Stock Forecast Evaluation Report For US Stock Market – Significantly Beating S&P 500 Index

Executive Summary

In this stock forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the US stock market and sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers time period from January 1, 2019 to May 23, 2019.

  • Top 5 signals provided the most predictable stocks with a return of 10.42% in a 3-month investment horizon, beating the benchmark by 1.61%.
  • There is a clear correlation between increasing time horizons and investment return.
  • The benchmark was over-performed in the top 10 and 5 signal classes.

The above results were obtained based on the stock forecast evaluation over the specific time period using consecutive filtering approach – by predictability, then by signal, to give general overview of the forecasting capabilities of the algorithm for specific stock universe. The following sections of this study will develop

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Top Rated Stocks Based on Self-Learning Algorithm: Up to 22.03% Return 3 Months

Forecast Length: 3 Months (10/04/15 – 01/04/16)
I Know First Average: 13.49%

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Quantum Trading: Up to 15.82% (Long) and 25.15% (Short) ROI in 3 months

Package Name: S&P500 Companies
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