Tag: performance report

Top Japanese Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

June 25, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Japanese stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from January 1st, 2019, to June 22nd, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the Japanese market since the beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic, February 22nd, 2020.

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs Nikkei 225 for short term horizons since **January 1st, 2019 until June 22nd, 202**0.

Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for period since February 22nd, 2020 (Coronavirus) until June 22nd, 2020.

Top Japanese Stocks Highlights

The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed Nikkei 250 Index for all three time horizons.
The Top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 5.39% using the two-week time horizon.
Since the start of the Coronavirus, the Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First remained extremely profitable, while the Nikkei 250 declined.
Using the two-week time horizon, the top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 10.89% since the start of the Coronavirus.
Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming Nikkei 250 both before and after the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.
Hit ratios for all time horizons are above 50% since the start of COVID-19.

Top ETFs: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

June 3, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Best ETFs for long and short positions (20 ETFs) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1, 2019, to May 24, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the US market since the coronavirus pandemic (see ^S&P500 Price Movement chart below).

Top ETF Picks Evaluation Highlights:

The most impressive outperformance of the S&P 500 Index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 3-day horizon with 28 times more returns.
The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in short term horizons.
The Top 5 signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in the one-year horizon.
Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 since Coronavirus pandemic.
Every signal group has hit ratios equal to or higher than 50% for all time horizons.

Algorithmic Performance

Stock Market Forecast: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report – Accuracy Up To 72%

May 18, 2020

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

The best Hit Ratio is 72% for the 90-day time horizon of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ)
Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 60% accurate for all time horizons.

Algorithmic Performance

Top S&P 500 Stocks Performance Report By Day Of The Week By I Know First Evaluation

April 22, 2020

Executive Summary

Is there a best day to start trading with I Know First AI signals? The purpose of this report is answer this question presenting the results of our live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for S&P 500 Stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied, picking the top 5 signals out of the 30 most predictable ones. Also, the results were filtered by the day of the week the forecasts were generated and compared with the S&P 500. The period under evaluation is from January 1^st, 2019 to April 1^st, 2020. The corresponding returns distribution for S&P 500 stocks by day of the week are shown below:

S&P 500 Stocks Package Highlights:

No matter the day and the time horizon, the average return of the I Know First Algorithm is always positive.
There is a clear increasing trend for returns improvement with the time horizon.
Monday and Wednesday had higher returns on the short-term horizons on average.
The algorithm results consistently outperform the S&P 500 in every condition.

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Algorithmic Performance

MU Stock Forecast: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

April 5, 2020

MU Stock Forecast: Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Micron Technology stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the MU stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 29 January 2019 to 29 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our MU predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

85% Hit Ratio for 1-year time period for MU stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significant less risk
Predictions consistently hit above 56% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Algorithmic Performance

Nvidia Stock Predictions: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

April 1, 2020

Nvidia Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Nvidia stock predictions generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the NVDA with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 29 January 2019 to 27 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our Nvidia stock predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

100% Hit Ratio for a 1-year time period for Nvidia stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
Predictions consistently hit above 58% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Algorithmic Performance

Apple Stock Forecast: I Know First Stock Forecasts Evaluation Report

March 29, 2020

Apple Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Apple stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the AAPL stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 23 January 2019 to 23 March 2020. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our AAPL predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

100% Hit Ratio for a 1-year time period for Apple Inc stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
Predictions consistently hit above 65% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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Algorithmic Performance

Best Chinese Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

March 26, 2020

Japanese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

Outperformance until 1526% and the majority of signal groups succeeded in outperforming SSE Composite Index
Amazing performances with an average return of 24.42%
I Know First reached an accuracy of 71%
Most of signal groups have hit ratios higher than 50% for the longest time horizons