Stock Prediction: Equity Portfolio with Best Industries

I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

I Know First provides investment solutions for institutional investors with a competitive advantage utilizing our advanced self-learning algorithm. I Know First provides an individual approach for institutional clients to improve their investment process based on their needs and preferences. We have evaluated the performance of the equity portfolio with best industries strategy from January 1st, 2020, to December 31st, 2023. Visit our website for more details about I Know First solutions for institutional investors.

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Stock Market Prediction: Trading SPY

I Know First Research Team LogoThis article "Stock market prediction: Sector Rotation Strategy" was written by the I Know First Research Team.

I Know First provides investment solutions for institutional investors with a competitive advantage utilizing our advanced self-learning algorithm. I Know First provides an individual approach for institutional clients to improve their investment process based on their needs and preferences. We have reviewed the performance of the trading SPY strategy during the period from January 1 to December 31. Visit our website for more details about I Know First solutions for institutional investors.

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Stock Market Forecast: RDFN Increased by 10.76%

The stock provided a return of 10.76% during the trading day in line with the I Know First AI forecast on June 27, 2023.

Top Stocks to Buy: Why DDD Deserves A Price Target Of $13

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First

Summary:

  • Exploit the stock markets’ panic over coronavirus. My fearless forecast is 3D Systems’ stock can bounce back to $11 before June.
  • Going forward, 3D Systems will likely find more buyers for its production-grade additive manufacturing printers.
  • Manufacturers who rely too much on outsourced factories in China would likely consider purchasing 3D printers.
  • By having their own in-house 3D printers, companies can quickly produce the most important parts/components that their products require for assembly/production.
  • Wider adoption of additive manufacturing is imminent. I expect 3D Systems to become profitable by end of 2020 or early 2021.

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Autodesk Stock Forecast: Prediction Missed, but Large Potential to Grow

Kun
The article was written by Kun Qiu, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Autodesk’s strategic shift from traditional software provider to innovation company was proven effective since the company’s revenue was steadily increasing.
  • Autodesk failed to reach the consensus EPS anticipation, but the non-GAAP earnings of fiscal 2020 first quarter per share $0.45 is far beyond $0.06 for the same quarter last year.
  • Autodesk’s stock price still has a large potential to grow if Autodesk could maintain its leading role in CAD industry and apply its core strategy successfully.

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Tiffany & Co. Shining to the Top

“Simplicity is the keynote of all true elegance” – Coco Chanel

 

Summary:

  • Tiffany & Co New and Shining
  • Q1 Results Above All Expectations
  • Current I Know First Algorithm Bullish Forecast For TIF

Tiffany & Co., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and retails jewelry and other items in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers jewelry collections, engagement rings, and wedding bands. It also sells timepieces, leather goods, sterling silver goods, china, crystal, stationery, eyewear, fragrances, and other accessories; and wholesales diamonds and earnings. The company sells its products through retail, Internet and catalog, business-to-business, and wholesale distribution channels. As of January 31, 2018, it operated 315 stores, including 124 stores in the Americas, 87 stores in the Asia-Pacific, 54 stores in Japan, 46 stores in Europe, and 4 stores in the United Arab Emirates. Tiffany & Co. was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

 New and Shining- Strategic Priorities

Earlier this year, Tiffany’s CEO Alessandro Bogliolo outlined six strategic priorities for the company. Among these strategic priorities are- Amplifying an evolved brand message, Renewing its product offerings and enhancing in-store presentations, Delivering an “exciting” omnichannel customer experience, Strengthening its competitive position and leading key markets, Cultivating a more efficient operating model and Inspiring an “aligned and agile” organization to win.

Tiffany started achieving those goals and is still in progress.  Tiffany launched on March, 2018 a new “Believe in Love” marketing campaign which highlights racial and sexual diversity in order to renovate its brand message for younger shoppers.            I believe that the campaign contributed to Tiffany’s 11% growth in engagement Jewelry sales during Q1.

[Image Source: Tiffany.com]

In line with the priority of renewing product offerings, Tiffany unveiled “PAPER FLOWERS”, a major collection in platinum and diamonds. This collection combines everyday jewelry together with one-of-a-kind pieces for the first time ever at Tiffany. The collection’s concept is creating a fine jewelry/high jewelry collection that anyone can buy or feel that it fits into their life. This strategic move is a very important launch for the company since it has high jewelry and fine jewelry at different and lower price ranges.

[Image Source: Tiffany.com]

In addition, Tiffany invested in improving its website and started selling a curated selection of jewelry on fashion e-tailer Farfetch in over 40 countries in attempt to deliver an “exciting” omnichannel experience. The new strategic selling action complements Tiffany’s e-commerce partnership with Net-A-Porter and helps Tiffany sell products beyond the 13 countries where it operates its own e-commerce sites.

Tiffany recently opened a new jewelry, design, and innovation workshop near its corporate office in New York City in order to improve its operating efficiency. This new workshop allows the company’s model makers, designers, and engineers to all work under the same roof and develops a more efficient operating model.

