Aggressive Stocks Amid Coronavirus Market in 2020

November 26, 2020

Executive Summary

The purpose of this report is to present the results of the live forecast performance evaluation for I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for the Aggressive stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied to pick the best-performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from 20th December 2019 to 8th November 2020. The corresponding returns distribution of stock filters for the Aggressive stocks are shown below:

Figure 1 : Average Returns Per Time Horizon – Short Term
Figure 2: Average Returns Per Time Horizon - Long Term

Highlights:

  • The highest average return in the longest horizon of time - 3 months: for the Top 20 signals - 12.32%, for the Top 10 signals - 17.16%, for the Top 5 signals - 14.94%.
  • S&P 500 price target implying a 12% rally in 2021.
  • 17,16 % - the highest average return for an investor is the Top 10 Signals with a period of 3 months.

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Algorithmic Performance

I Know First’s Successful Prediction of Global Stock Market Decline

June 10, 2019
I Know First Research Team LogoThis article was written by the I Know First Research Team.

Summary:

  • Decline in Global Stock Indexes from 10 May 2019
  • Trade War between China and US affecting S&P500, DJI and NASDAQ
  • Companies Affected by Trade War include AAPL, NKE and BMWYY

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GILD Forecast: Gilead Sciences Has Short Term Potential, But The Long Term Is Worrisome

July 12, 2018

 

This article was written by Grant Goldstein, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

 

 

Highlights:

  • GILD Q1 Misses Expectations
  • Gilead's Future Expenditures
  • Bearish GILD Recommendation

I Know First.

 

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NKE Forecast: Expectations Drive Stock Price to Eliminate Any Value

July 8, 2018

 

This article was written by Grant Goldstein, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

 

 

Highlights:

  • Nike Runs All Over Q4 Expectations
  • Current Stock Price is too High
  • Bearish NKE Recommendation

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AMD Stock Forecast: AMD Soars Beyond Optimal Buying Price

July 5, 2018

 

This article was written by Grant Goldstein, a Financial Analyst at I Know First

 

 

Highlights:

  • AMD's Expectation Beating 2018 Q1
  • The Company is Currently Overvalued
  • Cryptominers and Tariffs Could Affect Sales

I Know First.

 

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Is Activision Stock A Good Buy (NASDAQ: ATVI): King Digital Is Activision’s Most Profitable Segment

May 7, 2018

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First. 

Activision Blizzard Inc Stock Forecast

Summary:

  • Due to Activision and Blizzard’s zero adoption of Battle Royale games, King Digital emerged as the most durable and profitable segment.
  • Unlike Destiny 2, Call of Duty, and Overwatch, Candy Crush Saga’s paying players are not vulnerable to the strong pull of Battle Royale games.
  • I expect King Digital to remain as Activision Blizzard’s most promising subsidiary. There are tens of thousands of copycat games but Candy Crush Saga remains very profitable.
  • I Know First has negative market trend scores for ATVI but I’m still endorsing this stock as a buy.

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Tesla Stock Forecast (NASDAQ: TSLA.O): Houston, We Have Problems!

April 22, 2018

Gleb ZInkovskii_photo

 

 

 

The article was written by Gleb Zinkovskii, a Financial Analyst at I Know First.

Tesla Stock Forecast

Summary

  • Model 3 weekly production rate target of 2,500 by 1Q end missed
  • Ratio analysis suggests “near red line” degree of leverage on Tesla’s balance sheet
  • Goldman Sachs does not believe the production plan will be met by the end of the year
  • The last autopilot accident (March 23, 2018. California, USA) does not seem to be Tesla’s vehicle issue

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Amazon Stock Forecast: Amazon Will Continue Muscling In On The $170 Billion Video Games Industry

April 4, 2018

motek 1The article was written by Motek Moyen Research Seeking Alpha’s #1 Writer on Long Ideas and #2 in Technology  – Senior Analyst at I Know First. 

AMZN Stock Predictions

Summary:

  • Amazon Game Studios recently cancelled its in-development Breakaway fantasy sports video game. It doesn’t mean Amazon is quitting the $170 billion video games industry.
  • Breakaway was likely only a showcase/demo title to demonstrate the all-in-one package capability of its Lumberyard game engine.
  • Amazon Game Studios will continue developing its other two games, Next World and Crucible. Crucible is currently a Battle Royale game that’s testing a 12-player limit.
  • Amazon has invested more than a billion dollars buying Twitch, Double Helix Games, and CryEngine license. Making its own Twitch-optimized games helps improve Amazon’s advertising business.
  • I Know First has negative market trend scores for AMZN. Wait for a cheaper entry-point before you take a long-term position on this stock.

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