Aggressive Stocks Amid Coronavirus Market in 2020

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of the live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for the Aggressive stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied to pick the best-performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from 20th December 2019 to 8th November 2020. The corresponding returns distribution of stock filters for the Aggressive stocks are shown below:

Figure 1 : Average Returns Per Time Horizon – Short Term
Figure 2: Average Returns Per Time Horizon - Long Term

Highlights:

  • The highest average return in the longest horizon of time - 3 months: for the Top 20 signals - 12.32%, for the Top 10 signals - 17.16%, for the Top 5 signals - 14.94%.
  • S&P 500 price target implying a 12% rally in 2021.
  • 17,16 % - the highest average return for an investor is the Top 10 Signals with a period of 3 months.

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NVDA Stock Prediction: Nvidia Deserves A Price Target of $630

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • My July 27 prediction that NVDA will trade above $460 from its pursuit of ARM Holdings came true.
  • NVDA is again trading below $530. NVDA still deserves a 1-year price target of $630. Owning ARM Holdings is a massive tailwind for Nvidia.
  • SoftBank has agreed to Nvidia’s offer of up to $40 billion offer for ARM Holdings. Nvidia will pay $12 billion in cash plus $21.5 billion in NVDA common shares.
  • Nvidia also agreed to grant $1.5 billion equity to ARM Holdings’ employees and a future bonus payout of $5 billion in cash or NVDA stock based on future financial performance of ARM Holdings.
  • Nvidia promised to retain ARM Holdings as a British company. Nvidia said it will not revise the open-licensing business model. These promises should appease government regulators.

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Stocks Under $50: ANF, BJRI, and AMRK Gain Up to 33.38%

Caleres Inc. (CAL)

Caleres Inc. is one of the biggest footwear companies in the United States operating various footwear brands. Current brands include Famous Footwear, Naturalizer, Dr. Scholl’s Shoes, LifeStride, Bzees, Rykä, Sam Edelman, Allen Edmonds, Franco Sarto, Via Spiga, Vince, Diane von Furstenberg (DVF), George Brown Bilt, Carlos by Carlos Santana and Fergie Footwear. Its headquarters is located in Clinton, Missouri at St. Louis.

Over the past week CAL has shown outstanding growth in its stock price as I Know First predicted in their 3 days stock predictions for stocks under 50$. CAL was the top performing

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HPQ Stock Forecast: Why You Should Hold HP Inc Stock

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic is obviously a tailwind for most companies. HP Inc. is obviously go to trade sideways below $20 for a long time.
  • HP Inc. will report its Q2 2020 earnings later today. Our HPQ stock forecast most likely predicts a drop even with an EPS and revenue beat.
  • The -12.3% decline in Q1 was due to the COVID-19 global pandemic. This was because of shuttered Chinese factories during February-March period.
  • PC sales will still suffer year-over-year declines for most of this year. Many companies are retrenching employees instead of adopting work-from-home.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic is also a big headwind for HP’s printing business.

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Intel Stock Forecast: Ignore The FUD Noise, Intel Is Still A Strong Buy

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Intel’s stock dropped recently due to the noise that TSMC plans to build a $12 billion factory in the U.S.
  • Another noise that contributed to the dip is from U.S. Department of Commerce’s decision requiring U.S. firms to acquire a license before they can sell products to Huawei.
  • Learned investors should be deaf to the noise now, Intel is still a long-term winner. TSMC’s U.S. factory is not coming soon.
  • There are other PC and smartphone vendors that could mitigate losing Huawei as a chip customer.
  • INTC is still an embodiment of a callous market and undervaluation.

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Nvidia Stock Forecast: Bullish Outlook for Nvidia in 2020

motek 1The article was written by Chloe Peng, Analyst at I Know First., Master of Science of Finance candidate at Brandeis University.

Summary:

  • Nvidia generates 178.61% return on its stocks in 1 year from Sep.10th, 2016 - Sep.10th, 2017
  • The industry is facing both challenges and opportunities under current situation, as e-sport events are cancelled but stay-at-home advice also caused increase in video gaming time. The overall influence is still unclear.
  • As the leader in its sector, Nvidia maintains its share in GPU market, as well as expands to new markets, for example systems for autonomous vehicles to seek for growth.
  • I hold a 1-year bullish outlook for Nvidia despite the current disruptions to the business due to the coronavirus pandemic.

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MA Stock Forecast: Surge In Credit Card Usage Justify MasterCard’s High Valuation Ratios

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Governments around the world are still extending their quarantine/lockdown mandates. This is forcing many people to do costly cash advances on their Mastercard-issued credit cards.
  • We conclude that the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic problem persists as a tailwind for MasterCard. There’s a surge in credit card usage when people are forcibly stuck-at-home.
  • Online shopping and stay-home entertainment are the new normal. As one of the biggest credit card issuers, Mastercard certainly benefits from quarantine edicts.
  • The current pandemic elevated the importance of owning credit cards like those issued by Mastercard. Aside from shopping, credit cards give easy access to quick, no-collateral loans via cash advances.
  • No thanks to COVID-19, I expect Mastercard’s revenue growth for 2020 to beat the previous 5-year 12.35% CAGR.

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BIDU Stock Forecast: Baidu Can Overcome The Headwind Caused By Its Corrupt Former Vice-President

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • I am highly confident that Baidu’s stock can bounce back to above $110 within the next 90 days.
  • Baidu’s Moral Committee has accused its former Vice-President of Finance Wei Fang of corrupt practices. Wei Fang is now in police custody.
  • The prompt arrest and incarceration of a thieving employee will eventually lead to a return of investors’ confidence on BIDU
  • As China’s biggest search engine, Baidu obviously benefits from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Think asymmetrically! You will agree with my verdict that BIDU is a bargain stock that we should all buy.This company has a pseudo-monopoly on China’s search ads business.

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