Energy Stocks: AI beats the S&P 500 by 42.62% with an Accuracy of 94%


  • The highest average return is 75.46% for the Top 5 Signals on a 1-year time horizon
  • The most impressive out-performance against the S&P 500 index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 30-day horizon with 2.86 times higher return
  • Predictions reach up to 94% hit ratio regardless of economic conditions amid COVID-19
  • Every signal group has hit ratios above 49% for all time horizons
  • I Know First provides an investment strategy for institutional investors that generated a return of 192.54% and exceeded the S&P 500 return by 142.96% for the period from July 7th, 2020 to November 7th, 2021

Read Full Report

The Israeli FinTech Workshop

We are proud to inform you that I Know First is invited to the Israeli FinTech – Capital Markets & Customer Experience Solutions workshop, organized by the Canada Israel Chamber of Commerce in cooperation with EquiTech, on November 9, 2021.

KSS Stock Forecast: Activist Investors ‘Wakeup Call’ Signals Start of a Change

This KSS stock forecast article was written by Maria Grishaev, Analyst at I Know First.

Executive Summary

  • Kohl's Corporation had a mixed year in 2020. The stock price went down by 17.28% from $48.50 to $40.69 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Following a public dispute with an activist investors group and sequential agreement, fixing everything the activist group outlined in their analysis of Kohl's is ahead.
  • Quantitative analysis results indicate bullish signals after stock price topped out the moving average line.
  • KSS deserves a one-year target price of $80, representing revenue growth and business model improvements.

New forecasting serviceRead The Full Premium Article

Subscribe to receive exclusive PREMIUM content Here

I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: August 24th, 2020

I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
August 24, 2020


Read The Full Newsletter

Winning Stock Forecast: EP Energy Corporation (NYSE: EPE) Stock Increases By 77.30% Within Past 2 Weeks

Winning Stock Forecast: EP Energy Corporation (NYSE: EPE) Stock Increases By 77.30% Within Past 2 Weeks


[Source: PRNewswireFoto/EP Energy Corporation)

“In energy, I think there’s a massive opportunity for the U.S. to become a major supplier of energy to China. They have incredible amounts of demand at these prices for our shale and our liquid natural gas. I think we can easily get about $40 or $50 billion of energy, and if we can produce and send more with infrastructure, they can even take more.”

— U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, Steven Mnuchin

During the recent three weeks, EP Energy Corp (NYSE:EPE) has grabbed attention from analysts, when it saw a value increase of 80.91% reaching the current price of $3.31. The stock showed weekly performance of 13.89%, which was maintained for the month at 88.51%. Stocks are solidly higher as of Monday May 21, days after the U.S. and China appeared to make major progress in trade talks. The Chinese government says it will buy more goods and services and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin says the U.S. postponed tariffs on up to $150 billion in goods from China after the two sides made “meaningful progress” toward a new trade agreement. Industrial companies and banks are making some of the biggest gains. A total of 2.09 Million shares exchanged hands during the intra-day trade compared with its average trading volume of 996.37 Million shares, while its relative volume stands at 2.09.

Likewise, the performance for the quarter was recorded as 86.36% and for the year was -24.60%. EP Energy Corp as of recent trade, has shown weekly upbeat performance of 11.07% which was maintained at 90.23% in 1-month period. During the past three months the stock gain was 92.44%, bringing the six months performance to 39.66%. The year-to-date (YTD) performance reflected a 40.25% positive outlook.

[Source: Yahoo Finance, May 22, 2018]
The U.S. and China concluded two days of trade negotiations with a contract not to impose tariffs on each other, while Beijing said it will buy more farm goods, energy and other products and services from U.S. companies. The two sides gave no indication of how much progress they had made toward ending their dispute entirely, as China said it can’t guarantee that trade tensions will be permanently avoided and Mnuchin said President Donald Trump could reintroduce the tariffs he’s projected if the countries don’t reach a contract. The dollar jumped to 111.15 yen from 110.68 yen late Friday. The euro dipped to $1.1757 from $1.1773. Benchmark U.S. crude oil rose 0.7 percent to $71.81 a barrel in New York. Brent crude, used to price international oil, added 0.4 percent to $78.81 per barrel in London.

