Stocks to Short: S&P 500 Stocks Forecast Performance Evaluation Report for Short Positions

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for short positions for S&P 500 stocks which were daily sent to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1st, 2020, to March 25th, 2020. The report also demonstrates the performance since Coronavirus started affecting global economy (February 22nd). Below, we present our key takeaways of our stock market predictions.

stocks to short
Chart 1: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since January 1st, 2020.
stocks to short
Chart 2: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since January 1st, 2020.
Chart 3: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since February 22nd, 2020.
Chart 4: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since February 22nd, 2020.

S&P 500 Stocks to Short Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts for short positions that were generated achieved positive returns and outperformed SPY (short position) on both periods analyzed.
  • Signal filtering has a positive effect on returns for 3-,7- and 14 days time horizons.
  • I Know First algorithm performed impressive accuracy achieving hit ratios higher than 60% on every time horizon and reaching up to 98% on 14 days’ time frame over coronavirus times.

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Stocks to Short Based on Artificial Intelligence: Returns up to 11.59% in 3 Days


Package Name: Stocks Under 10 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 3 Days (12/04/2018 - 12/07/2018)
I Know First Average: 6.98%

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Bargain Stocks

Top Stocks to Short Based on Algorithm: Up To 31.94% Return in 7 Days

Package Name: Risk-Conscious
Forecast Length: 7 days (01/03/2016 - 01/10/2016)
I Know First Average: 15.86%

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Top Stocks to Short

Stocks To Short Using Genetic Algorithms: Up To 39.11% Return in 14 Days

Package Name: Risk-Conscious
Forecast Length: 14 days (12/25/2015 - 01/08/2015)
I Know First Average: 17.99%

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Stocks To Short

Best Stocks To Short Using Data Mining: Up to 30.83% Return in 14 Days

Package Name: Risk-Conscious
Forecast Length: 14 Days (8/9/2015 - 8/23/2015)
I Know First Average: 11.03% (Short)

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stocks to short

Stocks to Short: an Average of 14.86% in 14 Days

Package Name: Risk-Conscious
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (3/17/2015 - 3/31/2015)
I Know First Average: 4.41%

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Stocks to Short

Stocks To Short: 17.39% Average Return in 1 Month

 Stocks To Short: Top Aggressive Stocks

Stock Market Forecast: This forecast is part of the "Risk-Conscious" package, as one of I Know First's quantitative investment solutions. We determine our aggressive stock picks by screening our database daily for higher volatility stocks that present more opportunities, but are also more risky. The full Risk-Conscious Package includes a daily forecast for a total of 40 stocks with four main categories:

  • top ten aggressive stocks picks that best fit for long position
  • top ten aggressive stocks picks that best fit for short position
  • top ten conservative stocks picks that best fit for long position
  • top ten conservative stocks picks that best fit for short position

Package Name: Risk-Conscious
Recommended Positions: Short
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 1 Month (10/14/2013 – 10/14/2014)
I Know First Average: 17.39%

                        Get the "Risk-Conscious" Package.

  Stocks To Short

Stocks to Short: 10.22% Average Return in 1 Month

Stocks to Short: Top Aggressive Stocks

Quantitative Trading: This forecast is part of the "Risk-Conscious" package, as one of I Know First's quantitative investment solutions. We determine our aggressive stock picks by screening our database daily for higher volatility stocks that present more opportunities, but are also more risky. The full Risk-Conscious Package includes a daily forecast for a total of 40 stocks with four main categories:

  • top ten aggressive stocks picks that best fit for long position
  • top ten aggressive stocks picks that best fit for short position
  • top ten conservative stocks picks that best fit for long position
  • top ten conservative stocks picks that best fit for short position

Package Name: Risk-Conscious
Recommended Positions: Short
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 1 Month (9/12/2014 – 10/12/2014)
I Know First Average: 10.22%

                        Get the "Risk-Conscious" Package.

Aggressive 1 months (October 12th)

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