Market Efficiency: Testing Random Walk by the Runs Test and the Variance Ratio Test

June 20, 2022
Sergey Okun This article was written by Sergey Okun – Senior Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

  • The stock market is not efficient which leaves a place to beat the market in a systematic way.
  • The market efficiency can be different from time to time, and the hypothesis of Random Walk cannot be rejected for some periods.
  • The I Know First AI algorithm provides us with the tool to select the most promising stocks in the chaotic market.

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NVDA Stock Forecast: Still Worth Holding in the Long Term

June 13, 2022
Yu YaoThis NVDA Stock Forecast article was written by Yu Yao – Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Highlights

  • NVIDIA Q1 2023FY Earnings Beat Expectations Again.
  • China Lockdown and Ukraine War Caused Negative Impact on NVIDIA Next Quarter Guidance.
  • Gaming and Data Center Segments Are Still Expected to Grow in the Future.
  • NVIDIA Automotive 6-Year Pipeline Represents $11 Billion Opportunity.
  • Valuation Models Indicate NVDA is Currently Undervalued.

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ALB Stock Forecast: Albemarle Corporation Stock Momentum Driven by High Top-Line Growth Forecasts

June 13, 2022
Opher Joseph This AVY Stock Forecast article was written by Opher Joseph – Financial Analyst, I Know First.

Summary:

  • In the past 3 years, there is a de-growth of Free Cash Flow per share (FCF) by -44.9%.
  • The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2022 has increased by around 100%, while the consensus estimate for the second quarter of 2022 has also been revised 96.3%.
  • The company is currently valued at P/E of 99.05 which is manifold above its peers and the industry average.

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Coller Startup Competition

May 30, 2022

We are proud to inform you that I Know First has been selected for the semi-finals round of the 6th Annual Coller Startup Competition which takes place on June 7th, 2022. These startups compete on three different tracks - the DeepTech track, The Online track, and the Foodtech track.

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Energy Stocks: AI Beats the S&P500 by 51.49% with Accuracy of 80%

May 30, 2022

Highlights:

  • The highest average return is 53.76% for the Top 20 Signals on a 1-year time horizon
  • The most impressive out-performance against the S&P 500 index is from the Top 20 signal group in the 30-day horizon with 316 times higher return
  • Predictions reach up to 80% hit ratio regardless of economic conditions
  • Every signal group has hit ratios above 52% for all time horizons
  • I Know First provides an investment strategy for institutional investors that generated a return of 57.85% and exceeded the S&P500 return by 53.23% for the period from March 28th, 2021 to May 29th, 2022

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Portfolio Construction Based on High Moment Distribution Parameters

May 28, 2022
Sergey Okun This article was written by Sergey Okun – Senior Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

  • Investors are differentiated according to different risk-taking levels, which leads to the existence of different portfolios taking into account investor preferences.
  • The four moments utility function enables us to construct portfolios taking into account investors' preferences about risk-aversion.
  • I Know First provides different forecast packages which allow us to select the most promising stocks for portfolio optimization.

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IKF Algorithm: Application Tips

May 18, 2022
I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

Summary:

  • The use of mathematics and algorithms eliminates a big problem that all of us share, being emotional.
  • IKF provides an efficient AI algorithm for finding promising financial assets.
  • There are several tips that allow us to correctly interpret the output of the IKF algorithm

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