Tiffany Q1 Results of 2018

On May 23, Tiffany & Co. released its financial Q1 results of 2018 that rose above all analysts’ expectations. Starting the day trading at $119.32, Tiffany & Co. reached an intraday of $126.64. Shares gained $23.81 by the day ended. In Q1 of 2018, we can specifically see that worldwide net sales rose 15% to $1.0 billion, resulting from broad-based sales growth which, combined with a higher operating margin and a lower effective tax rate, resulted in a 53% increase in net earnings. Net earnings increased to $142 million, or $1.14 per diluted share, from last year’s $93 million, or $0.74 per diluted share. These extraordinary financial Q1 results should draw investors’ attention in a positive direction to see that the company is on a significant growing path.

[Image Source: Tiffany & Co.]

On can see that although, Tiffany had a GAAP reported decrease of 21% in net sales and 7% decrease in comparable sales in some other region that are not stated, it didn’t have much effect on the company’s worldwide total net sales increase of 15% and worldwide total comparable sales increase of 10%. In addition, the company also had a decrease in Constant-Exchange-Rate Basis in both net sales and comparable sales in the other region that are not stated. These decreases did not affect the company’s worldwide total increase in either of the sales.

As shown below, Tiffany topped the market and all the analysts’ expectations with its sales growth across all of its global regions accelerated dramatically.

Region

Constant Currency Sales Growth

Comps Growth
U.S.A8%9%
Asia23%9%
Japan12%9%
Europe1%-9%
Total11%7%

My estimation is that Tiffany’s surging sales growth indicates that its improving strategy efforts are paying off. Global sales growth was stronger than anticipated and mainly benefited from strong sales to tourists from China and from a weak dollar. In Europe most of the growth came from new store openings. As of today, Tiffany is still thriving across most markets except for Europe, where it’s still struggling with lower tourist spending and newer stores in older locations.

RegionQ2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2017Q4 2018
U.S.A1%1%5%9%
Asia2%15%13%28%
Japan1%-8%2%17%
Europe3%5%13%13%

 

Fiscal 2018 Outlook

Following the better-than-expected results, Tiffany raised its guidance for fiscal 2018. Tiffany now envisions worldwide net sales increasing by a high-single-digit percentage over the prior year and net earnings increasing to $4.50 – $4.70 per share, compared with the previous guidance of $4.25-$4.45 per share.

Conclusion

Following the above, TIF stock increased by 27.74% since the Q1 results of 2018 were announced. Tiffany’s efforts to improve its strategic priorities are paying off and led to a stronger sales growth than anticipated.

My conclusion is that TIF stock will continue to grow in the long term given the fact that it is a solid company that keeps improving, renewing and adjusting its strategy according to market trends.

 

[Image Source: Yahoo Finance]

In a 1 year look back one can see that TIF stock had a few ups and downs but in the long-term outlook the stock keeps going up.

Tiffany’s strategic priorities are also paying off in comparison to the industry of Retail – Jewelry. As of this year Tiffany is the industry leader in Growth Rates and Financials.

Growth Rates
Tiffany & Co.

Per Share

Industry

Per Share

2018$23.81         $7
Last 5 Years     $3.2

$11.1

As one can see above, Tiffany’s growth rates per share rose by about 10% from the last 5 years thanks to its improving strategic and new priority and is expected to continue with this growing path for the long-term. This Shows how Tiffany & Co is currently is ranked the highest in the industry of Retail – Jewelry.

According to analyst recommendations from Yahoo Finance, the current consensus is a “Buy” in Tiffany & Co. Stock, with 6 advising a “Strong Buy” and 7 advising a “Buy”.

[Image Source: Yahoo Finance]

Current bullish I Know First Algorithm forecast for TIF

Tiffany & Co. is a successful solid company and investors should buy and hold on to TIF’s stock because the company is raising and shining its way up. I Know First Algorithm is currently bullish for TIF stock which appears to be bullish for 1, 3 and 12 months investment horizons.

How to read the I Know First Forecast 

Please note-for

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Facebook Stock Forecast: Why The Monetization of Instant Games Platform Is Important To Facebook

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Facebook Stock Forecast

Summary:

  • Facebook has enabled in-app purchases on its Instant Games platform. This includes mobile and web games published through Instant Games.
  • Facebook will take 30% commission from in-app purchases processed through Instant Games. This should help Facebook diversify outside its extreme reliance on advertising revenue.
  • On Android and iOS, Facebook will take its 30% cut on Instant Games after Google and Apple get their 30% commission.
  • The long-term potential of Instant Games comes from its HTML5-based device-agnostic design. Instant Games is a brilliant implementation of the Progressive Web Apps ecosystem.
  • Facebook paid $19 billion for WhatsApp. It is only fair that WhatsApp users start accepting that nothing is free forever in this life.

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