Energy exports to play ‘massive’ role in any breakthrough in the US-China trade talks

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said there is a “massive opportunity” for U.S. energy exports to China, after the trade partners reached a truce. China has emerged as one of the biggest buyers of U.S. oil since the American government lifted an export ban on the raw material in 2015. The Trump administration has also facilitated increased shipments of U.S. natural gas to China. Energy will play a major role in a breakthrough in trade talks between the Trump administration and its Chinese counterparts, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told CNBC on Monday.

U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators agreed this weekend to put on hold tariffs that they have threatened against one another, after China agreed to purchase more American goods. The concession could move the needle on one of President Donald Trump’s major goals: reducing the U.S. trade deficit with China. To be sure, some economists have flagged challenges to increasing exports to China, from Beijing’s ability to facilitate the imports to American farmers and manufacturers producing at or near full capacity.

However, oil and natural gas production is one area of the U.S. economy that is indeed booming, =&0=& Meanwhile, China, the engine of the global economy, is hungry for more fossil fuels as more drivers take to the nation’s roads and the government seeks to generate more electric power from cleaner-burning natural gas.

“In energy, I think there’s a massive opportunity for the U.S. to become a major supplier of energy to China,” Mnuchin told CNBC on Monday. “They have incredible amounts of demand at these prices for our shale and our liquid natural gas. I think we can easily get about $40 or $50 billion of energy, and if we can produce and send more with infrastructure, they can even take more,” he said.

That would be an ambitious target. U.S. oil and gas exports to China were worth $4.3 billion in 2017, according to Reuters. The United States is already doing brisk trade with China, which has emerged as one of the largest purchasers of U.S. oil since the Obama administration reached a compromise with Congress to lift a 40-year export ban on raw crude.

“As the U.S. crude export trade evolves we’re seeing a growing trend of [very large crude carriers] being loaded, so that percentage of total exports is around 40-50 percent around any given month and the vast majority of those are heading to China,” said Matt Smith, director of commodity research at tanker tracking firm ClipperData.

Oil output from shale fields is soon projected to rise above 7 million barrels a day and has boosted total U.S. production to about 10.7 million barrels a day, according to preliminary government figures. The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects the United States will average 11.9 million barrels a day next year, surpassing No. 1 producer Russia. The boom in oil production from western Texas has created bottlenecks in the region, causing prices for regional crude to fall as drillers struggle to get their product to market. Consequently, that oil is now trading at a big discount to international benchmark Brent crude, making it attractive to foreign buyers. Mnuchin made clear on Monday that the trade will occur between companies, and it will have to be in the interest of both Chinese and U.S. firms. China has historically used its leverage as the world’s second-largest oil consumer to influence crude prices, taking advantage of discounts among different grades of crude from around the world. However, the type of light, sweet crude that comes from shale is ideal for many Chinese refineries. The Trump administration has already made progress opening the Chinese market to U.S. natural gas exporters. A year ago, the U.S. Commerce Department reached an agreement with Chinese authorities that allowed state-owned companies to negotiate long-term contracts with U.S. natural gas exporters, something Beijing had been hesitant to do.

Analyst Recommendations:

According to analyst recommendations from Yahoo Finance, the current consensus is a “Hold” in EPE Stock, with 8 advising a “Strong Buy”, 19 advising a “Buy” and 3 advising a “Hold”.

I Know First’s Success With EPE Stock:

On May 4th 2018, Know First issued a bullish 14-day forecast for EP Energy Corporation (NYSE:EPE). The forecast illustrated a signal  of 16.33 and a predictability of 0.2. In accordance with the forecast, EPE stock returned 77.30% over this period, highlighting the accuracy of the prediction produced by the I Know First algorithm.

Current I Know First subscribers received this bullish EPE forecast on May 4th 2018

To subscribe today click here.



Read More

Stock Predictions Based On Machine Learning: Up To 62.31% Return In 1 Year

Package Name: Tech Stocks
Forecast Length: 1 year (9/7/14 – 9/7/15)
I Know First Average: 19.21% Long; 24.45% Short

Read The Full Forecast

Stock Predictions

Stock Predictions Using An Advanced AI Based Algorithm: Up To 113.25% Return in 7 Days

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Forecast Length: 7 Days (8/23/2015 - 8/30/2015)
I Know First Average: 22.36%

Read The Full Forecast

Stock Predictions

Stock Predictions Using Artificial Intelligence: An Average Return of 8.90% in 14 Days

Package Name: Bank Stocks
Forecast Length: 14 Days (8/5/15 – 8/19/15)
I Know First Average: 1.66% Long; 8.90% Short

Read The Full Forecast

Stock Predictions