I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: July 7, 2020


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
July 7, 2020

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IBM Stock Price Forecast: International Business Machines Is Exposed To Further Downside

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The debt load of International Business Machines is worrisome. IBM’s annual sales has been declining since 2011. It will be hard to pare down a total debt of $69.45 billion.
  • IBM had to issue $20 billion in new debt (bond) last year to fund its $34 billion acquisition of Red Hat. This is why IBM’s long-term debt is now more than $52.4 billion.
  • The debt-laden status of IBM plus its lingering inability to reverse the decline in its annual revenue is why its stock is undervalued and under-appreciated.
  • Using debt to grow its cloud business is justified. However, Red Hat is not yet helping cloud revenue grow fast enough to mitigate the decline in IBM’s legacy enterprise business.
  • We can only pray that this pandemic will encourage more companies to subscribe to IBM’s cloud computing solutions.

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Stock Market Forecast: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report – Accuracy Up To 72%

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

  • The best Hit Ratio is 72% for the 90-day time horizon of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ)
  • Our performance evaluation period covers the Covid-19 times, yet all the forecasts are still more than 60% accurate for all time horizons.
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Intel Stock Forecast: Ignore The FUD Noise, Intel Is Still A Strong Buy

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Intel’s stock dropped recently due to the noise that TSMC plans to build a $12 billion factory in the U.S.
  • Another noise that contributed to the dip is from U.S. Department of Commerce’s decision requiring U.S. firms to acquire a license before they can sell products to Huawei.
  • Learned investors should be deaf to the noise now, Intel is still a long-term winner. TSMC’s U.S. factory is not coming soon.
  • There are other PC and smartphone vendors that could mitigate losing Huawei as a chip customer.
  • INTC is still an embodiment of a callous market and undervaluation.

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Nvidia Stock Forecast: Bullish Outlook for Nvidia in 2020

motek 1The article was written by Chloe Peng, Analyst at I Know First., Master of Science of Finance candidate at Brandeis University.

Summary:

  • Nvidia generates 178.61% return on its stocks in 1 year from Sep.10th, 2016 - Sep.10th, 2017
  • The industry is facing both challenges and opportunities under current situation, as e-sport events are cancelled but stay-at-home advice also caused increase in video gaming time. The overall influence is still unclear.
  • As the leader in its sector, Nvidia maintains its share in GPU market, as well as expands to new markets, for example systems for autonomous vehicles to seek for growth.
  • I hold a 1-year bullish outlook for Nvidia despite the current disruptions to the business due to the coronavirus pandemic.

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Netflix Stock Forecast: COVID-19 Is Helping NFLX Ascent To $400

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Statista already projected that the new coronavirus pandemic, COVID-19 can boost subscriber growth of Netflix by as much as 30%.
  • Aside from playing video games, watching streaming video is currently the best entertainment for billions of quarantined people.
  • The cheap $3 mobile-only plans for Asian customers will likely help Netflix achieve 200 million subscribers before 2020 ends.
  • Robust subscriber growth will help Netflix maintain its momentum and help improve its future profitability.
  • The stock picking AI of I Know First has a super bullish one-year market trend forecast score for NFLX, $658.05.

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Coronavirus: Stock Market Threats and Opportunities

This article was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • COVID-19 cases are increasing and not showing signs of stopping;
  • Automotive and flight companies could take the biggest hit in 2020;
  • Medical and biotech stocks are among the opportunities in this situation;
  • Netflix and other stream services can benefit from the outbreak.

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Stock Market Predictions: I Know First S&P 500 & Nasdaq Evaluation Report – Accuracy Up To 82%

Stock Market Predictions Highlights:

  • The best Hit Ratio is 82% for the 90 day-time horizon of Nasdaq ETF (QQQ)
  • Almost all forecasts are more than 70% accurate for the longest time horizons
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