Walmart Stock Forecast: New Strategies to Remain Competitive

Walmart Stock Forecast

I Know First supplies financial services, mainly through stock forecasts via their predictive algorithm. The algorithm incorporates a 15-year database, and utilizes it to predict the flow of money across 2000 markets. The self-learning algorithm uses artificial intelligence, predictive models based on artificial neural networks, and genetic algorithms to predict money movements within various markets.

The algorithm produces a forecast with a signal and a predictability indicator. The signal is the number in the middle of the box. The predictability is the number at the bottom of the box. At the top, a specific asset is identified. This format is consistent across all predictions. The middle number is indicative of strength and direction, not a price target. The bottom number, the predictability, signifies a confidence level.

More recently, I Know First published a bullish article on Walmart on Seeking Alpha. Having explained how I Know First’s algorithm works, it is worthwhile to see if the algorithm agrees with the bullish fundamental analysis of the company. The three-month and one-year forecast for Walmart are included.

WMT forecast

(Figure 3: WMT forecast 4th September ’15)

The above forecast is the most-recent forecast from September 4th 2015 and are for the long-term periods of three months and one year. The forecasts are highly bullish, with strong signal strengths of 10.67 and 32.08 respectively with predictability ratings of 0.27 and 0.36. The algorithm correlates with the fundamental analysis in which Walmart stores have made major investments in employees by providing training and increased wages.  They also updated their e-commerce presence.

Positive signal strength does not mean investors should automatically buy the stock. Dr. Roitman, who created the algorithm, created rules for entry for a stock such as Gilead Sciences. Using this trading strategy, an investor should buy a stock if the last 5 signal strength’s average is positive and if the last closing price is above the 5-day moving average price. When both of these conditions are met, it is a good time to initiate a position in the stock.