Exelixis Stock Forecast: The Future Of Cancer Medicine With Promising Financial Growth

Ori HoltzmanThis article was written by Ori Holtzman, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

Summary:

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Winning Stock Forecast On a Predictive Algorithm: AMC Entertainment (NYSE: AMC ) Brings 40.98% in 3 Months

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC), through its subsidiaries, operates as a theatrical exhibition company in the United States and internationally. It owns, operates, or has interests in theatres. As of June 30, 2016, the company owned, operated, or had interests in 386 theatres with 5,334 screens primarily in the United States. Now, counts more than 1,000 theatres and 11,000 screens across the globe. The company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Leawood, Kansas. AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC) operates as a subsidiary of Wanda America Investment Holding Co. Ltd.

Source: Bloomberg

On July 19th I Know First AI Algorithm issued a bullish 3 months  forecast for  AMC Entertainment stock  with predictability indicator of 0.24 and signal indicator of 9.79. In a good agreement with the forecast   the AMC stock is up 40.98% just in 3 months. Below we provide the I Know First heatmap that was send to our clients July 19th:

The results were quite positive in this year for the Company. On May 3 2018, Board Of Directors announced a dividend for the quarter ended March 31 2018. The amount of the dividend in this second quarter was arounr $25,7 milion. On July 24 2018 Board of Directors announced that its has declared a dividend for the quarter ended June 30, 2018, of $0.20 per share on shares of Class A and Class B common stock, its eighteenth consecutive. In addition, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc in September 2018 said it bought back 24 million shares from its top investor, the Chinese Dalian Wanda Group and issued $600 million worth of convertible notes to private equity firm Silver Lake. Earlier in September, Reuters reported Wanda was exploring a deal to cut its stake in AMC. After the transaction, Wanda now owns about 38% of AMC shares (its previous majority stake 60%). As part of the deal, Silver Lake will get a seat on AMC’s board. Wanda acquired a majority stake in AMC in 2012 for $2.6 billion, in what was then the largest overseas acquisition by a privately held Chinese company and Wanda’s first foray into the United States. In 2017, Chinese regulators told banks to stop providing funding to companies such as Wanda, HNA Group Co Ltd and Anbang Insurance Group Co Ltd for overseas acquisitions, amid concerns over financial overstretching.

 

Chart shows rising trend.

As Loyalty Program, AMC announced that AMC Stubs A-List, With more than 400,000 members, has achieved 80% of the Company’s one-year membership goal and 40% two-year membership goal in just 14 weeks. Adam Aron, AMC CEO and President, said, “While we do not plan to issue A-List enrollment statistics on a weekly basis, our hitting more than 400,000 enrolled members only three months and a week after launching the program is an enormous milestone”.

Current I Know First subscribers received this bullish forecast on July 19

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Algorithmic traders utilize these daily forecasts by the I Know First market prediction system as a tool to enhance portfolio performance, verify their own analysis and act on market opportunities faster.

How to interpret this diagram

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Yelp’s New Advertising Plan Shows Great Insight For The Company’s Future

 

This article was written by Grant Goldstein, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

 

 

Highlights:

  • Yelp's New Contracts Grow Company
  • Technical Analysis Shows Mixed Signs
  • There is Value in Purchasing Yelp

I Know First.

 

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MSFT Stock Forecast: Cloud Computing Keeps Microsoft Afloat In Race With Amazon

 

This article was written by Julia Masch, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

“Our investments and business model are fundamentally aligned with our customers' long-term interests and success. This opportunity and responsibility grounds us in our mission to empower every person in every organization on the planet to achieve more”

- Satya Nadella, chief executive officer of Microsoft.

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Disney and Comcast’s Expensive, Never Ending Battle Over 21st Century Fox

 

This article was written by Grant Goldstein, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

 

 

Highlights:

  • Disney and Comcast Bid for FOXA
  • Why FOXA is so Desiarable
  • Bullish Forecast for FOXA

I Know First.

