Stock Market Forecast: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report – Accuracy Up To 72%

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

  • The best Hit Ratio is 72% for the 90-day time horizon of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ)
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 60% accurate for all time horizons.
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Best Israeli Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

Top Israeli Stocks Market Evaluation Highlights:

  • Amazing performance with an average return of 33.55% over 1 year.
  • I Know First reached an accuracy of 81% over 3 months.
  • Most of signal groups have hit ratios greater than or equal to 50%.
  • The majority of signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming TA 125 Index.

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Stocks to Short: S&P 500 Stocks Forecast Performance Evaluation Report for Short Positions

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for short positions for S&P 500 stocks which were daily sent to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1st, 2020, to March 25th, 2020. The report also demonstrates the performance since Coronavirus started affecting global economy (February 22nd). Below, we present our key takeaways of our stock market predictions.

stocks to short
Chart 1: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since January 1st, 2020.
stocks to short
Chart 2: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since January 1st, 2020.
Chart 3: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since February 22nd, 2020.
Chart 4: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since February 22nd, 2020.

S&P 500 Stocks to Short Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts for short positions that were generated achieved positive returns and outperformed SPY (short position) on both periods analyzed.
  • Signal filtering has a positive effect on returns for 3-,7- and 14 days time horizons.
  • I Know First algorithm performed impressive accuracy achieving hit ratios higher than 60% on every time horizon and reaching up to 98% on 14 days’ time frame over coronavirus times.

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Best Chinese Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

Japanese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

  • Outperformance until 1526% and the majority of signal groups succeeded in outperforming SSE Composite Index
  • Amazing performances with an average return of 24.42%
  • I Know First reached an accuracy of 71%
  • Most of signal groups have hit ratios higher than 50% for the longest time horizons

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Stock Market Predictions: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report – Accuracy Up To 82%

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

  • The best Hit Ratio is 82% for the 90 day-time horizon of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ)
  • Almost all forecasts are more than 70% accurate for the longest time horizons
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Best Japanese Stock Market: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Japanese Stock Market Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons.
  • Top 5 by signal group achieved returns of up to 9,72%. It also outperformed the Nikkei 225 index by a significantly high margin in the 30 and 14 days time horizon in accordance with the Daily Model.
  • The Global Model forecasts obtained positive returns for all time horizons.

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Best Brazilian Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Best Brazilian Stocks Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by both the Daily and Global models achieved positive returns that outperformed the Ibovespa index.
  • Except in a few cases, signal filtering proved again to have a strong effect on returns. Top 5 filtering achieved returns of up to 12.01% and outperformed the Ibovespa index by a significantly high margin.
  • The Global model effect was observed only long time horizons, where it achieved impressive returns and exceptional accuracy: For the 30 and 90 days, average returns were 10.56% and 20.25% respectively, while hit- ratios were 71% and 90%.

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Top S&P 500 Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Report

Top S&P 500 stocks returns summary

Top S&P 500 Stocks Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons and outperformed the S&P 500 for short time horizons (3 to 14 days).
  • We observed a consistent positive effect of signal-based filtering, besides one exception in the 90 days time horizon, additional screening by signal always resulted in higher performance.
  • The Global Model improved the performance even further - our algorithm's forecast according to this new model enabled a more flexible trading strategy that generated robust returns compared to both the S&P 500 Benchmark and the traditional model performance on longer horizons.
  • The highest return of 6.86% was obtained by applying the Global Model on the 90-days time stock market forecast horizon.

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