Artificial Intelligence: Road to the Smart Future

Kemy Huang  This article was written by Kemy Huang – Research Analyst at I Know First

Summary:

  • Earlier times, AI had been particularly slow to develop with periodic booms in research. However over the past decade, due to the digital world transforming into the data world, the promising leaps to surpass traditional computing power, and some businesses start to make fortune from the technique. Based on those reasons lead to the AI boom
  • The innovation in the AI area shows the great potential of how powerful it could be. Nowadays, the example in AlphaGo showed the milestone of AI that it doesn't need to be constrained by the limits of human knowledge
  • The technique of Artificial intelligence can bring a fortune to the market. I Know First the promising company that could upgrade investment decisions by providing effective forecasting solutions for the investors

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The Efficiency of Hedge Fund Strategies in the Pandemic Time

Sergey Okun  This "The Efficiency of Hedge Fund Strategies in the Pandemic Time" article was written by Sergey Okun – Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

  • Hedge Funds apply a wide range of investment strategies to get profit independent of market conditions
  • The fees model 2/20 is not dominant anymore in the hedge fund industry I Know First provides portfo
  • I Know First provides portfolio strateg

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Stock Market Forecast for Major US Indexes Reaches 100% Accuracy Despite Market Volatility

Stock Market Indexes Forecast Highlights:

  • The best hit Ratio is 100% for the 1-year time horizon for all stocks
  • SPY is reaching 100% accuracy for the 3-month time horizon
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 51% accurate for all time horizons except Russell 2000 for the 7-day time horizon
  • I Know First provides an investment strategy for institutional investors that generated a return of 145.59% and exceeded the S&P 500 return by 100.1% for the analyzed period

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Stock Market Forecast for Major US Indexes Reaches 90% Accuracy Despite Market Volatility

Stock Market Indexes Forecast Highlights:

  • The best hit Ratio is 100% for the 365-day time horizon both for QQQ and SPY ETFs
  • Russell 2000, Dow Jones transportation, and Dow Jones Industrial indexes' predictions are reaching 90%, 93% and 99% accuracy
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 53% accurate for all time horizons.

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AI Stock Market Predictions: Algorithm Predicted GME and AMC Surge Against All Odds

Source: Jioforme

Try to find a person who has Internet access and still doesn’t know that GME stock price exploded as a result of the battle that emerged from a Reddit post last week. Chances are that you will find this task extremely difficult not only in the USA but worldwide. The story started as the single person offering to “crowd-push” against the major market players holding short positions on GME stock and take revenge on the 1% of the society to be held accountable for the latest financial crises. That said, we saw recently an extremely sharp demand increase not only for GME stock but

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Can a Machine Beat the Stock Market?

I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

Executive Summary

Recently, several articles expressed opinion that artificial intelligence and machine learning will never beat the stock market. According to a report published by Allied Market Research, the global neural network market was valued at $7.03 billion in 2016, and is estimated to reach at $38.71 billion by 2023. The rapid development of computational powers and the fast pace of changes in the stock market forces investors to wonder whether they should trust machines to predict the stock market or continue to use old-fashioned methods.

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Coronavirus Stock Market: A Post-pandemic Stock Market Glimpse

This Coronavirus stock market prediction article is written by Hao Liu, Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The macroeconomy of the post-pandemic world features large deficit and debt, and globalization will be much weaker than nowadays.
  • Tech and healthcare are definitely sectors that investors should include in their post-pandemic portfolios.
  • Two strategies to outperform the post Coronavirus stock market is either to invest in cheaper stocks now and then wait, or to invest in stocks with strong resilience and strong balance sheets (e.g., FB, NFLX).
  • During this complex time, it’s crucial to include logarithmic predictions into investing strategy.

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Unpacking the Ins and Outs of a Chaotic System – How Can We Predict it

I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

Summary:

  • What is Chaos Theory?
  • Earthquakes – An example of a Natural Chaotic System
  • Randomness vs Chaos 
  • What makes a Chaotic System a Chaotic System
  • Modeling a Chaotic System
  • Can We Really Predict the Stock Market? Psychology of Trading and Feedback Loops

What is Chaos Theory?

Source: Medium

In a chaotic system like weather, a tiny change can make a huge impact. Weather is predicted a few days in advance because small changes in input can produce dramatically different results. 

The most commonly used example to explain chaos theory is the butterfly effect. It says that a butterfly flapping its wings on one end of the world can give rise to a hurricane in another part of the world. It sounds bizarre but it illustrates the huge impact small changes in the factors can have on the outcome. 

Without going into too much mathematical details, I would like to briefly explain how

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