Tesla Stock Forecast: Transforming the Future

June 19, 2019

This article was written by Talia Shakhnovsky, a Financial Analyst at I Know First. 

Tesla Stock Forecast: Transforming the Future

“There is not a demand problem. Sales have far exceeded production…We have a decent shot at a record quarter on every level”
– Elon Musk, Tesla CEO at 6/11/2019 Annual Shareholder Meeting

Summary:

  • Despite decreasing vehicle sales, global demand for electric vehicles is growing; Tesla is attempting to enter the global market by building a Gigafactory in China.
  • From the first quarter of 2018 to the first quarter of 2019, Tesla’s revenue grew by 32.23%, surpassing automotive industry revenue (-1.61%). Tesla’s expected annual growth of 68% also exceeds the auto industry’s expected growth of 22%.
  • At Tesla’s annual shareholder conference, CEO Elon Musk discussed continuing demand, Tesla’s acquisition of battery company Maxwell Technologies, and the new semi pickup truck among other developing technological advances like fully autonomous vehicles.
  • Tesla’s financial statement supports a long term bullish outlook, with a potential June 2020 share-price of $333.

TESLA Logo – Source: Wikimedia

Current Automotive Market Trends Overview

The bull market of today is the longest period of uninterrupted gains in American history. While the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates at the moment, it has signaled that it is open

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AMZN Stock Forecast: Amazon Set to Shine in 2020

June 19, 2019
This article was written by Ari Herzog, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

Summary

  • Strong Q1 earnings report shows seamless transition towards heightened margins
  • Integration of Business-to-Business (B2B) segment through Amazon Personalize
  • Growth of ‘e-commerce ecosystem’ ties into Amazon’s newfound focus on services
  • Bullish Long Term AMZN Stock Forecast

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MU Stock Prediction: Going Long With Micron

June 19, 2019
I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

Summary:

  • Cautious buy rating for short to medium term but bullish in the long run
  • Oversupply of chips is still in recovery, declining prices are not alarming
  • Trade war and Ban on Huawei is unlikely to last for long
  • Unlikely that China’s local DRAM chip, Changxin Memory Technologies, will replace Micron

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Facebook Stock Forecast: Blockchain Bandwagoner or Pioneer?

June 19, 2019
This article was written by Gabriel Rodan, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Facebook is a maturing tech giant but has maintained relevance with the youth through Instagram and its over 1 billion monthly active users
  • Has faced regulatory pressure and scandal in the last year but is well equipped with human capital and resources to manage regulatory landscape.
  • Maintains a firm grasp on social media with Facebook (2.38 billion MAU) and Instagram (1 billion MAU) and mobile messaging with WhatsApp (1.5 billion MAU) and Messenger (1.3 billion MAU)
  • Newly announced Libra cryptocurrency will leverage Facebooks global network platform and possibly disrupt financial system

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Interpreting Interpretability in Algorithmic Trading

June 17, 2019

This article was written by Talia Shakhnovsky, a Financial Analyst at I Know First. 

Interpreting Interpretability in Algorithmic Trading

“If a machine learning model performs well, why [don’t] we just trust the model and ignore why it made a certain decision?” – Christoph Molnar, author of Interpretable Machine Learning

Summary:

  • An Anecdote on Algorithmic Interpretability
  • What is Machine Learning?
  • Interpreting Interpretability
  • Is Interpretability Ever Insignificant?
  • The Importance of Algorithmic Interpretability
  • Algorithmic Trading: Interpretability in I Know First’s Forecasts

An Anecdote on Algorithmic Interpretability

Envision the near future. Self-driving vehicles roam the roads, and car accidents are a nightmare from the past. Society questions how people could have driven such dangerous machines they weren’t qualified to control.

Until, one day, a headline reads, “BREAKING: Bicyclist Dead in Hit-and-Run”. Shock

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Year-to-Date Worldwide Country ETF Performance Overview

June 13, 2019
Kun
The article was written by Kun Qiu, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Overall European country ETFs had positive returns in the first 5 months in 2019, among which Greece ranking first with a return of 31.9%
  • American and Chinese country ETFs were negatively influenced by the trade war, but recently both are recovering gradually
  • Other Asian countries replying heavily on Chinese companies’ supply chain may also be affected by Trump-Xi trade war, ETFs of Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore saw the same fluctuation pattern as the one of China
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Apple Stock Forecast: AAPL Looking Ahead to the Calm After the ‘Storm’

June 13, 2019
Whitney
The article was written by Whitney Su, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Despite concerns over the ongoing Trump-Xi trade war, we can expect Apple to operate as usual in Greater China (Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan), which accounts for nearly 20 percent Apple's total revenue.
  • Stock prices went up by more than 1% on 11 June 2019, closing at $194.99, after Foxconn's statement that it was capable of relocating iPhone production outside of China, if necessary. Stock prices have seen an upward trend since that announcement.
  • I give AAPL stock a bullish one-year forecast. No longer relying on iPhone sales to hold up the company, Apple is turning towards services instead, projecting increased service sector revenue of $14 billion per quarter by 2020.
  • Widespread popularity of the Apple Watch and AirPods spearheads revenue increases in Apple's "Other Products" sector. Innovative product development will continue to drive up AAPL stock prices.

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