Interest Rate Outlook

The Interest Rate Package includes Interest Rate Outlook with predictions for various interest rates based on the I Know First algorithm.

Package Name: Interest Rates Forecast
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (5/30/21 – 6/14/21)
I Know First Average: 13.05%

I Know First’s State of the Art Algorithm accurately forecasted 8 out of 10 interest rates in this Interest Rates Forecast Package for the 14 Days time period. US 3M was the top performing prediction with a return of 120.0%. Additional high returns came from ^NIF500TRI and US 30YTIP, at 3.55% and 3.31% respectively. With these notable trade returns, the package itself registered an average return of 13.05% compared to the S&P 500’s return of 1.21% for the same period.

Algorithmic traders utilize these daily forecasts by the I Know First market prediction system as a tool to enhance portfolio performance, verify their own analysis and act on market opportunities faster. This forecast was sent to current I Know First subscribers.

How to interpret this diagram

Algorithmic Interest Rate Forecast: The table on the left is the interest rate forecast produced by I Know First’s algorithm. Each day, subscribers receive forecasts for six different time horizons. Note that the top 10 interest rates in the 1-month forecast may be different than those in the 1-year forecast. In the included table, only the relevant interest rates have been included. The boxes are arranged according to their respective signal and predictability values (see below for detailed definitions). A green box represents a positive forecast, suggesting a long position, while a red represents a negative forecast, suggesting a short position.

Forecast Performance: The table on the right compares the actual currency performance with I Know First’s prediction. The column titled “Forecast” shows which direction the algorithm predicted, and the column “% Change” shows the actual currency’s performance over the indicated time period. The “Accuracy” column shows a “v” if the algorithm correctly predicted the direction of the stock or an “x” if the forecast was incorrect. The “I Know First Hit Ratio” represents the algorithm’s accuracy when predicting the trend of the currency.

Signal: This indicator represents the predicted movement direction/trend; not a percentage or specific target price. The signal strength indicates how much the current price deviates from what the system considers an equilibrium or “fair” price.

Predictability: This value is obtained by calculating the correlation between the current prediction and the actual asset movement for each discrete time period. The algorithm then averages the results of all the prediction points, while giving more weight to recent performance. As the machine keeps learning, the values of P generally increase.

Please note-for trading decisions use the most recent forecast. Get today’s forecast and Top stock picks.