Netflix Stock Forecast: Why You Should Avoid Investing In Netflix Right Now

November 29, 2018
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Netflix has 137.1 million subscribers.
  • This can grow to 150 million next year if Netflix goes big on marketing a cheaper mobile-only subscription plan.
  • There’s probably more than 100 million potential customers who can only afford to pay $5 or less per month.
  • However, there’s low margin in providing $4/month subscription plan. Netflix is spending more than $10 billion/year in original content.
  • NFLX has bearish algorithmic market trend forecasts. It might be prudent to dump the stock now while it still trades above $280.

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NFLX Stock Forecast: Netflix Is Keeping Up Through Content Creation

November 8, 2018

  This article was written by Julia Masch, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.  



Highlights

  • A Phenomenal Recovery In The Third Quarter
  • Content Creation To Combat A Saturated Streaming Landscape
  • Current I Know First Bullish Forecast For NFLX

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DIS Stock Forecast: Clash of the Media Titans

August 19, 2018

The article was written by Isabelle Tao, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

     

    Highlights

    • Disney will be a strong competitor to Netflix in the long term after Fox acquisition

    • Disney movies are not easily replaceable and will continue to drive its growth

    • Hulu and ESPN’s losses should caution investors, but Disney is shifting itself strategically to the streaming service.

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Stock Forecast: Netflix (NFLX) Stocks Leap As Subscriber Gains Beat Estimates

April 17, 2018

Stock Forecast:

[Source: Wikimedia Commons]

“At Netflix, we think you have to build a sense of responsibility where people care about the enterprise. Hard work, like long hours at the office, doesn’t matter as much to us. We care about great work”

— Netflix CEO Reed Hastings

Netflix now has 125 million members worldwide

Shortly after Netflix (NFLX) published their Q1 Earnings Report after market hours on April 16th, 2018, Netflix’s stock soared from a closing price of $307.78 to $323.75 per share after hours, increasing roughly 7% before the market open alone. Over the past year, Netflix has outperformed

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Facebook Stock Forecast: Facebook Watch’s TV-Anywhere Service Increased Its Advertising Reach

September 15, 2017
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First. 

Facebook stock Forecast

Summary:

  • The launch of Facebook Watch service last month convinced me that Facebook’s advertising revenue this year will reach $36 billion.
  • Mobile-friendly original and crowd-sourced TV shows are new expansion channels where Facebook can push its targeted advertising services.
  • Going forward, Facebook could eventually spend $5 billion on original video content like what Netflix is doing. It can recoup this content acquisition expense through ad sales.
  • Facebook Watch might also become an alternative crowd-source video sharing platform if Facebook starts implementing its own version of Google’s AdSense program.
  • I Know First has a very bullish one year algorithmic market trend forecast for Facebook’s stock.

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Netflix Stock Predictions: Netflix Can Survive and Flourish Even Without Disney’s Content

August 8, 2017
motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First. 

Netflix Stock Predictions

Summary:
  • Disney has announced that it will stop licensing its movies to Netflix and will start its own streaming service in 2019.
  • This revelation caused NFLX to drop more than 4% yesterday. A rival streaming service from Disney two years from is certainly a cause for concern.
  • However, that’s two years from now. By that time, Netflix will have created its own library of original content so it can survive future competition from Disney.
  • I therefore conclude that the bearish cloud over NFLX is not going to last long. The long-term growth story of NFLX is still intact.
  • Netflix has already invested billions of dollars in original contents. It can also spend billions of dollars more to buy IP owners like comics publisher Millarworld.

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Stock Price BIDU: An Empire Built On Three Pillars

July 24, 2017




This article was written by Mingyue Liu, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Baidu AI: An Empire Built On Three Pillars

"Artificial intelligence will reach human levels by around 2029. Follow that out further to, say, 2045, we will have multiplied the intelligence, the human biological machine intelligence of our civilization a billion-fold." (Ray Kurzweil)

Summary:
  • Search Engine: Transition to newsfeed
  • iQiyi: Ready to cash in previous content investment
  • AI: Refocus on the future

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