I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: August 20th, 2017

I Know First Review

On August 20th, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First Review

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on May 19th, 2017, we published a 3 month long forecast of our Risk Conscious/Aggressive Stocks with a bullish signal for Dynavax Technologies Corporation (DVAX)Within 3 months, 9 of the 10 predictions revealed themselves to be correct and Dynavax Technologies Corporation (DVAX) registered a return of 189.29%.

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. Which Stock Increased By Nearly 190% in 3 Months?

I Know First self-learning algorithm provided its subscribers with excellent returns in its 3 month forecasts. In such case with high risk, high reward stocks, the algorithm accurately selected stocks yielding as high as 189.29%. In the Aggressive Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock pick was DVAX with a return of 189.29% in 3 months. In addition to DVAX, KEM had a notable return of 51.08% yield. The forecast’s average of 37.37% surpassed the S&P 500’s 3 months return of 2.53%. The Fundamental- High Short Ratio Stocks forecast revealed its stock pick, WTW with an impressive return of 92.07% in 3 months. SYX also had a high return of 41.61%.  In the 52 Weeks High Stocks forecast, WTW had a yield of 98.16%, the bullish forecast also selected SYX with a return of 57.22%. Finally, in the Small Cap Stocks forecast, the algorithm successfully selected SYX leading the pack with a return of 46.48%.

Package Name: Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Months (05/19/2017 – 08/19/2017)
I Know First Average: 37.37%

High Risk High Reward Stocks


2. 1 Year Forecasts Achieves 100% Accuracy

A mix of utilizing genetic algorithms and Artificial neural networks assisted I Know First based AI based algorithm in achieving a 100% accuracy in all of its 1 year forecasts. In the Mega Cap Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock was TCTZF with an impressive return of 75.08%. The forecast average had a return of 36.27% compared to the S&P 500’s return of 12.85%. In the Hedge Fund Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock came from CSX. The stock returned investors 85.69%. Another notable stock return was KERX, with a return of 58.51%. The I Know First algorithm unveiled additional undervalued stocks in the Transportation Stocks forecast with notable returns. CSX and GOL returned investors 83.30% and 58.13%, respectively. In the Computer Industry Stocks forecast, MU and ADSK had outstanding returns of 97.62% and 75.44%, respectively. 

Package Name: Mega Cap Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (08/15/2016 – 08/15/2017)
I Know First Average: 36.27%

Best Short Term Stocks To Buy

3. 1 Month Forecast Reveals Stock Pick Yielding Beyond 70%.

Data Mining has been an invaluable tool for I Know First to produce accurate predictions. An example of its use is displayed in the Stocks Under $50 forecast, the forecast accurately predicted bullish performances from DVAX with a return of 71.65%. In addition, the forecast also had an accurate short forecast on NBR resulting in investors yielding 19.41% (short). In another Stocks Under $50 forecast, DVAX had a high return of 75.94%. The next highest yielding stock in this forecast was KEM, with a return of 29.03%. In the case for Currency forecast, it achieved a hit ratio of 80.77%. The top performer for a long position was EUR/GBP with a return of 3.67% and the top short performer was GBP/JPY with -3.43%.

Package Name: Stocks Under 50 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long & Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (07/16/2017 – 08/16/2017)
I Know First Average: 12.51% (Long) & 4.24% (Short)

Best Stocks Under $10


4. 2 Week Forecast Achieves Double Digit Growth
I Know First’s machine learning algorithm helped successfully create 2 week forecast achieving double digit growth. For the first time introduced in I Know First weekly newsletter, Bovespa Stocks forecast is featured. The highest yielding stock in the forecast was BTOW3.SA with a return of 35.88%. The forecast’s overall average of 5.86% exceeded the S&P 500’s return of -2.07%. The Fundamental-Low PEG Stocks forecast also had respectable returns from IO and MTW. These stocks returned investors 23.26% and 11.05%, respectively. In the Stocks Under $20 forecast accurately selected MTW with return of 17.48%.

Package Name: Bovespa
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (08/06/2017 – 08/20/2017)
I Know First Average: 5.86%

Stock Algorithm

5. AI 1 Week Forecast Reveals Returns Over 40%
Utilizing AI, I Know First has selected a number of lucrative stock picks. In the Volatility forecast, ^VXO yielded investors 41.03%, while ^VIX stock increased by 39.96%. In the Bovespa Stocks forecast, the highest return was ESTC3.SA and SUZB5.SA with returns of 17.19% and 8.54%, respectively. The I Know First forecast average reached 10.96% resulting in a market premium of 4.16%.  In the Fundamental- Low Short Ratio forecast, the highest performing stock was IO with a return of 19.54%. The next highest yielding stock was KEM with a return of 9.60%. Finally, in the 52 Week High Stocks forecast, MED and MYGN had the highest return 12.20%  and 5.88%, respectively.

Package Name: Volatility
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 7 Days (08/10/2017 – 08/17/2017)
I Know First Average: 16.92%

Vix Prediction

6. 3 Day Forecast Outperforms Benchmark Index
In a 3 day forecast, I Know First revealed an interesting investment opportunity in the Biotech Stocks forecast, the forecast achieved a return of up to 22.11% from SGMO. In the Small Cap Stocks forecast, RADA had an impressive return of 13.08%In the Tech Stocks forecast, AMSC and HOLI had returns of 6.77% and 5.31%, respectively. In the Fundamental-Low Short Ratio Stock forecast, the highest returns were CBU and EVEP. CBI yielded investors 18.25% (short) and 14.61% (short), respectively. The forecast average calculated to 6.39%, while the S&P 500 returned -1.63 in 3 days. 

Package Name: BioTech Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (08/11/2017 – 08/14/2017)
I Know First Average: 6.09%

Best Biotechnology Stocks To Buy

Article Summary

  1. In spite of the possibility of the company considering a reverse stock split to meet Nasdaq’s minimum stock price requirement, SMSI has a 43% upside potential.  SMSI’s expectation to transition to enterprise and mobile software management services will eventually pay off. I Know First published a bullish forecast on June 21, 2017. Since the forecast’s release, SMSI shares have increased by 16.5%.
  2. I Know First has been bullish on Alexion (ALXN) shares. In one such case, on June 20, 2017, I Know First recognized the company’s comeback. After an internal investigation concluded the company of inappropriate sales practice, senior managers fled, including co-founder Leonard Bell. Under the leadership of newly appointed CFO Paul Clancy, the company seems to be on the right track to stability and a senior management team the shareholders can trust. In accordance with the algorithm’s predictions, ALXN shares have increased by 15%. 
  3. On June 2, 2017, I Know First’s algorithm forecasted a long position for Facebook (FB). Despite trailing Snapchat in popularity usage in social media for the kids and teenagers demographics, FB made revisions and created a messaging app to appeal this demographic. The potential in ad revenue increase from this demographic could further increase FB’s dominance in social media. Since I Know First released the forecast, the stock has increased by 10%.