I Know First Live Evaluation Report For The Singaporean Stock Universe: Top 5 Out-perform Bechmark by 210%

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for Singaporean stock market. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied in order to pick the best performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from January 3rd,2018 to September 30th, 2018. The corresponding returns distribution of stock filters (stocks subsets) for both Singaporean stock market universe and the main findings are below:

Singaporean Stock Market Universe Highlights:

  • Signal indicator filter applied to Top 30 most predictable stocks provides the highest return of 4.66% for Top 5 stocks on 3-months’ investment horizon
  • There is a clear increasing trend for returns improvement with the time horizon increase – the delta in returns from 1 month to 3 months is more than 350% for Top 5 stocks
  • Top 5 stocks significantly out-perform the benchmark by over 210%
The above results were obtained based on forecasts’ evaluation over the specific time period using  consecutive filtering approach – by predictability, then by signal, to give general overview of the forecasting capabilities of the algorithm for specific stock universe.

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I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For MSCI Stock Universe – Significantly Outperforms MSCI-ACWI Index And ACWI ETF Benchmarks

Executive Summary

InIn this live forecast evaluation report we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the MSCI stock universe and sent to our customers on a daily basis.Our analysis covers time period from January 2, 2018 to September 30, 2018. We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the MSCI stock universe of the MSCI index and compare it to ACWI (iShares MSCI ACWI ETF by Blackrock) performance over the same period. This report continues our investigation of the algorithm's performance for MSCI stock universe published on September 23, 2018.

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I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Currencies Universe – Using Predictability And Signal While Searching For The Best Currencies

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report for currencies we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Forex market that we sent to our customers on a daily basis. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the currency pairs universe covered by I Know First’s “Currencies” package and compare it to the benchmark performance over the same period. This report continues our investigation published on September 27, 2018.

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I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Japanese Stock Market – Continuously Beating Nikkei 225 Index And Japan Stock Market Benchmarks

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Japanese stock market and sent to our customers on a daily basis.

Nikkei 225 universe highlights

  • Signal indicator filter applied to Top 30 most predictable stocks provides the highest return of 6.08% for Top 10 stocks on 3-months’ investment horizon
  • We observe clear increasing trend on returns improving with the increase of forecast time horizon – the change in returns from 1 month to 3 months is more than 350% for Top 10 stocks
  • Top 10 stocks significantly out-perform both benchmarks, including Nikkei 225 actual performance recorded over the time under consideration, by over 630%

Japan stock market universe highlights

  • Signal indicator filter applied to Top 30 most predictable stocks provides the highest return of 5.91% for Top 20 stocks on 3-months’ investment horizon
  • We observe clear increasing trend on returns improving with the increase of forecast time horizon – the change in returns from 1 month to 3 months is more than 320% for Top 20
  • Top 20 stocks significantly out-perform the benchmark by more than 340%

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I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Indian Stock Market – Sustainable Algorithm’s Out-performance Over Benchmark and Nifty 200 Index

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Indian stock market and sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers time period from January 3, 2018 to September 28, 2018.We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the stock universe of the Nifty 200 index as well as all of the stocks covered by us in the “Indian Stocks” Package. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of live I Know First’s AI predictive algorithm performance.

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I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Singaporean Stock Universe – Significantly Beating Benchmarks On All Horizons

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Singaporean stock universe and sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers time period from January 3, 2018 to August 24, 2018.We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the Singaporean stock universe.

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Stock Market Forecast: Chaos Theory Revealing How the Market Works

I Know First Research | May 8th 2014

How Can We Predict the Financial Markets by Using Algorithms? Common fallacies about markets claim markets are unpredictable. However, chaos theory together with powerful algorithms proves such statements are wrong. Markets are chaotic systems with complex dynamics, yet to a certain extent we can make valid stock market forecasts. Using these forecasts generated by cutting-edge predictive algorithms together with a careful risk management strategy may give a trader a significant competitive advantage.

Markets Are Complex Systems

Looking at the common fallacies about stock markets, we can see two major groups. The first group is connected to the classical economic theory, which claims that markets are 100% efficient, and as such unpredictable. However, trying to make predictions regarding the markets is useless anyway, as no stock can be possibly be a better deal than another. Both of them are efficient and everybody in the market has perfect information available to them. From our daily lives it is obvious that this does not truly reflect reality. There are people who actually profit trading stocks, which should not be possible in this idealistic market of economy theories.
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