I Know First Live Forecast Evaluation Report For Currencies Universe – Using Predictability And Signal While Searching For The Best Currencies

Executive Summary

In this live forecast evaluation report for currencies we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Forex market that we sent to our customers on a daily basis. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the currency pairs universe covered by I Know First’s “Currencies” package and compare it to the benchmark performance over the same period. This report continues our investigation published on September 27, 2018.

Currencies Universe Highlights

  • The Top 5 most predictable stocks on 3-months’ investment horizon provided the highest return of 4.41% and beat the benchmark by 2.23%
  • We monitor an improving return with the increase of the forecast time horizon¬- the difference in return from 1 month to 3 months for the Top 5 stocks is 4.16%
  • Top 5 and Top 10 stocks largely outperform the benchmark, whereas Top 20 stocks outperform the benchmark in 3 out of 5 cases.

Bayesian Inference and I Know First’s Application

   


This article was written by Kwon Sok Oh, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.    




Summary

  1. Introduction of Bayesian Inference and BAC Example
  2. Prior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  3. Likelihood Function: Concepts and BAC Example
  4. Posterior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  5. Posterior Predictive Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  6. Conclusion of Discussion and BAC Example
  7. I Know First and Bayesian Neural Networks

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Press Release: I Know First in “Altéir Fintech Sélection book” for 2018

Press Release: Tel Aviv, Israel, April 15th, 2018 – Paris Fintech Forum, Location: Paris, France

As a follow up to the previous Press Release news, I Know First is one of the 140 Fintech companies, selected by the Paris Fintech Forum to be in the yearly “Altéir Fintech Sélection book” for 2018.  Yaron Golgher, Co-Founder, and CEO of I Know First represented I Know First and spoke at the Paris Fintech Forum which took place on January 30-31 in Paris, France.

 

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