Stock Market Forecast: Does the Stock Market Feature Memory?

April 28, 2022
This article was written by:

Sergey Okun Sergey Okun – Financial Analyst at I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Alisa IartsevaAlisa Iartseva – Data analyst at I Know First.

Highlights:

  • The stock market has a long-term memory that allows us to make reliable predictions of the future based on previous behaviors and tendencies.
  • The S&P 500 has the highest Hurst exponent compared with the DAX 30, the CAC 40, and the FTSE 100.
  • The Hurst exponent rises with the extension of the step period length which decreases noise in a time series and increases predictability.

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Algorithmic Articles

FICC e-Trading Survey Shows Rise in Algo-Trading

March 31, 2022
This "FICC e-Trading Survey Shows Rise in Algo-Trading" article was written by Michael Shpits, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Survey takers see inflation, market and economy dislocation, and the global pandemic as the developments which will have the top impact on 2022 markets.
  • Respondents predict mobile trading platforms along with blockchain and AI/machine learning technologies being the most influential in the future of trading. Of the total survey takers, 75% see an increase in electronic trading and 63% see an increasing in algorithmic trading.
  • I Know First’s Predictive Algorithm can supplement traditional portfolios and provide opportunities before the rest of the market to meet the demand for algo-driven trading in an ever-increasing computerized trading environment.

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Algorithmic Articles

Stock Market Forecast for Major US Indexes Reaches 70% Accuracy Despite Market Volatility

February 22, 2022

Stock Market Indexes Forecast Highlights:

  • The best hit Ratio is 100% for the 1-year time horizon for SPY ETF, Dow Jones Industrial and Transportation Indexes
  • S&P500 is reaching 90% accuracy for the 3-month time horizon
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 50% accurate for all time horizons except Russell 2000

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Algorithmic Performance

I Know First at Fintech Event in China

January 27, 2022

I know first was invited to the first fintech event in 2022 in China, which was held with china's economic attachés together with Israel Export Institute. The goal is to introduce Israeli fintech solutions to Chinese companies and banks. Today, China is a leading country in the electronic payments field (e.g-the WeChat Pay and Alipay apps, and the surrounding ecosystem).

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In The News

Client Review of Using I Know First Forecasting Services

December 22, 2021

The main purpose of our company is to provide algorithmic forecasting solutions for the capital markets to uncover the best investment opportunities for our clients, and client feedback is the best way to evaluate the quality of our services. We glade to see a tweet from Socrates The Trader about using our algorithmic forecasts and sharing his experience across of investors community.

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In The News

Consumer Stocks: AI beats the S&P 500 by 176.50%

November 29, 2021

Highlights:

  • The highest average return is 208.41% for the Top 5 Signals on a 1-year time horizon
  • The most impressive out-performance against the S&P 500 index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 1-year horizon with 6.53 times higher return
  • Predictions reach up to 91% hit ratio regardless of economic conditions amid COVID-19
  • Every signal group has hit ratios above 52% for all time horizons
  • I Know First provides an investment strategy for institutional investors that generated a return of 472.68% and exceeded the S&P 500 return by 426.58% for the period from July 26th, 2020 to November 21th, 2021

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Algorithmic Performance

Black Friday Special | 30% OFF Every Forecast | 24 Hours Only

November 26, 2021

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In The News Stock Forecast & S&P500 Forecast

BAC Stock Forecast: Bullish Stock Amidst Inflation Woes

November 22, 2021
Opher Joseph This BAC Stock Forecast article was written by Opher Joseph – Financial Analyst, I Know First.

Summary:

  • BAC traded at 52-week high in Nov-2021 at $48.37
  • Bank of America expected to consolidate steady earnings and financials in the coming periods with modest growth predictions.
  • 3-year average share buyback ratio is 5.6 that better than 97.60% companies in the industry./li>

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