Top S&P 500 Stocks Performance Report By Day Of The Week By I Know First Evaluation

April 22, 2020

Executive Summary

Is there a best day to start trading with I Know First AI signals? The purpose of this report is answer this question presenting the results of our live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for S&P 500 Stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied, picking the top 5 signals out of the 30 most predictable ones. Also, the results were filtered by the day of the week the forecasts were generated and compared with the S&P 500. The period under evaluation is from January 1st, 2019 to April 1st, 2020. The corresponding returns distribution for S&P 500 stocks by day of the week are shown below:

Top S&P 500
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Top S&P 500
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Top S&P 500
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Top S&P 500
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Top S&P 500
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S&P 500 Stocks Package Highlights:

  • No matter the day and the time horizon, the average return of the I Know First Algorithm is always positive.
  • There is a clear increasing trend for returns improvement with the time horizon.
  • Monday and Wednesday had higher returns on the short-term horizons on average.
  • The algorithm results consistently outperform the S&P 500 in every condition.

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Algorithmic Performance

Nvidia Stock Predictions: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

April 1, 2020

Nvidia Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Nvidia stock predictions generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the NVDA with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 29 January 2019 to 27 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our Nvidia stock predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 100% Hit Ratio for a 1-year time period for Nvidia stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 58% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Algorithmic Performance

Apple Stock Forecast: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

March 29, 2020

Apple Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Apple stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the AAPL stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 23 January 2019 to 23 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our AAPL predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 100% Hit Ratio for a 1-year time period for Apple Inc stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 65% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Algorithmic Performance

Tesla Stock Predictions: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

March 26, 2020

Tesla Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Tesla stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the TSLA stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 13 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our TSLA predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 100% Hit Ratio for a 1-year time period for Tesla stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 57% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Algorithmic Performance

Best Chinese Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

March 26, 2020

Chineese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

  • Outperformance until 1526% and the majority of signal groups succeeded in outperforming SSE Composite Index
  • Amazing performances with an average return of 24.42%
  • I Know First reached an accuracy of 71%
  • Most of signal groups have hit ratios higher than 50% for the longest time horizons

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Algorithmic Performance Shanghai Stock Forecast

Best Tech Stocks Performance Report By I Know First Evaluation

February 10, 2020

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for Big Tech Stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied to pick the best-performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from 21st November 2018 to 26th January 2020. The corresponding returns distribution of stock filters for Big Tech stock universe are shown below:

Figure 1: Average Returns Per Time Horizon - Short Term

Big Tech Stock Package Highlights:

  • Both Top 10 and Top 5 signals surpass the 24% mark in the one-year time horizon
  • There is a clear increasing trend for returns improvement with the time horizon increase for both Top 10 and Top 5 stocks
  • Both Top 10 and Top 5 stocks consistently out-perform the benchmark

The above results were obtained based on forecasts’ evaluation over the specific time period using a consecutive filtering approach – by predictability, then by signal, to give an overview of the forecasting capabilities of the algorithm for the specific stock universe.

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Algorithmic Performance Tech Stocks Forecast

Best Indian Stocks Forecast Evaluation Report by I Know First – November 2019

November 10, 2019

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Indian stock market and sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers time period from January 1, 2019 to October 31, 2019.We will start with an introduction to our stock picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the stock universe of the S&P BSE as well as all of the stocks covered by us in the “Indian Stocks” Package. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of live I Know First’s AI predictive algorithm performance.

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Algorithmic Performance Indian Stocks

I Know First Evaluation Report for Top ETFs Forecast Package

August 28, 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for short-term and long-term ETFs which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 19 August 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the ETFs universe as covered by the I Know First’s “Top ETFs Forecast” package. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the S&P500 performance over the same period. Below we present our key takeaways: 

ETFs Highlights:

  • The best returns were obtained in the 1 month time horizon, with the best performance being a return of 2.69% for the top 5 predictability and signal filtered assets during this time-horizon.
  • The top 5 predictability and signal filtered assets beat the benchmark in all time horizons, with the best outperformance being for the 2 weeks time horizon, where the top 5 assets beat the benchmark by over 87%.

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Algorithmic Performance
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