I Know First Evaluation Report For Fundamental Package

Executive Summary

In this Know First forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Fundamental Packege for short and long positions which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from 7th January 2020 to 30 August 2020. We will start with an introduction ro out asset picking and benchmarking methods,in this case, S&P 500 Index, and then apply it to the stock universe of all of the undervalued stocks covered by us in the Low PE Subpackege

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals for undervalued vs S&P 500 for shorter term horizons since January 7th, 2020 until August 30th, 2020., 2020
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals for undervalued stocks vs S&P 500 for longer term horizons since January 7th, 2020 until August 30th, 2020.

Top undervalued stocks Highlights

  • The Top 10 and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed the S&P 500 Index for the short and long term horizons.
  • All the group returns had a good performance, especially the ones for the 14 days and 1 Month time horizon. Every group on those time horizons registered a significant return higher than the S&P 500 Index.
  • The Top 5 signal group significantly outperformed the S&P 500 for for all different time horizons.
  • Long position hit ratios for time horizons longer than 14 days are around or above 50%

Tesla Stock Predictions: 100% AI Algorithm Accuracy Amid COVID-19

Tesla Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Tesla stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the TSLA stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from June 1, 2019 to September 13, 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our TSLA predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 100% hit ratio of the 1-year horizon forecasts for Tesla allow our clients to invest their money with significantly less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 60% accuracy despite volatile market conditions
  • These results show continuous performance improvement by I Know First AI predictive algorithm amid COVID-19 crisis

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Aggressive Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Aggressive stocks for long and short positions which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from December 20, 2019, to September 9th, 2020. 

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals for Aggressive stocks vs S&P 500 for short term horizons since December 20th, 2020 until September 9th, 2020
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals for Aggressive stocks vs S&P 500 for long term horizons since December 20th, 2020 until September 9th, 2020

Top Aggressive Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed S&P 500 Index for the short and long term horizons.
  • All the groups returns had a good performance, especially the ones for the 3 Months time horizon. Every group registered a return higher than 10%.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the S&P 500 for almost 9 times for the 14 days time horizon.

Top S&P 500 Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the S&P 500 stocks for long and short positions which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from October 9, 2018, to July 19th, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the S&P stocks predictions for long and short positions and only long position. 

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for only long position vs. S&P 500 for short-term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020.
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for only long position vs. S&P 500 for long-term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020.
Chart 3: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for long & short positions vs S&P 500 for short-term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020
Chart 4: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for long & short positions vs S&P 500 for long term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020.

S&P 500 Stocks Highlights

  • In the short term horizons, all groups' signals outperformed the S&P 500.
  • Our highest signals tend to have the largest returns over short term time horizons and over year long periods. 
  • Only long positions had higher returns than the Long and Short for each time horizon.  
  • Every signal group across every time horizon gave a hit ratio over 53%, showing consistent and reliable accuracy.
  • Our top-5 signals had returns of 12.80% (Long Only) and 11.49% (Long and Short) over year long periods, handily beating the S&P 500 index. 

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Brazil Stock Market: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Brazilian stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from January 1st, 2018, to June 30th, 2020.

Brazil stock market
Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for short term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020
Brazil stock market
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for long term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020
Brazil stock market
Chart 3: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for short term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020
Brazil stock market
Chart 4: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs Bovespa Index for long term horizons since January 1st, 2018 until June 30th, 2020

Brazilian Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed Bovespa Index for almost all time horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the Bovespa by 16.23% using the 1 year time horizon.
  • All hit ratios for 7 day time horizon or longer are above 50%.
  • Using only long positions, every signal group for every time horizon outperformed Bovespa.
  • For long positions only, the top 5 signals with a 1 year time horizon outperformed the Bovespa Index by 21.07%.
  • Long position hit ratios for all time horizons longer than 3 days are above 50% and all 1 year forecast hit ratios are above 70%

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Coronavirus Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Coronavirus related stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from March 4th, 2020, to July 19th, 2020.

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for short term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for long term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020
Chart 3: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for short term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020
Chart 4: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for long term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020

Top Coronavirus Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed S&P 500 Index for all five time horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the S&P 500 by 32.84% using the 3 month time horizon.
  • All hit ratios, except for the top 5 signal one week forecast, are above 50%. All three month hit ratios are above 60%.
  • Using only long positions, returns across every signal group and time horizon drastically increased
  • For long positions only, the top 5 signals with a 3 month time horizon outperformed the S&P 500 by over 75%.
  • Long position hit ratios for all time horizons are above 50% and all 3 month forecast hit ratios are above 85%

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Bottom Up Stock Market Forecast for the main World Indices by using AI Powered Predictive Algorithm

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we introduced new bottom up signal generation methods using the I Know First AI Algorithm for the following world indices: S&P 500, DAX and CAC40. We compare the new bottom up signals’ performance with the direct forecasts’ performance generated for the indices using our short term model (1 to 6 days) and daily model (3 days to 3 months). Our analysis covers the time period from April 2, 2019, to April 3, 2020.

Bottom Up Forecast Evaluation Highlights:

  • Short term model showed higher hit ratio than the Daily model for the 3 days’ time horizon for all indices analyzed.
  • S&P 500 predictions showed higher hit ratio for all time horizons and methods than DAX and CAC40.
  • Every method has hit ratios higher than 55% for the index’s predictions using Daily Model.

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Top Japanese Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Japanese stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from January 1st, 2019, to June 22nd, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the Japanese market since the beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic, February 22nd, 2020.

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs Nikkei 225 for short term horizons since January 1st, 2019 until June 22nd, 2020.
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for period since February 22nd, 2020 (Coronavirus) until June 22nd, 2020.

Top Japanese Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed Nikkei 250 Index for all three time horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 5.39% using the two-week time horizon.
  • Since the start of the Coronavirus, the Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First remained extremely profitable, while the Nikkei 250 declined.
  • Using the two-week time horizon, the top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 10.89% since the start of the Coronavirus.
  • Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming Nikkei 250 both before and after the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.
  • Hit ratios for all time horizons are above 50% since the start of COVID-19.

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