How AI Stock Market Predictions Enable Better Trading for Charles Schwab Investors

July 30, 2020

The article was written by Jessica Kremer - Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • During Q2 2020, Charles Schwab has been able to add new accounts and increase its daily average trades.
  • The company stands out from its competitors since it offers trading in multiple global markets, and the implementation of fractional trading only further elevates their position as a leading brokerage.
  • I Know First can provide Schwab investors with multiple stock forecasting options, including custom forecasts for individual portfolios.
“E-Trade

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Bottom Up Stock Market Forecast for the main World Indices by using AI Powered Predictive Algorithm

July 20, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we introduced new bottom up signal generation methods using the I Know First AI Algorithm for the following world indices: S&P 500, DAX and CAC40. We compare the new bottom up signals’ performance with the direct forecasts’ performance generated for the indices using our short term model (1 to 6 days) and daily model (3 days to 3 months). Our analysis covers the time period from April 2, 2019, to April 3, 2020.

Bottom Up Forecast Evaluation Highlights:

  • Short term model showed higher hit ratio than the Daily model for the 3 days’ time horizon for all indices analyzed.
  • S&P 500 predictions showed higher hit ratio for all time horizons and methods than DAX and CAC40.
  • Every method has hit ratios higher than 55% for the index’s predictions using Daily Model.

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Top Japanese Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

June 25, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the Japanese stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from January 1st, 2019, to June 22nd, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the Japanese market since the beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic, February 22nd, 2020.

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs Nikkei 225 for short term horizons since January 1st, 2019 until June 22nd, 2020.
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for period since February 22nd, 2020 (Coronavirus) until June 22nd, 2020.

Top Japanese Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed Nikkei 250 Index for all three time horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 5.39% using the two-week time horizon.
  • Since the start of the Coronavirus, the Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First remained extremely profitable, while the Nikkei 250 declined.
  • Using the two-week time horizon, the top 5 signal group outperformed the Nikkei 250 by 10.89% since the start of the Coronavirus.
  • Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming Nikkei 250 both before and after the start of the Coronavirus pandemic.
  • Hit ratios for all time horizons are above 50% since the start of COVID-19.

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Algorithmic Performance

Top ETFs: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

June 3, 2020

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Best ETFs for long and short positions (20 ETFs) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1, 2019, to May 24, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the US market since the coronavirus pandemic (see ^S&P500 Price Movement chart below).

Best ETF
Best ETF

Top ETF Picks Evaluation Highlights:

  • The most impressive outperformance of the S&P 500 Index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 3-day horizon with 28 times more returns.
  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in short term horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in the one-year horizon.
  • Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 since Coronavirus pandemic.
  • Every signal group has hit ratios equal to or higher than 50% for all time horizons.

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Stock Market Forecast: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report – Accuracy Up To 72%

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Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

  • The best Hit Ratio is 72% for the 90-day time horizon of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ)
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 60% accurate for all time horizons.
stock market predictions

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Top S&P 500 Stocks Performance Report By Day Of The Week By I Know First Evaluation

April 22, 2020

Executive Summary

Is there a best day to start trading with I Know First AI signals? The purpose of this report is answer this question presenting the results of our live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for S&P 500 Stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied, picking the top 5 signals out of the 30 most predictable ones. Also, the results were filtered by the day of the week the forecasts were generated and compared with the S&P 500. The period under evaluation is from January 1st, 2019 to April 1st, 2020. The corresponding returns distribution for S&P 500 stocks by day of the week are shown below:

Top S&P 500
Figure 1
Top S&P 500
Figure 2
Top S&P 500
Figure 3
Top S&P 500
Figure 4
Top S&P 500
Figure 5

S&P 500 Stocks Package Highlights:

  • No matter the day and the time horizon, the average return of the I Know First Algorithm is always positive.
  • There is a clear increasing trend for returns improvement with the time horizon.
  • Monday and Wednesday had higher returns on the short-term horizons on average.
  • The algorithm results consistently outperform the S&P 500 in every condition.

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Best Israeli Stocks: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

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Top Israeli Stocks Market Evaluation Highlights:

  • Amazing performance with an average return of 33.55% over 1 year.
  • I Know First reached an accuracy of 81% over 3 months.
  • Most of signal groups have hit ratios greater than or equal to 50%.
  • The majority of signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming TA 125 Index.

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