Stock Prediction Algorithms : Up to 96.11%(long) Return in 1 Year

Stock Prediction Algorithms

This stock market forecast includes the best stocks determined by the algorithm with a market capitalisation of more than $100 billion.

  • 10 Best Mega Cap stocks for the long position
  • 10 Best Mega Cap stocks for the short position

Package Name: Mega Cap Stocks
Forecast Length: 1 Year (01/18/2015 – 01/18/2016)
I Know First Average: 16.27%(Long), 25.42%(Short)

Stock prediction algorithms

The Mega Cap package from the 18th January 2015 for the one year period. AMZN is the best performer for the long position with 96.11% and GOOG with 36.68%. BHP is the best performer with 53.42% and NOV with 46.38% for the short position. I Know First average for the long position brought returns of 16.27% and for the short position 25.42%. They both outperformed S&P500 -6.89%., Inc. operates as an online retailer in North America and internationally. It operates through the North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) segments. Over the past 12 months, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock more than doubled to nearly $700 before sliding back down below $600. As a result, many investors are likely wondering if it’s a good idea to load up on some shares of the retail giant on that big dip

BHP Billiton Limited discovers, acquires, develops, and markets natural resources worldwide. It operates through Petroleum and Potash, Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segment.

Algorithmic Stock Forecast: The table on the left is the stock forecast produced by I Know First’s algorithm. Each day, subscribers receive forecasts for six different time horizons. The top ten stocks in the 1-month forecast may be different than those in the 1-year forecast. In the included table, only the relevant tickers have been included. A green box represents a positive forecast while a red represents a negative forecast. The boxes are then arranged according to their respective signal and predictability values (see below for detailed definitions).

Forecast Performance: The table on the right compares the actual stock performance with I Know First’s prediction. The column titled “Forecast” shows which direction the algorithm predicted, and the column “% Change” shows the actual stock performance over the indicated time period. The “Accuracy” column shows a “√” if the algorithm correctly predicted the direction of the stock or an “x” if the forecast was incorrect. The I Know First Average is the equal-weights average percent change of the stocks listed below, and the S&P 500 may be included for reference if relevant.

Signal: This indicator represents the predicted movement direction/trend; not a percentage or specific target price. The signal strength indicates how much the current price deviates from what the system considers an equilibrium or “fair” price.

Predictability: This value is obtained by calculating the correlation between the current prediction and the actual asset movement for each discrete time period. The algorithm then averages the results of all the prediction points, while giving more weight to recent performance. As the machine keeps learning, the values of P generally increase.

The Algorithm: The system is a predictive algorithm that is based on Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), and incorporating elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms. The system’s predictive analytics are self-updating and thus live. The algorithm is a powerful resource for any investor conducting black-box trading or algotrading.