Apple Stock Forecast: Why AAPL Price Can Hit $290

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The stock price of Apple is now more than 18% higher than it was during my September 19 buy recommendation.
  • I am still endorsing AAPL as a reasonable value play investment. My 90-day price target for AAPL is $290.
  • Apple will get a decent tailwind from Black Friday and Christmas shopping sales events. Entry-level iPhones are still more attractive than flagship Android phones.
  • The Second tailwind is the release of the new MacBook Pro. It should help Apple sell more than 5.3 million Mac computers this last quarter of 2019.
  • Stronger iOS hardware sales also increase the growth of Apple’s $12.5 billion quarterly revenue from its Services segment.

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Nvidia Stock Forecast: Why You Should Buy More Shares of NVDA

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • My October 3 buy recommendation for Nvidia’s stock is already a certified winner. The stock shot up from $181.31 to over $212 by November 18 closing date.
  • NVDA has exceeded my previous 120-day price target of $200. I am still endorsing it as a buy. I’m giving it a new 120-day PT of $220.
  • The Christmas shopping quarter will help Nvidia sell more gaming video cards. I expect Q4 F2020 to deliver Gaming segment revenue of more than $1.8 billion.
  • Microsoft again selected Nvidia as its cloud AI GPU partner. The new Microsoft Azure NDv2 instance can scale up to hundreds of interconnected Nvidia Tensor Core GPUs.
  • As of of October 2019, Nvidia GPU accelerators boast over 97% usage by top 4 IaaS providers. This is consistent with May 2019’s share.

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HPQ Stock Price Prediction: Why We Should Buy More Shares of HP Inc.

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Activist investor Carl Icahn bought a $1.19 billion stake in HP Inc. He also owns 10.6% stake in Xerox. Icahn is now orchestrating a Xerox takeover attempt of HPQ.
  • It might be profitable to buy HPQ on a bet that Xerox will increase its $22 cash + stock initial bid for each HPQ share.
  • Majority of HPQ stakeholders might agree to a deal if Xerox will increase its bid to $26.
  • The other scenario is HP, Inc. will instead offer an all-stock bid to acquire Xerox. HP Inc. has tried before before to buy Xerox.
  • Whatever happens, HP Inc. does not really need Xerox. It already owns the laser printer/copier business of Samsung.

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FB Stock Forecast: Why Facebook Launched A Unified Payment System

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • I reiterate the September 24 buy recommendation I made for Facebook. This company is using its social networking dominance to find new sources of revenue.
  • The recent launch of Facebook Pay is a long-term catalyst. It can make Facebook a key leader in mobile P2P payments and P2P commerce.
  • Facebook Pay will improve monetization from the 800 million-strong Facebook Marketplace P2P online commerce platform.
  • Mobile Peer-to-Peer payments are rapidly increasing in the United States. Industry watcher eMarketer estimates that U.S. mobile P2P transactions will hit $309.95 billion in 2019.

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Sirius Stock Predictions: Why Sirius XM Is A Better Investment Than Spotify

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Apple, Amazon, and Google do not compete against Sirius XM’s core satellite radio broadcast business.
  • Unlike online streaming-dependent Spotify, Sirius XM has an unthreatened growth driver from its satellite radio subscription service.
  • Pandora also gave Sirius XM a huge presence in paid/ad-supported music streaming. I believe ad-supported radio shows and music streaming are long-term winners.
  • Sirius is a profitable company that pays quarterly dividends.

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Autodesk Stock Forecast: ADSK Is A Buy Before Earnings

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Autodesk will report its 3Q FY2020 earnings on November 26. I expect it to beat Wall Street’s EPS and revenue estimates.
  • I recommend ADSK as a buy before earnings gambit. This stock is now trading well below its 2019 high of $178.21. ADSK’s 6-month return is -13.63%.
  • If my bet that Autodesk will report better than expected 3Q FY2020 EPS and revenue numbers, ADSK might shoot up to $165 before December 31.
  • Autodesk’s rapid shift to subscription-based software marketing is paying off well. Its annual recurring revenue is now $3.07 billion. Recurring revenue now accounts for 96% Autodesk’s sales.

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Intel Stock Forecast: Why Intel Is The Superior Investment

motek 1This article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • My October 7 article at Seeking Alpha concluded that Intel is the best stock to own if you want to bet on the semiconductor industry.
  • Intel’s 96% market share in data center processors and 84% share in desktop PC processors made it the better investment than Advanced Micro Devices.
  • Intel is a safe long-term investment because server processor buyers and PC manufacturers remain very loyal to Intel.
  • AMD can sell cheaper Ryzen processors and win some market share away. However, most PC builders and server/data center owners still prioritize Intel.
  • Top PC manufacturers continue to ignore Ryzen because they already bought and stockpiled Intel-compatible motherboards, RAM, and other PC parts.

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Google Stock Forecast: YouTube Is A Crowd-Sourced Gold Mine For Google

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Google is in the news today because it apparently wants to buy Fitbit.
  • In my book, the bigger and more important news is that a Needham & Company analyst believes YouTube might be worth $300 billion as a standalone company.
  • YouTube is a crowd-sourced video sharing platform that is estimated to generate 2019 revenue of $30 billion.
  • Google only paid $1.65 billion in 2006 to purchase YouTube. Spinning out YouTube as a separate company can be hugely profitable for Google.
  • The proceeds from letting YouTube do an IPO can help Google buy more companies like Fitbit. It could also offset the continuing losses of Google’s moonshot projects.

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