 

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AMD Stock Forecast: 3 Driving Forces of AMD’s Long-Term Bullish Outlook

 

 

This article was written by Kwon Sok Oh, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

 

 

Summary

  • Strong sales of Ryzen APU’s contributed to high earnings in Q1 2018
  • Radeon GPU’s showed strong mining revenue
  • AMD EPYC’s have doubled in sales
  • I Know First’s algorithm is bullish for AMD in the long run

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Tiffany & Co. Shining to the Top

“Simplicity is the keynote of all true elegance” – Coco Chanel

 

Summary:

  • Tiffany & Co New and Shining
  • Q1 Results Above All Expectations
  • Current I Know First Algorithm Bullish Forecast For TIF

Tiffany & Co., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and retails jewelry and other items in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers jewelry collections, engagement rings, and wedding bands. It also sells timepieces, leather goods, sterling silver goods, china, crystal, stationery, eyewear, fragrances, and other accessories; and wholesales diamonds and earnings. The company sells its products through retail, Internet and catalog, business-to-business, and wholesale distribution channels. As of January 31, 2018, it operated 315 stores, including 124 stores in the Americas, 87 stores in the Asia-Pacific, 54 stores in Japan, 46 stores in Europe, and 4 stores in the United Arab Emirates. Tiffany & Co. was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

 New and Shining- Strategic Priorities

Earlier this year, Tiffany’s CEO Alessandro Bogliolo outlined six strategic priorities for the company. Among these strategic priorities are- Amplifying an evolved brand message, Renewing its product offerings and enhancing in-store presentations, Delivering an “exciting” omnichannel customer experience, Strengthening its competitive position and leading key markets, Cultivating a more efficient operating model and Inspiring an “aligned and agile” organization to win.

Tiffany started achieving those goals and is still in progress.  Tiffany launched on March, 2018 a new “Believe in Love” marketing campaign which highlights racial and sexual diversity in order to renovate its brand message for younger shoppers.            I believe that the campaign contributed to Tiffany’s 11% growth in engagement Jewelry sales during Q1.

[Image Source: Tiffany.com]

In line with the priority of renewing product offerings, Tiffany unveiled “PAPER FLOWERS”, a major collection in platinum and diamonds. This collection combines everyday jewelry together with one-of-a-kind pieces for the first time ever at Tiffany. The collection’s concept is creating a fine jewelry/high jewelry collection that anyone can buy or feel that it fits into their life. This strategic move is a very important launch for the company since it has high jewelry and fine jewelry at different and lower price ranges.

[Image Source: Tiffany.com]

In addition, Tiffany invested in improving its website and started selling a curated selection of jewelry on fashion e-tailer Farfetch in over 40 countries in attempt to deliver an “exciting” omnichannel experience. The new strategic selling action complements Tiffany’s e-commerce partnership with Net-A-Porter and helps Tiffany sell products beyond the 13 countries where it operates its own e-commerce sites.

Tiffany recently opened a new jewelry, design, and innovation workshop near its corporate office in New York City in order to improve its operating efficiency. This new workshop allows the company’s model makers, designers, and engineers to all work under the same roof and develops a more efficient operating model.

Tiffany Q1 Results of 2018

On May 23, Tiffany & Co. released its financial Q1 results of 2018 that rose above all analysts’ expectations. Starting the day trading at $119.32, Tiffany & Co. reached an intraday of $126.64. Shares gained $23.81 by the day ended. In Q1 of 2018, we can specifically see that worldwide net sales rose 15% to $1.0 billion, resulting from broad-based sales growth which, combined with a higher operating margin and a lower effective tax rate, resulted in a 53% increase in net earnings. Net earnings increased to $142 million, or $1.14 per diluted share, from last year’s $93 million, or $0.74 per diluted share. These extraordinary financial Q1 results should draw investors’ attention in a positive direction to see that the company is on a significant growing path.

[Image Source: Tiffany & Co.]

On can see that although, Tiffany had a GAAP reported decrease of 21% in net sales and 7% decrease in comparable sales in some other region that are not stated, it didn’t have much effect on the company’s worldwide total net sales increase of 15% and worldwide total comparable sales increase of 10%. In addition, the company also had a decrease in Constant-Exchange-Rate Basis in both net sales and comparable sales in the other region that are not stated. These decreases did not affect the company’s worldwide total increase in either of the sales.

As shown below, Tiffany topped the market and all the analysts’ expectations with its sales growth across all of its global regions accelerated dramatically.

Region

Constant Currency Sales Growth

Comps Growth
U.S.A8%9%
Asia23%9%
Japan12%9%
Europe1%-9%
Total11%7%

My estimation is that Tiffany’s surging sales growth indicates that its improving strategy efforts are paying off. Global sales growth was stronger than anticipated and mainly benefited from strong sales to tourists from China and from a weak dollar. In Europe most of the growth came from new store openings. As of today, Tiffany is still thriving across most markets except for Europe, where it’s still struggling with lower tourist spending and newer stores in older locations.

