Why Artificial Intelligence Will Always Beat the Market

motek 1This algorithmic article was written by Yutong Li – Analyst at I Know First, Master's candidate at Brandeis University.

Highlights:

  • Despite the controversial opinion on whether Artificial Intelligence could beat the market, AI could still win in many aspects
  • I Know First’s proprietary AI-powered algorithm can make accurate predictions and smartly approach the stock market uncertainty
  • Based on the 1-year evaluation summary, I Know First has predicted ^IXIC, SPY, and QQQ with 100% accuracy in a 1-year time horizon, and has a performance over 62% for for all time horizons

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Apple Stock Forecast: Substantial Earnings & Growth Amid The COVID-19

Apple Stock Predictions Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Apple stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the AAPL stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1st October 2019 to 1st January 2021. Below, we present our key takeaways for checking hit ratios of our AAPL predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 100% Hit Ratio for the 1-year time period for AAPL stock forecast allowing our clients to be able to invest their money with significantly less risk
  • Predictions consistently hit above 57% accuracy despite volatile market conditions

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I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: December 30th, 2020


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
December 30, 2020

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Stock Market Forecast: S&P 500 & Nasdaq – Accuracy Up To 100%

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

  • The best hit Ratio is 100% for the 365-day time horizon both of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ) and S&P500 (IXIC)
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 60% accurate for all time horizons.

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Apple Stock Forecast: 2020 Remains A Prosperous Year for AAPL Stock

Habiba MohamedThis Apple stock forecast article was written by Habiba Mohamed – Junior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Apple showed robust returns in the Q3 financial statement showing an increase of 11% from the year-go quarter
  • A stock split in AAPL stocks is helping in boosting the desire of buying Apple shares
  • 5G initiation is the biggest innovation in phones’ history, that will result in an increase in the AAPL stock price 

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Apple Stock Forecast: AI-Powered Algorithm Maintains High Accuracy

Executive Summary:

This evaluation report will present a demonstration of the performance of the Apple stock forecast generated by the I know First AI Algorithm for the AAPL stock with time ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered on a daily basis to our clients. The following analysis will be covering the time period from June 1, 2019 through Sep 13, 2020. Here is a comprehensive display of the hit ratios of our AAPL predictions in the stock market.

Highlights:

  • 100% Hit ratio for the one-year time period gives our clients the confidence to invest with less risk
  • Predictions are always above 62% precision regardless of market volatility
  • In accordance with our Al predictions, the stock price increased by 155.90% over the studied time interval

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Aggressive Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Aggressive stocks for long and short positions which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from December 20, 2019, to September 9th, 2020. 

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals for Aggressive stocks vs S&P 500 for short term horizons since December 20th, 2020 until September 9th, 2020
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals for Aggressive stocks vs S&P 500 for long term horizons since December 20th, 2020 until September 9th, 2020

Top Aggressive Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed S&P 500 Index for the short and long term horizons.
  • All the groups returns had a good performance, especially the ones for the 3 Months time horizon. Every group registered a return higher than 10%.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the S&P 500 for almost 9 times for the 14 days time horizon.

Top S&P 500 Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the S&P 500 stocks for long and short positions which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from October 9, 2018, to July 19th, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the S&P stocks predictions for long and short positions and only long position. 

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for only long position vs. S&P 500 for short-term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020.
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for only long position vs. S&P 500 for long-term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020.
Chart 3: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for long & short positions vs S&P 500 for short-term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020
Chart 4: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model for long & short positions vs S&P 500 for long term horizons from October 9, 2018, until July 19th, 2020.

S&P 500 Stocks Highlights

  • In the short term horizons, all groups' signals outperformed the S&P 500.
  • Our highest signals tend to have the largest returns over short term time horizons and over year long periods. 
  • Only long positions had higher returns than the Long and Short for each time horizon.  
  • Every signal group across every time horizon gave a hit ratio over 53%, showing consistent and reliable accuracy.
  • Our top-5 signals had returns of 12.80% (Long Only) and 11.49% (Long and Short) over year long periods, handily beating the S&P 500 index. 

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