graphics cards report.
  • Nvidia’s market share declined to 66.3% from the 70.5% share it had in Q4 2016. It was also notably lower than Q3 2017’s 72.8%.
  • This is likely due to cryptocurrency miners pushing the average selling prices of Nvidia’s GPUs so high that many gamers switched to more affordable AMD Radeon GPUs.
  • Nvidia itself suggested last January that retailers should put gamers over cryptocurrency miners.
  • In spite losing GPU market share to AMD, NVDA is still a Buy.

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