RegionQ2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2017Q4 2018
U.S.A1%1%5%9%
Asia2%15%13%28%
Japan1%-8%2%17%
Europe3%5%13%13%

 

Fiscal 2018 Outlook

Following the better-than-expected results, Tiffany raised its guidance for fiscal 2018. Tiffany now envisions worldwide net sales increasing by a high-single-digit percentage over the prior year and net earnings increasing to $4.50 – $4.70 per share, compared with the previous guidance of $4.25-$4.45 per share.

Conclusion

Following the above, TIF stock increased by 27.74% since the Q1 results of 2018 were announced. Tiffany’s efforts to improve its strategic priorities are paying off and led to a stronger sales growth than anticipated.

My conclusion is that TIF stock will continue to grow in the long term given the fact that it is a solid company that keeps improving, renewing and adjusting its strategy according to market trends.

 

[Image Source: Yahoo Finance]

In a 1 year look back one can see that TIF stock had a few ups and downs but in the long-term outlook the stock keeps going up.

Tiffany’s strategic priorities are also paying off in comparison to the industry of Retail – Jewelry. As of this year Tiffany is the industry leader in Growth Rates and Financials.

Growth Rates
Tiffany & Co.

Per Share

Industry

Per Share

2018$23.81         $7
Last 5 Years     $3.2

$11.1

As one can see above, Tiffany’s growth rates per share rose by about 10% from the last 5 years thanks to its improving strategic and new priority and is expected to continue with this growing path for the long-term. This Shows how Tiffany & Co is currently is ranked the highest in the industry of Retail – Jewelry.

According to analyst recommendations from Yahoo Finance, the current consensus is a “Buy” in Tiffany & Co. Stock, with 6 advising a “Strong Buy” and 7 advising a “Buy”.

[Image Source: Yahoo Finance]

Current bullish I Know First Algorithm forecast for TIF

Tiffany & Co. is a successful solid company and investors should buy and hold on to TIF’s stock because the company is raising and shining its way up. I Know First Algorithm is currently bullish for TIF stock which appears to be bullish for 1, 3 and 12 months investment horizons.

How to read the I Know First Forecast 

Please note-for

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Winning Stock Forecast: EP Energy Corporation (NYSE: EPE) Stock Increases By 77.30% Within Past 2 Weeks

Winning Stock Forecast: EP Energy Corporation (NYSE: EPE) Stock Increases By 77.30% Within Past 2 Weeks

 

[Source: PRNewswireFoto/EP Energy Corporation)

“In energy, I think there’s a massive opportunity for the U.S. to become a major supplier of energy to China. They have incredible amounts of demand at these prices for our shale and our liquid natural gas. I think we can easily get about $40 or $50 billion of energy, and if we can produce and send more with infrastructure, they can even take more.”

— U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, Steven Mnuchin

During the recent three weeks, EP Energy Corp (NYSE:EPE) has grabbed attention from analysts, when it saw a value increase of 80.91% reaching the current price of $3.31. The stock showed weekly performance of 13.89%, which was maintained for the month at 88.51%. Stocks are solidly higher as of Monday May 21, days after the U.S. and China appeared to make major progress in trade talks. The Chinese government says it will buy more goods and services and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin says the U.S. postponed tariffs on up to $150 billion in goods from China after the two sides made “meaningful progress” toward a new trade agreement. Industrial companies and banks are making some of the biggest gains. A total of 2.09 Million shares exchanged hands during the intra-day trade compared with its average trading volume of 996.37 Million shares, while its relative volume stands at 2.09.

Likewise, the performance for the quarter was recorded as 86.36% and for the year was -24.60%. EP Energy Corp as of recent trade, has shown weekly upbeat performance of 11.07% which was maintained at 90.23% in 1-month period. During the past three months the stock gain was 92.44%, bringing the six months performance to 39.66%. The year-to-date (YTD) performance reflected a 40.25% positive outlook.

