Netflix Stock Forecast: Warner & DC Universe Can Replace Disney And Marvel at Netflix

February 14, 2019
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Netflix will likely lose more Disney and Marvel-licensed TV series and movies.
  • The upcoming launch of Disney+ requires Netflix to find other third-party content providers for its streaming business.
  • Warner Bros and DC Comics are white knights that can help Netflix survive the loss of Disney and Marvel-licensed shows.
  • Netflix can spend billions of dollars on original content but it can never match the long-term pull of Marvel or DC superheroes-themed movies and shows.
  • Netflix still needs globally-famous third-party licensed shows to attract more international subscribers.

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Understanding Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks and Their Adaptation

January 10, 2019
taliTali Soroker is a Financial Analyst at I Know First. She graduated from Northeastern University with a Bachelor degree in Mathematics.

Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks

Summary:
  • Artificial Neural Networks
  • General Applications
  • Different Types of ANNs
    • Feed-Forward ANNs
    • RBF Neural Networks
    • MLP Neural Networks
    • RNNs
  • Neural Networks and Finance

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FTSE 100 Forecast: Brexit Deal Or Not The FTSE Forecast Remains Strong

January 9, 2019

FTSE 100 Forecast:

“The truth is the majority of our trade takes place with the European Union. And things like our food industry, you can’t export it to Australia — it will go off.”— Labour Shadow Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry's argument for why Brexit will be devastating to U.K. trade prospects.

Summary:

  • At close on 31st December the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) stood at 6,728.13 down -12.41% over the past year.
  • In a recent publication from the Office of National Statistics the UK gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.6% in the past quarter.
  • While the FTSE is ultimately tied to the underpinnings of the UK economic performance its short-term performance is very often influenced by political factors such as Brexit and general market scepticism.
  • Brexit has dominated politics and had a huge impact on the UK economy including the FTSE.
  • Brexit has caused significant changes to the pound sterling, not only from key events but from speculation within financial markets.

Source: maxpixel.net

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Tesla Stock Prediction: Tesla’s Future Tailwind From Electric Motorcycles

December 4, 2018
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Tesla remains the leader in electric cars. Two or three years from now, I expect Tesla to also lead in high-end electric motorcycles.
  • Car vendor Honda is selling more than 19 million units of regular motorcycles per year. Honda has upcoming electric motorcycles.
  • More than 130 million units of motorcycles are sold annually. Almost 109 million of them sold in the Asia Pacific Region.
  • It is faster to assemble Tesla electric motorcycles than cars and trucks. Tesla can improve its bottom line by the quicker turnaround of selling motorcycles.
  • TSLA has a very bullish one-year forecast from I Know First. It might be wise to load up on this stock while it trades below $370.

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Netflix Stock Forecast: Why You Should Avoid Investing In Netflix Right Now

November 29, 2018
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Netflix has 137.1 million subscribers.
  • This can grow to 150 million next year if Netflix goes big on marketing a cheaper mobile-only subscription plan.
  • There’s probably more than 100 million potential customers who can only afford to pay $5 or less per month.
  • However, there’s low margin in providing $4/month subscription plan. Netflix is spending more than $10 billion/year in original content.
  • NFLX has bearish algorithmic market trend forecasts. It might be prudent to dump the stock now while it still trades above $280.

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Nvidia Stock Prediction: Buy Nvidia – Growing Gaming Revenue Can Easily Offset Cryptocurrency-Mining’s Decline

November 18, 2018
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Nvidia’s dropped almost 17% during the after-hours trading after its earnings report on November 15. This was mainly attributed to the demise of crypto-mining boom.
  • Nvidia’s Q3 non-GAAP EPS is $1.84, beats by $0.13. GAAP EPS was $1.97, beats by $0.26. Unfortunately, Nvidia’s Q3 revenue of $3.18 billion missed estimates by $60 million.
  • Q3’s GPU revenue from OEM was weaker than expected due to the absence of demand from crypto-currency mining. However, Gaming segment’s revenue of $1.3 billion was still up by 13% Y/Y.
  • My takeaway is that Nvidia is still worth betting on. The continuing growth in gaming revenue can make up for the lack of demand from crypto-currency mining.
  • AMD is still unable to reduce the more than 63% market share of Nvidia on discrete graphics processors. The best-selling computer graphics cards at Amazon are all using Nvidia GPU.

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BABA Stock Forecast: Why You Should Raise Your Bets on Alibaba

November 18, 2018
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • I recently increased my position on Alibaba. This Chinese e-commerce industry leader’s rapid growth story is not going to end anytime soon.
  • China’s economy is slowing down but Chinese customers still bought more than $30 billion worth of goods in 24 hours during Alibaba’s Singles’ Day last November 11.
  • Alibaba’s annual/quarterly revenue is still growing. The trade war tension started by President Trump is not slowing down Alibaba.
  • Aside from its India expansion, Alibaba is also expanding fast in South East Asia. It’s subsidiary, Lazada remains the top e-commerce online store in South East Asia.
  • Alibaba is now the third-biggest vendor of smart home speakers. Smart home speakers can drive more repeat online purchases.

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