Coronavirus Stock Market: A Post-pandemic Stock Market Glimpse

This Coronavirus stock market prediction article is written by Hao Liu, Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The macroeconomy of the post-pandemic world features large deficit and debt, and globalization will be much weaker than nowadays.
  • Tech and healthcare are definitely sectors that investors should include in their post-pandemic portfolios.
  • Two strategies to outperform the post Coronavirus stock market is either to invest in cheaper stocks now and then wait, or to invest in stocks with strong resilience and strong balance sheets (e.g., FB, NFLX).
  • During this complex time, it’s crucial to include logarithmic predictions into investing strategy.

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Top ETFs: Daily Forecast Performance Evaluation Report

Executive Summary

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for Best ETFs for long and short positions (20 ETFs) which were sent daily to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1, 2019, to May 24, 2020 and further analyzes the performance of the US market since the coronavirus pandemic (see ^S&P500 Price Movement chart below).

Best ETF
Best ETF

Top ETF Picks Evaluation Highlights:

  • The most impressive outperformance of the S&P 500 Index is from the Top 5 signal group in the 3-day horizon with 28 times more returns.
  • The Top 20, Top 10, and Top 5 signal groups generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in short term horizons.
  • The Top 5 signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 Index in the one-year horizon.
  • Every signal group generated by I Know First succeeded in outperforming S&P 500 since Coronavirus pandemic.
  • Every signal group has hit ratios equal to or higher than 50% for all time horizons.

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AI Anticipates Which Sectors Will Perform Best During Coronavirus Pandemic

This article was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • COVID-19 is still affecting the economy. The transport has seen losses of over 77% since the start of the pandemic;
  • Movie producers and operators are suffering from quarantine impositions. Stocks of Universal Studios, Disney and AMC all dropped over 20% in the last six months;
  • E-commerce appeared as a huge opportunity to profit during these times. Shopify stock rose 254% this semester, indicating how well the sector is right now;
  • I Know First algorithm predicted one year ago the bullish trend of Shopify, giving investors to enjoy this trend much earlier than expected.

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Stock Market Predictions: How AI Can Help Not To Fall Into Traps In Coronavirus Times

This article was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • Bull and Bear Traps are a false signal that indicates a change of the stock movement;
  • By falsely indicating a change of trend, unsuspecting investors can lose a lot of money with them;
  • With the coronavirus pandemic situation, we might be in the middle of a bull trap right now;
  • It is possible to avoid falling in traps by getting help from the I Know First algorithm.

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How To Beat The Stock Markets and Coronavirus With AI

This article was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The fear of the pandemic caused panic and losses in stock markets over the world;
  • In this situation, it is normal to have losses in the stock market;
  • There are opportunities to profit even in the middle of the panic;
  • AI can help you make the best decision in a time you can not afford to have a mistake.

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Coronavirus Stock Market: How To Profit With Medical Advancements

This article was written by Gabriel Plat, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Summary:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic left an opportunity to companies profit by developing a treatment and a vaccine;
  • Gilead and CytoDyn already started clinical trials with its drugs;
  • Partnering with other companies is also a strategy to reach the treatment faster than the competition;
  • These companies' stocks can be a huge opportunity to profit in the near future.

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Microsoft Stock Forecast: The Rebrand To Microsoft 365 Can Boost The Stock Higher

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology – Senior Analyst at I Know First.

Summary

  • Microsoft’s stock has been resilient during the March Madness COVID-19 panic sell-off. Many investors understood that as a software company, Microsoft has little headwind from COVID-19 factory shutdowns.
  • Disruption in the production of Surface products is not a handicap for Microsoft. Software sales remain strong during quarantines.
  • The decision to rebrand Office 365 to Microsoft 365 signals an all-in focus toward becoming a one-stop shop for everything.
  • The COVID-19 forced many people to stay at home. Work-from-home is now the new normal for many corporate and government employees.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic is great for Azure and Microsoft’s software subscription sales.

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Stocks to Short: S&P 500 Stocks Forecast Performance Evaluation Report for Short Positions

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for short positions for S&P 500 stocks which were daily sent to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from January 1st, 2020, to March 25th, 2020. The report also demonstrates the performance since Coronavirus started affecting global economy (February 22nd). Below, we present our key takeaways of our stock market predictions.

stocks to short
Chart 1: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since January 1st, 2020.
stocks to short
Chart 2: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since January 1st, 2020.
Chart 3: Average returns for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month against SPY (short position) since February 22nd, 2020.
Chart 4: Hit Ratio for S&P 500 stocks to short forecasts for time horizons spanning from 3 days to 1 month since February 22nd, 2020.

S&P 500 Stocks to Short Evaluation Highlights:

  • Stock market forecasts for short positions that were generated achieved positive returns and outperformed SPY (short position) on both periods analyzed.
  • Signal filtering has a positive effect on returns for 3-,7- and 14 days time horizons.
  • I Know First algorithm performed impressive accuracy achieving hit ratios higher than 60% on every time horizon and reaching up to 98% on 14 days’ time frame over coronavirus times.

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