Stock Market Predictions: I Know First Evaluation Report for S&P 500 Index -July

July 15, 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the S&P 500 Index with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from the 1^st January 2019 to 19^th 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our predictions.

Highlights:

79% Hit Ratio for 14-day time period of S&P 500 predictions allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk
Predictions consistently above 60% accurate despite very volatile times in the world economy over the last half year

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I Know First Evaluation Report for S&P 500 Index

June 26, 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the S&P 500 Index with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from the 1^st of January 2019 to 19^th of June 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our predictions.

Highlights:

75% Hit Ratio for 14-day time period of S&P 500 predictions allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk
Predictions consistently above 60% accurate despite very volatile times in the world economy over the last half year

Algorithmic Performance

Winning Stock Forecast: Chemours, ArcelorMittal and S&P 500

May 20, 2019

Chemours Company (CC)

Over the period from the 8^th May to 15^th May Chemours (CC) stock price dropped by 18.39% following a strong sell rating provided by the I Know First stock picking algorithm. The Chemours Company operates through three segments: Titanium Technologies, Fluoroproducts and Chemical Solutions.

Chemours’ income results mostly from Titanium Technologies with their biggest product titanium dioxide (TiO2). On the quarter earnings results published on May 3, the company reported a decrease of 35% in Titanium Technologies

Stock Forecast & S&P500 Forecast Winning Stock Forecast

I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation: Based On New Global Volatility Adjusted Approach

February 12, 2019

Executive Summary

As of December 2018, I Know First finished a performance evaluation of the live AI-based predictive forecasts for the new S&P 500 stock strategy sent to customers. This evaluation clearly demonstrates the consistent out-performance of I Know First’s forecasts vs the S&P 500 index and previous stock picking methods. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of live I Know First’s AI predictive algorithm performance.

S&P 500 Highlights:

Selecting the S&P 500 stocks with only the top 5 adjusted signal strength provides the highest return consistently beating other filters for each time horizon.
There is a clear correlation between the length of the time horizon and the return as the length increases the accuracy and performance of the I Know First algorithm dramatically improves.
For the three-month time horizon all signal filters outperform the benchmark with the top 5 signal providing a return of 42% more than the benchmark.

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Algorithmic Performance

Winning World Indices Forecast: ^VIX, ^S&P 500 Perform As Algorithm Predicted

December 17, 2018

World Indices Package: Notable Performers in the Long and Short Position Amid Volatility

(ShutterStock)

On November 7th 2018, I Know First's top stock predicting algorithm conducted it's 1-Month World Indices Package Forecast. This particular package, which is offered as one of I Know First’s quantitative investment solutions, includes a daily forecast for a total of 20 indices with bullish and bearish signals. This is divided into the top 10 picks for the long position, and top 10 picks for the short position, which are determined by screening our database daily using our advanced algorithm and selecting those with the highest predictability and signal.

The two most noteworthy performers of this particular forecast were ^VIX for the long position, and S&P 500 for the short position.

The package itself, had an overall average return of 11.28%, in the long position, providing a premium of 15.72% over the SP500’s return of -4.44%. With regards to the short position, the package had an overall average return of 5.79%, providing investors with a premium of 10.23% over S&P500’s return of -4.44%.

Indices Forecast Winning Stock Forecast

Microsoft Stock Forecast: Why On-Premise Office 2019 Is Still Important For Microsoft

November 18, 2018

The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

I will upgrade my Office 2016 to the new 2019 version once Microsoft launches the home version. Office 2019 is currently only available for business users.
There are hundreds of millions like me who prefer the offline version of Microsoft’s productivity suite.
Microsoft will keep on updating its on premise Office suite because Office 365 is not going to reach 300 million active users anytime soon.
As of October 2018, there are only more than 135 million active commercial users of Office 365. This is in spite of its platform-agnostic design.
Businesses and ordinary Office users who do not rely too much on online collaboration will find it smarter to just a perpetual license for Office 2019.

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I Know First Live forecast evaluation: Extensive Portfolio Evaluation Using Stock Picking Based On S&P 500 Universe

November 8, 2018

S&P 500 Evaluation Report

In this report we will evaluate the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the S&P 500 universe sent to our customers on a daily basis. We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the stocks in the S&P500 universe.