I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: March 18, 2019


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
March 18, 2019

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I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: March 04, 2019

I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
March 4, 2019

Read The Full Newsletter

I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: March 04, 2019


I Know First Weekly Newsletter
Investment Selection Using AI Predictive Algorithm
March 4, 2019

Read The Full Newsletter

I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: December 24, 2018

I Know First Review

On December 24, 2018, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all subscribers, highlighting the past weeks performance in all the financial markets covered i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. In addition, the weekly newsletter includes analyzes and updated news on important companies. Information that our subscribers are able to use for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on November 21, 2018, we published a 1 Month long and short forecast of our World Indices Package with a Returns up to 145.95% with bullish signal for ^VIX and bearish signal for S&P500Both indices are our Winning World Indices Forecast.

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this week’s newsletter.

1. 3 Days Forecasts: Hit Ratio 75% Utilizing AI

In only of 3 Days, I Know First’s stock prediction algorithm accurately predicted high returns among its forecasts. The highest performing package for this forecast length is Currencies with 75.00% Hit Ratio which includes both long and short recommendations. The I Know First algorithm unveiled additional Top performance for Package ETFs Forecast with notable returns. The best the short position came from FAS which registered a return of 12.31%. For the long positions the largest growth was registered by VXX with a return of 10.36%, during the same period. In the By Country –Best Brazil Stocks forecast, the highest return came from GOL at 12.11%CIG and CPL also performed well for this time horizon with returns of 7.67% and 4.13%, respectively. The package itself saw an overall return of 2.70%, providing investors with a 7.80% premium above the S&P 500’s return of -5.10% for the same time period. As shown in the chart below.

Package Name: By Country – Brazilian Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (12/17/2018 – 12/20/2018)
I Know First Average: 2.70%
Best Brazil Stocks 

2. 40.96% in 7 Days with Aggressive Stocks Based on Artificial Intelligence

Within 7 Days, I Know First subscribers saw impressive returns in the Most Aggressive Stocks forecast for the short position. ADXS saw a significant growth of 40.96% . The package had an overall average return of 23.83%, providing investors with a premium of 30.76% over the S&P 500’s return of -6.93% during the same period. For the same recommended  position in the newsletter we mention  Top 10 Stocks PackageFDX has grown up of the 15.16% in just 7 Days. MUR and XPO also had excellent performances with returns of 13.00% and 12.36% respectively. Under the By Country – Indian Stocks forecast, for the long positions the largest growth was registered by MOSS.NS with a return of 15.12%. The package overall provided an average return of 5.99%. The suggested trades are also for KVRI.NS and KECL.NS, which had notable 7 Days yields.

Package Name: Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 7 Days (12/13/2018 – 12/20/2018)
I Know First Average: 23.83%
Aggressive Stocks 

3. High Performing 14 Day Stock Forecasts Utilizing AI

The highest returning from the 14 Days forecasts refer to World Indices Package with position recommended long and short. The best performance in the short position came from ^OSX which registered a return of 20.83%. For the long positions the largest growth was registered by ^IBC with a return of 62.36%, during the same period. The package itself, had an overall average return of 13.59%, in the long position. With regards to the short position, the package had an overall average return of 8.92%. Another forecast, Top 10 Stocks Package saw significant returns. The algorithm had correctly predicted 10 out of 10 top stock picks. The prediction with the highest return was WLL, at 29.84%. Further notable returns came from MU and THO  at 19.51% and 18.13%, respectively. With 65.38% Hit Ratio, the algorithm suggests currency pairs both for long and short position.

Package Name: Top 10 Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 14 Days (12/07/2018 – 12/21/2018)
I Know First Average: 14.72%
Market Forecasts 

4. 1 Month Forecast Utilizing Deep Learning Resulted in High Yield

I Know First’s self-learning algorithm processes through big data to unveil investment opportunities. In the World Indices Forecast, a number of stocks have increased significantly. In this case, the forecasts resulted in high yielding stock picks, one surpassing 145% with ^IBC for the long position, for the shot, ^OSX which registered a return of 28.02%. Among its picks the I Know First forecast average reached 26.91% for the long position and 8.58% for the short position. In the Energy Sector Stocks To Short forecast the algorithm had successfully predicted 10 out of 10 movements. The highest trade return came from BRS with 65.15%. The suggested trades are also for , and WFT with returns of 61.16% and 60.29% respectively. The package had an overall average return of 44.79%, providing investors with a premium of 53.59% over the S&P 500’s return of -8.80% during the same period. Gold Predictions Based on Artificial Intelligence: Returns up to 18.10% in 1 Month.

