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Hedge and Safe Haven Financial Assets

July 4, 2022

This article was written by Sergey Okun – Senior Financial Analyst, I Know First, Ph.D. in Economics.

Summary:

Gold, short-term treasury bills, long-term treasury bonds, the spread between the long-term treasury and corporate bonds, 5-month volatility, and 1-month volatility are uncorrelated or negatively correlated with the S&P500 making them good candidates for a role of a hedge asset.
5-month and 1-month volatility as exchange trade products, and also the short-term government bills and long-term government bonds able to play a role of a safe haven asset.
Correlation analysis of the S&P500 and TNX shows that the correlation structure is not consistent from data frame to data frame.

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Commodities Forecast: I Know First Commodities Coverage Update

March 8, 2022

Summary:

I Know First updated the commodity package which covers 44 commodity indices now.
The best performers are the ^BCOMKw (up 40.46% over 7-days) and Nickel (up 196.43% over 1-year).
I Know First continues to perfect the AI algorithm and provides Commodity services to both institutional and private customers.
I Know First provides an investment strategy for institutional investors that generated a return of 100.18% and exceeded the S&P 500 return by 88.86%.

The algorithm of I Know First tracks and provides forecasting for a broad range of commodity indices to help our clients construct an effective portfolio based on their preferences and investment periods from 3-day to 1-year horizons. Currently, we have updated the commodity forecast package which covers now 44 commodity indices.

Gold & Commodity Forecast Press Releases

The Coronavirus Package Content

December 4, 2021

The main focus of the Coronavirus package is to cover the assets that may be affected by the coronavirus with the biggest financial exposures and it includes assets such as gold and relevant commodities, biotech companies’ stocks, pharmaceutical companies’ stocks, semiconductors, and technological sectors stocks and more. The Coronavirus package contents 142 tickers on December 2nd, 2021

Press Releases

How To Avoid Inflation Using Artificial Intelligence

October 2, 2021

This article was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

Over the last year, inflation rates started to increase in the U.S.;
When the inflation is high, assets such as Utilities Equities ETFs should be avoided;
At the same time, Real Estate Stocks and Cryptocurrencies become more attractive;
Even with the inflation threat, AI can help your investments.

Summary:

Gold has a long history as a reliable hedge against market volatility and a weak dollar.
Its market value has a negative correlation with the greenback.
Today’s uncertainty and frictions push us to a positive gold price forecast, with the expectation of a surge.