[Source: Yahoo Finance, May 22, 2018]
The U.S. and China concluded two days of trade negotiations with a contract not to impose tariffs on each other, while Beijing said it will buy more farm goods, energy and other products and services from U.S. companies. The two sides gave no indication of how much progress they had made toward ending their dispute entirely, as China said it can’t guarantee that trade tensions will be permanently avoided and Mnuchin said President Donald Trump could reintroduce the tariffs he’s projected if the countries don’t reach a contract. The dollar jumped to 111.15 yen from 110.68 yen late Friday. The euro dipped to $1.1757 from $1.1773. Benchmark U.S. crude oil rose 0.7 percent to $71.81 a barrel in New York. Brent crude, used to price international oil, added 0.4 percent to $78.81 per barrel in London.

Energy exports to play ‘massive’ role in any breakthrough in the US-China trade talks

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said there is a “massive opportunity” for U.S. energy exports to China, after the trade partners reached a truce. China has emerged as one of the biggest buyers of U.S. oil since the American government lifted an export ban on the raw material in 2015. The Trump administration has also facilitated increased shipments of U.S. natural gas to China. Energy will play a major role in a breakthrough in trade talks between the Trump administration and its Chinese counterparts, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told CNBC on Monday.

U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators agreed this weekend to put on hold tariffs that they have threatened against one another, after China agreed to purchase more American goods. The concession could move the needle on one of President Donald Trump’s major goals: reducing the U.S. trade deficit with China. To be sure, some economists have flagged challenges to increasing exports to China, from Beijing’s ability to facilitate the imports to American farmers and manufacturers producing at or near full capacity.

However, oil and natural gas production is one area of the U.S. economy that is indeed booming, =&0=& Meanwhile, China, the engine of the global economy, is hungry for more fossil fuels as more drivers take to the nation’s roads and the government seeks to generate more electric power from cleaner-burning natural gas.

“In energy, I think there’s a massive opportunity for the U.S. to become a major supplier of energy to China,” Mnuchin told CNBC on Monday. “They have incredible amounts of demand at these prices for our shale and our liquid natural gas. I think we can easily get about $40 or $50 billion of energy, and if we can produce and send more with infrastructure, they can even take more,” he said.

That would be an ambitious target. U.S. oil and gas exports to China were worth $4.3 billion in 2017, according to Reuters. The United States is already doing brisk trade with China, which has emerged as one of the largest purchasers of U.S. oil since the Obama administration reached a compromise with Congress to lift a 40-year export ban on raw crude.

“As the U.S. crude export trade evolves we’re seeing a growing trend of [very large crude carriers] being loaded, so that percentage of total exports is around 40-50 percent around any given month and the vast majority of those are heading to China,” said Matt Smith, director of commodity research at tanker tracking firm ClipperData.

Oil output from shale fields is soon projected to rise above 7 million barrels a day and has boosted total U.S. production to about 10.7 million barrels a day, according to preliminary government figures. The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects the United States will average 11.9 million barrels a day next year, surpassing No. 1 producer Russia. The boom in oil production from western Texas has created bottlenecks in the region, causing prices for regional crude to fall as drillers struggle to get their product to market. Consequently, that oil is now trading at a big discount to international benchmark Brent crude, making it attractive to foreign buyers. Mnuchin made clear on Monday that the trade will occur between companies, and it will have to be in the interest of both Chinese and U.S. firms. China has historically used its leverage as the world’s second-largest oil consumer to influence crude prices, taking advantage of discounts among different grades of crude from around the world. However, the type of light, sweet crude that comes from shale is ideal for many Chinese refineries. The Trump administration has already made progress opening the Chinese market to U.S. natural gas exporters. A year ago, the U.S. Commerce Department reached an agreement with Chinese authorities that allowed state-owned companies to negotiate long-term contracts with U.S. natural gas exporters, something Beijing had been hesitant to do.

Analyst Recommendations:

According to analyst recommendations from Yahoo Finance, the current consensus is a “Hold” in EPE Stock, with 8 advising a “Strong Buy”, 19 advising a “Buy” and 3 advising a “Hold”.

I Know First’s Success With EPE Stock:

On May 4th 2018, Know First issued a bullish 14-day forecast for EP Energy Corporation (NYSE:EPE). The forecast illustrated a signal  of 16.33 and a predictability of 0.2. In accordance with the forecast, EPE stock returned 77.30% over this period, highlighting the accuracy of the prediction produced by the I Know First algorithm.

Current I Know First subscribers received this bullish EPE forecast on May 4th 2018

To subscribe today click here.

 

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