Best Japanese Stock Market: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Japanese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons.
  • Top 5 by signal group achieved returns of up to 9,72%. It also outperformed the Nikkei 225 index by a significantly high margin in the 30 and 14 days time horizon in accordance with the Daily Model.
  • The Global Model forecasts obtained positive returns for all time horizons.

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Best Brazilian Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Best Brazilian Stocks Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by both the Daily and Global models achieved positive returns that outperformed the Ibovespa index.
  • Except in a few cases, signal filtering proved again to have a strong effect on returns. Top 5 filtering achieved returns of up to 12.01% and outperformed the Ibovespa index by a significantly high margin.
  • The Global model effect was observed only long time horizons, where it achieved impressive returns and exceptional accuracy: For the 30 and 90 days, average returns were 10.56% and 20.25% respectively, while hit- ratios were 71% and 90%.

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Top S&P 500 Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Top S&P 500 stocks returns summary

Top S&P 500 Stocks Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons and outperformed the S&P 500 for short time horizons (3 to 14 days).
  • We observed a consistent positive effect of signal-based filtering, besides one exception in the 90 days time horizon, additional screening by signal always resulted in higher performance.
  • The Global Model improved the performance even further - our algorithm's forecast according to this new model enabled a more flexible trading strategy that generated robust returns compared to both the S&P 500 Benchmark and the traditional model performance on longer horizons.
  • The highest return of 6.86% was obtained by applying the Global Model on the 90-days time stock market forecast horizon.

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Best Indian Stocks Forecast Evaluation Report by I Know First – November 2019

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Indian stock market and sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers time period from January 1, 2019 to October 31, 2019.We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the stock universe of the S&P BSE as well as all of the stocks covered by us in the “Indian Stocks” Package. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of live I Know First’s AI predictive algorithm performance.

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S&P 500 Futures Forecast Performance vs S&P 500 Index – November 2019

Highlights:

  • 87% hit ratio for 1-year forecasting horizon when predicting CME_SP1 futures contract using Regular model
  • 74% hit ratio for 4-days forecasting time frame with CME_SP1 predictions using Short-term model
  • 92% hit ratio for 1-year forecasting periods for SPY ETF using Regular model

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Bitcoin Forecast Performance Evaluation by I Know First – November 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Bitcoin currency pairs with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 31 October 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying our algorithm to determine the predicted direction in the given time horizon for Bitcoin currency pairs:

Bitcoin Currency Pairs Highlights:

  • The best returns were obtained in the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, providing an average return of 53.83% in the 3-months time horizon.
  • The best hit ratios were similarly obtained for the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, with the best hit ratio being 76% for the 3-months time horizon.

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Best Stocks Under 10 Package Evaluation Report – October 2019

Best Stocks Under 10 Highlights:

  • Top 5 stocks subset had better returns across almost all time horizons, providing an average return of 14.9% in the 1-year horizon which outperformed the benchmark by 234%.
  • In the absence of signal filtering the forecasts provided positive returns above the benchmark for short-term forecasting horizons ranging from 3-days to 14-days, out-performing it by 3-14 times.

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Algorithmic Trading Evaluation Report for Aggressive Stocks – October 2019

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of live algorithmic trading forecast performance evaluation, specifically for Aggressive stocks package provided by I Know First. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied in order to pick the best performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from 21st October 2018 to 21st October 2019. The corresponding returns distribution by horizon and signal filter level is below:

Aggressive Stocks Package Highlights:

  • The highest algorithmic trading return of 29.33% came from the Top 5 Signals stocks on 1-year investment horizon
  • There is a general increasing trend for returns improvement with the time horizon increase in the Top 5 assets by signal subset
  • Top 5 stocks subset consistently out-perform the S&P 500 benchmark by more than 5 times

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