Best Brazilian Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Best Brazilian Stocks Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by both the Daily and Global models achieved positive returns that outperformed the Ibovespa index.
  • Except in a few cases, signal filtering proved again to have a strong effect on returns. Top 5 filtering achieved returns of up to 12.01% and outperformed the Ibovespa index by a significantly high margin.
  • The Global model effect was observed only long time horizons, where it achieved impressive returns and exceptional accuracy: For the 30 and 90 days, average returns were 10.56% and 20.25% respectively, while hit- ratios were 71% and 90%.

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TSM Stock Forecast: Raise Your Winning Bets On Taiwan Semiconductor

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s stock has a 1-year price return of more than 38%.
  • I’m still endorsing TSM as a buy. The recent out of court settlement with GlobalFoundries insured that chip foundry customers of Taiwan Semiconductor have nothing to worry about.
  • Smartphone sales are peaking but stronger PC shipments is a tailwind for Taiwan Semiconductor.
  • The absence of competition from GlobalFoundries is a tailwind for TSM.
  • Next year’s rollout of 5-nm process will increase TSM’s chip manufacturing lead over Intel and Samsung.

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Bitcoin Forecast Performance Evaluation by I Know First – November 2019

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Bitcoin currency pairs with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 January 2019 to 31 October 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying our algorithm to determine the predicted direction in the given time horizon for Bitcoin currency pairs:

Bitcoin Currency Pairs Highlights:

  • The best returns were obtained in the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, providing an average return of 53.83% in the 3-months time horizon.
  • The best hit ratios were similarly obtained for the 1-month and 3-months time horizons, with the best hit ratio being 76% for the 3-months time horizon.

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In the News: I Know First Featured on Business Insider Article

business insider

I Know First was featured on Business Insider- ATVI Stock Forecast Article by Motek Moyen was recently featured in an Activision Blizzard (ATVI) stock analysis by Tezcan Gcgil published on Business Insider. Specifically, this article refers to Motek’s latest considerations regarding Activision Blizzard’s passive approach towards the online gaming competition, and its lack of Battle Royal games as the main reason for the company’s failure to compete with popular online games such as Fortnite.

Despite this criticism, Moyen’s recommended to take long position on the stock, mainly due to

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In The News: I Know First Featured by Webedia

I Know First has had the privilege of being discussed in an article published on El Blog Salmón, a blog dedicated to the economy, finance and the world of business under Webedia. The article analysed how artificial intelligence has been successful in predicting the price movements of stock markets and companies, and discussed how AI might continue to be a game-changer in disrupting the financial markets by providing timely critical information for investors to get ahead. I Know First’s S&P 500 artificial-intelligence produced forecast from January 2019 to July 2019 was cited for its excellent hit ratio, which was consistently above 60% for all time horizons ranging from 3 days to 3 months, with a peak hit ratio of 79% for the 2 weeks time horizon.

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I Know First Evaluation Report for Short-Term Currencies – July

Executive Summary

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the currency market with short term time horizons ranging from 1 to 6 days, which were delivered daily to our institutional clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 28 March 2019 to 30 June 2019. Below, we present our key takeaways from applying signal and volatility filters to pick the best performing currency pairs:

Currencies

Currencies Highlights:

  • Top 5 currency pairs without volatility adjusted had better returns on the 1-, 2- and 3-days’ time horizons, providing the highest return of 0.22% on the 1 day’ horizon.
  • Top 5 currency pairs with volatility adjusted had better returns on the 4-, 5- and 6- days’ periods providing the highest average return on the 4 days’ time horizon of 0.18%.
  • Top 10 and Top 5 currency pairs outperformed the benchmark on all time horizons with a significant difference.

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I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: June 10, 2019


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
June 10, 2019

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I Know First Algorithm Evaluation Report for Live ETF Universe Forecasts

Executive Summary:

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the ETF universe, which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 April 2019 to 31 May 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the ETF universe. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of I Know First’s live AI predictive algorithm’s performance.

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