Stocks to Short: S&P 500 Stocks Forecast Performance Evaluation Report for Short Positions

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for short positions for S&P 500 stocks which were daily sent to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1st, 2020, to March 25th, 2020. The report also demonstrates the performance since Coronavirus started affecting global economy (February 22nd). Below, we present our key takeaways of our stock market predictions.

stocks to short
Chart 1: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since January 1st, 2020.
stocks to short
Chart 2: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since January 1st, 2020.
Chart 3: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since February 22nd, 2020.
Chart 4: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since February 22nd, 2020.

S&P 500 Stocks to Short Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts for short positions that were generated achieved positive returns and outperformed SPY (short position) on both periods analyzed.
  • Signal filtering has a positive effect on returns for 3-,7- and 14 days time horizons.
  • I Know First algorithm performed impressive accuracy achieving hit ratios higher than 60% on every time horizon and reaching up to 98% on 14 days’ time frame over coronavirus times.

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Long Short Strategy: How Can AI Help You Make Better Decisions

This article about Long Short Strategy was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Resultado de imagem para long short strategy

But What Exactly Are Those Strategies?

First, we need to understand the concept of the long-short strategy. Both the long and short positions are commonly used in the stock market and knowing them is the first step to investing better and safely. Also, those positions are usually mistaken with long- and short-term concepts, which are not related.

The long position, or just long, is simply the act of buying an asset. If you are buying one share of some stock, then you are long 1 share. Buying an asset indicates that you are

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Stock Analysis Based On Algorithms: Up to 7.06% (Long) Returns in 7 days

Package Name: Fundamental - High P/B ratio stocks
Forecast Length: 7  Days (5/5/16– 12/05/16)
I Know First Average: 3.20% (long); 2.29% (short)

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Stock Analysis

Stock Market Predictions based on Algorithms: Up To 25.24% in 3 Months

Package Name: World Indices
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 3 Months (11/15/15 – 02/15/16)
I Know First Average: 9.07%

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Stock Market Predictions

Stock Market Forecast Based On Neural Networks: Up To 73.93% in 90 Days

Package Name: Top 10 Stocks
Forecast Length: 90 Days (11/15/15 – 02/15/16)
I Know First Average: 30.69%

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Stock Picking

S&P 500 Forecast based on Algo Trading: Up To 74.84% in 90 Days

Package Name: Top 10 Stocks
Forecast Length: 90 Days (11/13/15 – 02/13/16)
I Know First Average: 31.11%

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S&P 500 Forecast

S&P 500 Predictions And 10 Stocks To Short Based On Algorithmic Predictions: Up To 51.23% in 7 Days

Package Name: Top 10
Forecast Length: 7 Days (02/05/16 – 02/12/16)
I Know First Average: 11.34%

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S&P 500 Predictions And 10 Stocks To Short

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