I Know First Algorithm Evaluation Report for Live ETF Universe Forecasts

Executive Summary:

In this forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the ETF universe, which is sent to our customers on a daily basis. Our analysis covers the time period from 1 April 2019 to 31 May 2019. We will start with an introduction to our asset picking and benchmarking methods and then apply it to the ETF universe. We will then compare returns based on our algorithm with the benchmark performance over the same period. This evaluation is part of our continuous studies of I Know First’s live AI predictive algorithm’s performance.

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Best ETFs Based On Algorithms: Up To 9.60% Return In 14 Days

Package Name: ETFs Forecast
Forecast Length: 14 Days (9/8/2015 - 9/22/2015)
I Know First Average: 3.44% (Long) & 2.19% (Short)

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Best ETFs Based On Algorithms

ETF Screener: Up To 8.36% Return In 14 Days

Package Name:  ETFs Forecast
Forecast Length: 14 Days (9/2/2015 - 9/16/2015)
I Know First Average: 4.99%

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ETF Screener

ETF Screener Based On Artificial Neural Networks: Up To 25.54% Return In 3 Months

Package Name: Best ETFs
Recommended Positions: Long 
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 3 Months (1/14/2015 - 4/14/2015)
I Know First Average: 6.10%

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ETF Screener Based On Artificial Neural Networks

ETF Investments: Up To 8.13% Return In 3 Months

Best ETFs

Package Name: Best ETFs
Recommended Positions: Long 
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 3 Months (12/17/2014 - 03/17/2015)
I Know First Average: 4.40%

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 etf investments

ETF Trading Strategies: Up To 25.31% Return In 1 Month

ETF Trading Strategies

Package Name: Best ETFs
Recommended Positions: Long 
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 1 Month (1/16/2015 - 2/16/2015)
I Know First Average: 8.77%

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ETF Trading Strategies

Top Performing ETFs: Up To 11.59% Gain In 14 Days

Top Performing ETFs

Package Name: Best ETFs
Recommended Positions: Long 
24 07 2013 10 48 51 Best Investments Based on Algorithms: 8.19% Gain in 14 DaysForecast Length: 14 Days (12/14/2014 - 12/28/2014)
I Know First Average: 4.78%

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top performing etfs

Guggenheim Solar ETF News: Declining Oil Prices Convey A Bearish Outlook

Summary

  • Most recent articles suggest there is no relationship between oil and renewable energy anymore.
  • My analysis suggests most points are largely irrelevant or wrong, and are mostly affected by wishful thinking.
  • Guggenheim Solar ETF and Crude Oil’s Correlation suggests the two have a moderate to strong relationship.

Most recent articles foolishly claim renewable energy is no longer correlated to oil prices, and a rather weak correlation remains. The various arguments are:

  1. Oil now serves primarily as a transportation fuel for planes, trains, boats and automobiles.
  2. Natural Gas (Large competitor of renewable energy) used to be strongly correlated with oil; however, fracking has drastically reduced U.S. natural-gas prices over the past few years while oil prices remained sky-high, thus natural gas prices will not go down now that oil is declining.
  3. Grid parity (Different sources of energy being able to deliver electricity at the same cost) is shrinking as renewable energy costs are declining due to innovation.

As a renewable energy advocate I would not want to see this big of a hurdle stagnate the growth of the industry. I am sorry to burst some fan boys' bubbles, but if oil prices decline, renewable energy will as well, it's simple economics.

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