I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: July 13th, 2020


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
July 13, 2020

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Microsoft Stock Forecast: Cash Out Your Huge Profit on Microsoft

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Microsoft’s stock was trading below $160 when I made my April 6 buy recommendation. I also gave it a price target of $205.
  • MSFT’s closing price last July 2 was $206.26 and its new record-setting 52-week high is 208.02.
  • A price return of more than 28% in two months is enough. Let us not be too greedy. Take your profit on Microsoft before the market takes it away.
  • The YTD gain of MSFT is now 29.80%. The stock is now fairly valued. I don’t think MSFT will do another +28% movement for the rest of 2020.
  • Microsoft’s decision to shutdown its retail stores and Mixer are commendable. It will help improve profitability.

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Microsoft Stock Forecast: The Rebrand To Microsoft 365 Can Boost The Stock Higher

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Microsoft’s stock has been resilient during the March Madness COVID-19 panic sell-off. Many investors understood that as a software company, Microsoft has little headwind from COVID-19 factory shutdowns.
  • Disruption in the production of Surface products is not a handicap for Microsoft. Software sales remain strong during quarantines.
  • The decision to rebrand Office 365 to Microsoft 365 signals an all-in focus toward becoming a one-stop shop for everything.
  • The COVID-19 forced many people to stay at home. Work-from-home is now the new normal for many corporate and government employees.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic is great for Azure and Microsoft’s software subscription sales.

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Microsoft Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm: Why MSFT Can Hit $205

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Microsoft’s stock was trading below $145 when I made my October 27 buy recommendation. The stock is now priced above $183.
  • I am still endorsing MSFT as a buy. My new 12-month price target for this stock is $205.
  • Microsoft continues to rule the $101 billion/year enterprise SaaS market.
  • The SaaS market has still a lot of room to grow. The entire software industry is worth $450 billion/year.
  • Lack of serious competition means Office 365 and desktop Microsoft Office will remain top-grossing software products.

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Microsoft Stock Predictions: JEDI Cloud Contract Win Is A Big Boost To Microsoft

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Investors should increase their long-term position on Microsoft.
  • Microsoft outplayed IBM, Amazon, and Google. Microsoft recently won the hotly contested 10-year $10 billion U.S. Joint Enterprise Defense Initiative or JEDI cloud-computing contract.
  • Going forward, this contract win can add $1 billion/year in new revenue to Microsoft’s fastest-growing segment, Intelligent Cloud.
  • The halo effect of the JEDI cloud computing contract victory will attract more enterprise/government customers away from Amazon Web Services.
  • The U.S. government’s JEDI contract obviously needed the best security and reliability. Microsoft Azure’s reputation therefore was greatly enhanced from this contract win.

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MSFT Stock Forecast: Microsoft Can Be A Profitable Vendor Of Surface Android Phones

motek 1This article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Microsoft investors should applaud Satya Nadella’s decision to release Microsoft Surface-branded Android phones next year.
  • The Surface brand now covers smartphones, tablets, laptops, and desktop computers.
  • It was Nadella who killed the Windows Phone and Windows 10 Mobile smartphone business. However, he finally realized the smartphone is a key device for productivity.
  • After making good on his cloud-first initiative, Nadella now wants to fulfill his mobile-first vision for Microsoft.
  • You cannot fully implement a mobile-first approach to marketing your software products without risking it also on selling the computers for them.

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MSFT Stock Forecast: Why Microsoft Is Set To Lead In Cloud Gaming

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Microsoft has spent more than a decade competing against Sony’s PlayStation in video games hardware/software sales.
  • Two days ago, Microsoft and Sony announced a new partnership in cloud gaming. This was a necessary alliance against Google’s Stadia platform.
  • Microsoft needed Sony’s expertise in streaming video games from its years of operating PlayStation Now. Sony needed Microsoft’s Azure global cloud platform.
  • Microsoft’s Azure data center/server farm network is more successful than Google Cloud. Azure therefore gives Sony a better way to grow PlayStation Now.
  • The extra revenue from hosting the streaming video games of Sony can further boost Microsoft’s cloud computing revenue.

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MSFT Stock Forecast: Why Microsoft Needs A More Popular Browser

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • We all know why Microsoft was forced to build a web browser based on Google’s Chromium code.
  • Microsoft desperately needs more people to use its Edge browser.
  • Using its rival’s very popular browser universal framework Chromium to build a new version of Edge is smart.
  • The more people who use Microsoft software/apps, the better it is for the company’s growing digital advertising business.

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