Netflix Stock Forecast: NFLX Will Continue To Prosper In Spite of Disney+ And Apple TV+

October 8, 2019
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • There is lingering pessimism over Netflix because of the upcoming intensified competition on paid streaming entertainment.
  • Apple TV+ will debut on November 1. Disney+ TV streaming service will also launch on November 12.
  • Many are skeptical over the future prosperity of Netflix. This is because of the low basic monthly fee of Disney+ ($6.99), and Apple TV+ ($4.99).
  • Most people are not going to abandon Netflix. The cheap monthly fees of Disney+ and Apple TV+ does not automatically mean Netflix will lose subscribers.
  • My takeaway is that people will keep their Netflix subscriptions in addition to subscribing to Apple TV+ and Disney+.

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NFLX Stock Forecast: Will Netflix survive the competition with Disney and AT&T’s WarnerMedia?

June 20, 2019
Kun
The article was written by Kun Qiu, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Netflix’s 2019 Q1 Financial Statements shows its success in maintaining top position among video streaming service platforms, however, threads of Disney and WarnerMedia should not be underrated. 
  • Disney+ and AT&T’s WarnerMedia both launched their great ambitions, attracting 90 million and 70 million subscribers respectively in a few years.
  • Netflix has advantages in its experience in expanding international market, creating innovative content and producing original works in regional local language.
  • The increasing D/E ratio and long-term negative free cash flow may cause concerns, but status are predicted to improve by 2022 according to Netflix itself and other financial professionals.
  • According to these facts, personally I give Netflix a bullish long-term stock forecast.

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Week #16, 2019: Earnings Calendar

April 14, 2019
Earnings Calendar

Netflix Stock Forecast: Warner & DC Universe Can Replace Disney And Marvel at Netflix

February 14, 2019

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Netflix will likely lose more Disney and Marvel-licensed TV series and movies.
  • The upcoming launch of Disney+ requires Netflix to find other third-party content providers for its streaming business.
  • Warner Bros and DC Comics are white knights that can help Netflix survive the loss of Disney and Marvel-licensed shows.
  • Netflix can spend billions of dollars on original content but it can never match the long-term pull of Marvel or DC superheroes-themed movies and shows.
  • Netflix still needs globally-famous third-party licensed shows to attract more international subscribers.

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Netflix Stock Forecast 2019

January 1, 2019

This article was written by Vladimir Mazepa, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

SWOT Analysis Summary:

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Netflix Stock Forecast: Why You Should Avoid Investing In Netflix Right Now

November 29, 2018

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Netflix has 137.1 million subscribers.
  • This can grow to 150 million next year if Netflix goes big on marketing a cheaper mobile-only subscription plan.
  • There’s probably more than 100 million potential customers who can only afford to pay $5 or less per month.
  • However, there’s low margin in providing $4/month subscription plan. Netflix is spending more than $10 billion/year in original content.
  • NFLX has bearish algorithmic market trend forecasts. It might be prudent to dump the stock now while it still trades above $280.

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NFLX Stock Forecast: Netflix Is Keeping Up Through Content Creation

November 8, 2018

 

This article was written by Julia Masch, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

Highlights

  • A Phenomenal Recovery In The Third Quarter
  • Content Creation To Combat A Saturated Streaming Landscape
  • Current I Know First Bullish Forecast For NFLX

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DIS Stock Forecast: Clash of the Media Titans

August 19, 2018

The article was written by Isabelle Tao, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

 

 

    Highlights

    • Disney will be a strong competitor to Netflix in the long term after Fox acquisition

    • Disney movies are not easily replaceable and will continue to drive its growth

    • Hulu and ESPN’s losses should caution investors, but Disney is shifting itself strategically to the streaming service.

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