AI Forecast: Efficient Forecasting Segments of the Financial Market by AI

Sergey Okun  This article was written by Sergey Okun – Senior Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

  • Utilizing a Machine Learning approach to analyze financial data, enabling the identification of patterns at a level inaccessible to humans.
  • All financial assets, to varying degrees (with the exception of VIX, the volatility index), exhibit long-term patterns, allowing for the application of machine learning methods.
  • Corporate 5-10 years bonds and crude oil are potentially the most predictable financial market segments.

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Space of Chaos on the Stock Market

Sergey Okun  This article was written by Sergey Okun – Senior Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

  • The S&P 500 demonstrates a consistent long-term memory that enables us to implement machine learning methods for prediction purposes.
  • The S&P 500 has become more predictable since Covid-19 introduced itself in 2020.
  • Investors have begun to consider fewer factors than they did before 2020.

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Predicting the S&P 500 Stock Universe

Yuxiao YangThis article was written by Yuxiao Yang – Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The S&P 500 index is often used as a market benchmark for equities, it’s made up of 500 of the largest companies traded on either the NYSE, Nasdaq, or Cboe.
  • There is a big divergence between leading investment banks in the S&P 500 outlook for 2022.
  • I Know First can help to identify the right investment direction.

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S&P 500 Bear Market Recovery

He Xu  This S&P 500 Recovery article was written by He Xu – Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • From Jan 3rd to June 16th, 2022, S&P 500 fell 23.55%, this is the weakest return since 1970.
  • There have been 9 bear markets between November 1968 and July 2022.
  • Inflation conspired to produce the stock market's worst first-half performance (2022.01.03-2022.07.15) since 1970.

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Market Efficiency: Testing Random Walk by the Runs Test and the Variance Ratio Test

Sergey Okun  This article was written by Sergey Okun – Senior Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

  • The stock market is not efficient which leaves a place to beat the market in a systematic way.
  • The market efficiency can be different from time to time, and the hypothesis of Random Walk cannot be rejected for some periods.
  • The I Know First AI algorithm provides us with the tool to select the most promising stocks in the chaotic market.

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UNH Stock Forecast: A defensive company for uncertain times

Fernando SzapiroThis United Health Stock Forecast article was written by Fernando Szapiro – Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Highlights

  • United Health benefited by the pandemic as most people continue to pay for insurance and new clients have been added
  • United Health is a huge company, with a great balance sheet, but in a market with low growth rates
  • In a scenario where central banks raise interest rates due to inflation, United Health shares will not be as affected as technology companies
  • United Health stock forecast are good, as the company pays steady quarterly dividends and is trading at a fair valuation

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SIVB Stock Forecast: Time for Banks and Breakthrough Investments in Biotechnology

Dima ShirikovThis SIVB Stock Forecast article was written by Dima Shirikov – Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Rising US inflation likely to boost bank profits.
  • SVB’s ROE of 20.76 is higher than 85% of companies in the Banks industry.
  • S&P 500 FINANCIAL INDEX - a new record high.

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