Aggressive Stocks Forecast: AI vs Stock Market Volatility During Pandemic in 2021

Highlights:

  • The highest average return is 258.34% for the Top 10 Signals on a 1-year time horizon
  • All average returns for a long-term 1-year period are over 194.14%, higher than the S&P benchmark for more than 150.05%
  • The S&P benchmark has an overall increasing trend and has gained by 79.9% over the evaluation period from 1st April 2020 to 17th June 2021
  • Even during the pandemic, all the forecasts have outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark exceedingly

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Aggressive Stocks & Coronavirus Stock-Market Volatility

Highlights:

  • 14.47 % - the highest average return for an investor in the Top 10 Signals with a period of 3 months
  • Predictions reach up to 54% precision regardless of market volatility
  • The Top 10 signal group outperformed the S&P 500 by 4 times for the 1 month time horizon

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Aggressive Stocks Amid Coronavirus Market in 2020

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of the live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for the Aggressive stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied to pick the best-performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from 20th December 2019 to 8th November 2020. The corresponding returns distribution of stock filters for the Aggressive stocks are shown below:

Figure 1 : Average Returns Per Time Horizon – Short Term
Figure 2: Average Returns Per Time Horizon - Long Term

Highlights:

  • The highest average return in the longest horizon of time - 3 months: for the Top 20 signals - 12.32%, for the Top 10 signals - 17.16%, for the Top 5 signals - 14.94%.
  • S&P 500 price target implying a 12% rally in 2021.
  • 17,16 % - the highest average return for an investor is the Top 10 Signals with a period of 3 months.

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