Bitcoin Forecast Performance Evaluation by I Know First – November 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Bitcoin currency pairs with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 31 October 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying our algorithm to determine the predicted direction in the given time horizon for Bitcoin currency pairs:

Bitcoin Currency Pairs Highlights:

  • The best returns were obtained in the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, providing an average return of 53.83% in the 3-months time horizon.
  • The best hit ratios were similarly obtained for the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, with the best hit ratio being 76% for the 3-months time horizon.

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S&P 500 Forecast: Evaluating the Stock Market Predictions Hit Ratio for Long Term Model and Short Term Model

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the S&P 500 forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithms for the long term model and short term model. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1st, 2019 to October 9th, 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our stock market predictions.

Evaluation S&P 500 Forecast Highlights

  • 77% Hit ratio for 3 months’ time period of S&P 500 predictions allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk.
  • Short term model more accurate than long term model for the 3 days predictions.
  • 69% Hit ratio for 4 days’ time period of S&P 500 predictions for the short term model.
S&P 500 forecast hit ratio
S&P 500 forecast

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Russell 2000 Index: I Know First Index Forecasts Evaluation Report

Russell 2000 Index Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of market indices predictions generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Russell 2000 Index with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 9 August 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our Russell 2000 predictions in the market.

Highlights:

  • 91% Hit Ratio for 3-months time period for Russell 2000 predictions allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 63% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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ADBE Stock Predictions: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

Adobe Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the stock market predictions generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for ADBE stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 13 August 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our ADBE predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 86% Hit Ratio for 3-months time period for ADBE predictions allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 52% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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I Know First Algorithm Evaluation Report for Live ETF Universe Forecasts

Executive Summary:

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the ETF universe, which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 April 2019 to 31 May 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the ETF universe. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of I Know First’s live AI predictive algorithm’s performance.

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I Know First Evaluation Report For Aggressive Stocks Universe

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for stocks from Aggressive stocks universe provided as part of the Risk-Conscious Package, which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 23 May 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the stock universe of all of the stocks covered by us in the Risk-Conscious Package for aggressive stocks. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period.

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I Know First Evaluation Report For Currencies Universe

Executive SummaryIn this Forecast Evaluation Report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Forex market that we send to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers time period from March 28, 2019 to May 19, 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods, and then apply it to the currency pairs universe as covered by the I Know First’s “Currencies” package. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying signal and volatility filters to pick the best performing currency pairs: Currencies Highlights:Top 5 currency pairs had better returns in all short-term time horizons, providing an average return of 0.21% in the 2 day horizon which outperformed the benchmark by 950%.Top 5 currency pairs provided the highest return of 0.24% in 1 day.

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Evaluation Report For The Currencies Market

Executive Summary

In this Live Forecast Evaluation Report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Currency market which were delivered to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1, 2018 – November 31, 2018. We present below the key observations when signal and predictability filters were applied in order to pick the best performing currency pairs out of the most predictable ones:

 

 

Currencies Universe Highlights:

  • The Top 10 most predictable currency pairs on 3-months’ investment horizon provided the highest return of 2.02% and beat the benchmark by 0.11%.
  • We monitor an improving return with the increase of the forecast time horizon¬- the difference in return from 1 month to 3 months for the Top 10 currency pairs is 1.42%.
  • Top 10 currency pairs outperform the benchmark, whereas Top 20 currency pairs outperform the benchmark in 3 out of 5 cases.

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