I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: August 20th, 2020


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
August 20, 2020

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DVAX Stock Forecast: High-risk Player Amidst Potential COVID Vaccine

The Tesla stock forecast was written by Hugh Camiener, Analyst at I Know First. Bachelor of Arts candidate at Columbia University.

Summary

  • Dynavax is a commercial state biopharmaceutical company which develops and commercializes vaccines..
  • Dynavax has an FDA approval on their Hepatitis B vaccine, and they have partnered with Sinovac in developing a vaccine for COVID. 
  • The pandemic has caused a significant decline in Dynavax’s revenue, with their net product revenue falling 71% in comparison to Q2 last year.
  • Dynavax’s vaccine partnership with Sinovac has shown positive signs in phase 1 and phase 2 of testing, and their vaccine will be entering phase 3 in Brazil.
  • There is a large amount of volatility in the biopharmaceutical industry; amidst Russia’s self-proclaimed vaccine, Dynavax’s stock fell 9.7%.
  • Dynavax stock forecast remains a high-risk, high reward option..

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I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: August 11th, 2020


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
August 11, 2020

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Investment Strategies Regions Rotation: Using AI in COVID19 Times

This COVID19 investment strategies article was written by Isaac Rothstein - Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • The spread of Coronavirus has negatively impacted almost every stock market
  • Many countries have a correlation between active cases and their stock market performance
  • The United States' technology companies is driving the S&P 500's performance
  • Using AI can identify investment strategies to increase profits during COVID19

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Coronavirus Stocks: Daily Forecast Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Coronavirus related stocks for long and short positions (20 stocks) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the period from March 4th, 2020, to July 19th, 2020.

Chart 1: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for short term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020
Chart 2: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for long term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020
Chart 3: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for short term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020
Chart 4: Performance comparison for Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 long and short position signals by Daily Model vs S&P 500 for long term horizons since March 4th, 2020 until July 19th, 2020

Top Coronavirus Stocks Highlights

  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First consistently outperformed S&P 500 Index for all five time horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group outperformed the S&P 500 by 32.84% using the 3 month time horizon.
  • All hit ratios, except for the top 5 signal one week forecast, are above 50%. All three month hit ratios are above 60%.
  • Using only long positions, returns across every signal group and time horizon drastically increased
  • For long positions only, the top 5 signals with a 3 month time horizon outperformed the S&P 500 by over 75%.
  • Long position hit ratios for all time horizons are above 50% and all 3 month forecast hit ratios are above 85%

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I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: August 4th, 2020

I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
August 4, 2020

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ALGN Stock Forecast: The Return of Healthcare

This article was written by Isaac Rothstein - Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • ALGN stock has over doubled since the Coronavirus Pandemic
  • Invisalign demand will continue to increase drastically
  • The Coronavirus has slowed Invisalign sales but they should rebound quickly
  • I Know First has a bullish 1-year forecast for ALGN

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Sector Rotation Amidst Coronavirus’ Economic Downturn

The Tesla stock forecast was written by Hugh Camiener, Analyst at I Know First. Bachelor of Arts candidate at Columbia University.

Summary

  • Coronavirus has ended the largest bull market in US History, resulting in the worst quarter for the Dow Jones since 1987.
  • Coronavirus' impact has cause a large amount of sector rotation into tech, and this could affect the real estate sector in the long term. 
  • Investors are also considering "undervalued" sectors such as airlines.
  • Artificial Intelligence can help investors determine the right time to rotate sectors and maximize profits amidst volatility in the market.

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