Bayesian Inference and I Know First’s Application

   


This article was written by Kwon Sok Oh, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.    




Summary

  1. Introduction of Bayesian Inference and BAC Example
  2. Prior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  3. Likelihood Function: Concepts and BAC Example
  4. Posterior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  5. Posterior Predictive Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  6. Conclusion of Discussion and BAC Example
  7. I Know First and Bayesian Neural Networks

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Predictive Modeling Using I Know First Algorithms: HES, 3.65% In 4 days

Predictive Modeling Using I Know First Algorithms

On the 18th of December 2014 I Know First algorithm released a bullish signal on its 1 month forecast for HES. At the same time the price moved above the 5 day simple moving average of the stock’s price, which is a strong position to buy a stock at. Below is the original forecast, and the resulting trade which made 3.65% in just 4 days. Trade Report