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Best Japanese Stock Market: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

January 15, 2020

Japanese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons.
Top 5 by signal group achieved returns of up to 9,72%. It also outperformed the Nikkei 225 index by a significantly high margin in the 30 and 14 days time horizon in accordance with the Daily Model.
The Global Model forecasts obtained positive returns for all time horizons.

I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Japanese Stock Market – Continuously Beating Nikkei 225 Index And Japan Stock Market Benchmarks

October 22, 2018

Executive Summary

Nikkei 225 universe highlights

Signal indicator filter applied to Top 30 most predictable stocks provides the highest return of 6.08% for Top 10 stocks on 3-months’ investment horizon
We observe clear increasing trend on returns improving with the increase of forecast time horizon – the change in returns from 1 month to 3 months is more than 350% for Top 10 stocks
Top 10 stocks significantly out-perform both benchmarks, including Nikkei 225 actual performance recorded over the time under consideration, by over 630%

Japan stock market universe highlights

Signal indicator filter applied to Top 30 most predictable stocks provides the highest return of 5.91% for Top 20 stocks on 3-months’ investment horizon
We observe clear increasing trend on returns improving with the increase of forecast time horizon – the change in returns from 1 month to 3 months is more than 320% for Top 20
Top 20 stocks significantly out-perform the benchmark by more than 340%

I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Japanese Stock Market – Continuously Beating Nikkei 225 Index And Japan Stock Market Benchmarks

September 4, 2018

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Japanese stock market and sent to our customers on a daily basis.
We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the stock universe of the Nikkei 225 index as well as all of the stocks covered by us in the “Japan Stocks” Package.

Algorithmic Performance

Updated Performance Report of I Know First’s AI-Predictive System for Japanese Stock Market – Continuously Beating the Nikkei 225

June 17, 2018

As of December 28th 2017, I Know First finished the implementation and the training period of its AI-based ranking and forecasting model for the main equities listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TYO) specifically a selection of 1277 stocks. On this date, I Know first published the first Japanese stock forecast for the subscribed investors in the local Japanese market, as the timing of the data feed and the forecast generation was adjusted to the respective time zone.

According to our forecast evaluation results, the predictions generated returns greatly surpassing that of the benchmark we have utilized, namely, the sample of equally-weighted 1277 most liquid stocks from the Tokyo Stock Exchange held by I Know First, including all 225 of the Nikkei 225 Index constituents.

For each covered stock the forecasts are generated daily for 6 main time horizons, expressed in calendar days/months/years: 3 days, 7 days, 14 days, 1 month, 3 months and 1 year.

The daily updated forecast consists of two numbers: the signal which indicates the predicted direction and strength of the stock’s movement in the respective time frame, and the predictability which indicates how predictable the algorithm considers the stock’s movements to be.

Currently, I Know First’s AI-based forecasting system covers 1277 main equities listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, which we have used as the benchmark below.