While the S&P 500 fell -0.87% in February and top multi strategy hedge funds struggled through geopolitical shocks and sticky inflation, I Know First's AI driven Combined Long/Short Strategy delivered +1.93%, beating Citadel Wellington, Point72, ExodusPoint, Millennium, and the broader market.
6-Year Performance Analysis | January 2020 – February 2025
| Investor Type | Horizon | Best Day | Return | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active Traders | 30-Day | Friday | 1.82% | 57.07% |
| Swing Traders | 90-Day | Thursday | 5.18% | 60.65% |
| Long-Term Investors | 1-Year | Monday | 14.86% | 61.03% |
After analyzing six years of I Know First AI-generated forecasts — covering over 1,500 trading days and three distinct market regimes — the data reveals a clear pattern: the day of the week you act on Predictability signals significantly impacts your returns.
The Predictability indicator consistently delivers hit rates above 54% across all days and horizons, with Monday's 1-year accuracy reaching 61.03% — meaning more than 6 out of 10 signals outperform the broader market over a full year.
This article was written by the I Know First Research Team.
I Know First provides investment solutions for institutional investors with a competitive advantage utilizing our advanced self-learning algorithm. I Know First provides an individual approach for institutional clients to improve their investment process based on their needs and preferences. We have reviewed the performance of the AI market rotation strategy during the period from January 1st, 2020, to February 4th, 2026. Visit our website for more details about I Know First solutions for institutional investors.
Read The Full Premium ArticleArticle Written by Samy Nakach – Investment Analyst at I Know First
| Strategy/Fund | January 2026 Return |
|---|---|
| IKF Combined Long/Short | +3.54% |
| Point72 | +2.9% |
| IKF MAGIC Strategy | +2.04% |
| Balyasny | +2.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +1.47% |
| Millennium | +1.4% |
| Citadel Wellington | +1.0% |
What This Chart Shows:
January 2026 delivered a challenging environment that tested the resilience and adaptability of every investment approach:
According to Reuters and Bloomberg reporting, U.S. military action in Venezuela created significant market uncertainty along with possible action from President Trump on Greenland. Equity markets initially sold off on the news before recovering as investors assessed the scope and duration of the conflict.
Questions surrounding Federal Reserve independence emerged mid-month, creating
While hedge funds celebrate $24 billion in profits from shorting software stocks in early 2026, I Know First's AI-based forecasting platform flagged bearish signals on major software names weeks before the sector's precipitous decline accelerated. By January 20, 2026, our Daily Stock Selection forecasts identified negative signals on CRM, ORCL, NOW, and other software names—providing clients with actionable intelligence that preceded the institutional wave.
Major software stocks experienced declines ranging from 11% to 25% from peak to trough during this period. Oracle declined 25%, ServiceNow fell 24.7%, and Salesforce dropped 21.4%. The predictive advantage: IKF clients received bearish forecasts before the institutional short-selling wave intensified, enabling position entry ahead of the crowd.
Sophisticated hedge funds deploy extensive research teams, forensic accounting analysts, and substantial capital to identify market dislocations. I Know First's algorithm-driven approach delivered equivalent directional intelligence using pattern recognition across historical data, market structure, and predictive analytics—without the overhead of a hundred-person research department.
Key Insight: The critical advantage was timing. Clients received bearish signals weeks before the story became consensus, allowing for proactive positioning rather than reactive scrambling.
This article was written by the I Know First Research Team.
I Know First provides investment solutions for institutional investors with a competitive advantage utilizing our advanced self-learning algorithm. I Know First provides an individual approach for institutional clients to improve their investment process based on their needs and preferences. We have reviewed the performance of the magnificent seven multi-tier AI investment strategy during the period from January 1st, 2020, to November 12th, 2025. Visit our website for more details about I Know First solutions for institutional investors.
Read The Full Premium Article
Disclaimer:
I Know First-Daily Market Forecast, does not provide personal investment or financial advice to individuals, or act as personal financial, legal, or institutional investment advisors, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment or the use of any particular financial strategy. All investing, stock forecasts and investment strategies include the risk of loss for some or even all of your capital. Before pursuing any financial strategies discussed on this website, you should always consult with a licensed financial advisor.