 

Package Name: Energy Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (11/22/2018 – 12/22/2018)
I Know First Average: 44.79%
Energy Sector Stocks To Short 

5. 3 Month Machine Learning Stock Forecast Resulted in Over 77.41% Yield

By effectively utilizing machine learning, I Know First’s algorithms successfully recognized various patterns to provide its subscribers with high yielding stocks in the 3 Months forecasts. Among the three listed below forecasts, each of them selected the stock pick yielding the highest return. In the Stocks Under 10 Dollars Package, the highest performing stock pick was FRAN with 77.41% in 3 Months. In addition to AKAO, and CLMT had notable returns of 70.39% and 64.32% yield, respectively. The forecast’s average of 56.25% greatly surpassed the S&P 500’s 3 Months return of -15.15%. In the Bovespa Stock forecast, besides ELET3.SA with a return of 61.12%, the bullish forecast also selected ELET6.SA and MULT3.SA also performed well for this time horizon with returns of 57.64% and 25.64% respectively. The Top 10 Stocks Package forecast also selected LGND as its top pick with a return of 48.60%. MED and HRTX followed with returns of 44.33% and 32.96% for the 3 Months period.

Package Name: Stocks Under 10 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 3 Months (09/20/2018 – 12/20/2018)
I Know First Average: 56.25%
Stocks To Short Under 10 Dollars

6. Which Stock Increased By Over 321.18% in 1 Year?

I Know First’s AI algorithm selected high yielding stock picks in its given 1 Year time-frame. In the Stocks Under 5 Dollars Package forecast, ARWR had amazing return of 321.18%CRNT, and GLUU also saw outstanding returns of 92.57% and 69.61%. With these notable trade results, the package itself showed an average return of 52.22% compared to the S&P 500’s return of 22.98% for the same period. In the Currency forecast the algorithm provided predictions for USD/ARS resulting in impressive return of 118.72%. as long position. In the Top 10 Stocks Package forecast, DB had an excellent return of 59.40% in 1 Year. GE and CHK also saw outstanding returns of 57.70% and 49.03%. With these notable trade results, the package itself showed an average return of 40.33% compared to the S&P 500’s return of -7.98% for the same period.

Package Name: Top 10 Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 1 Year (12/20/2017 – 12/20/2018)
I Know First Average: 40.33%
Artificial Intelligence Trading 

Article Summary

1)How Algorithmic Trading Combines Market Noise and Trend Trading

Noise refers to the random data that is produced and occurs within the market and the traders. As noise traders act on random information, these traders tend to buy and sell shares based on fear or greed and can cause the price of a stock to drop, or rise, without any fundamental justification. In comparison, trend trading, just as it sounds, is trading based on a stock’s momentum in one direction, either increasing or decreasing. Trend traders use fundamental data and different indicators to determine whether a trend will continue or not. Algorithms are complex mathematical formulas designed so that they can automatically monitor market behavior, and in many cases can automatically buy and sell stocks at the best price without human emotion or error. The unique algorithm that I Know First has developed is a genetic algorithm that takes in 15 years’ worth of historical data and can then forecast what the market will do in the future. In this particular instance, algorithmic trading not only builds off of trend trading but quantitatively separates the trend from the noise and uses the noise to the traders’ advantage. Read more. 

2)

Winning

Read More

I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: December 16, 2018

On December 16th, 2018, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

Bayesian Inference and I Know First’s Application

 

 

This article was written by Kwon Sok Oh, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

 

Summary

  1. Introduction of Bayesian Inference and BAC Example
  2. Prior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  3. Likelihood Function: Concepts and BAC Example
  4. Posterior Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  5. Posterior Predictive Distribution: Concepts and BAC Example
  6. Conclusion of Discussion and BAC Example
  7. I Know First and Bayesian Neural Networks

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I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: September 24th, 2017

On September 24th, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First Review

I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: September 10th, 2017

On September 10th, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First Review