I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: March 27th, 2017

I Know First Review

On March 26, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First Review

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on March 20, 2017, we published a 1-year long forecast of our Best Stocks Under 5 Package with a bullish signal for Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD)Within 1 year 8 of the 10 predictions revealed themselves to be correct and AMD registered a return of 391.47%.

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (03/20/2016 – 03/20/2017)
I Know First Average: 106.61%

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. Triple Digit Growth Given in a 1 Year Forecast
Among the top 1 year performing forecasts, market premium reached as high as 90.81% in the Stocks Under $5 Forecast.  In similarity with this forecast, the Top 10 Stock Forecast, shared the same top performing stock pick, AMD. The stock impressively increased by 391.47%.  In addition, CLF and GGB posted high returns of 202.28% and 261.53% respectively.  The Brazilian Stocks Forecast achieved not only 100% accuracy in its forecast, but each stock pick reported at least a double digit growth.  Along with GGB’s return, two other notable stock returns were OKE and ENLK with returns of 82.32% and 61.39% respectively.

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (03/20/2016 – 03/20/2017)
I Know First Average: 106.61%


2. I Know First Portfolio Exceeds S&P 500 Return By Over 600% in 3 Months
The Technology Stocks Forecast and the Israeli Stocks Forecast each achieved a 100% accuracy in stock prediction. INVE was the highest performing tech stock yielding 65.42%, along with AMD increasing by 18.88%.  In comparison, the S&P 500 rose by 3.76%. The two top yielding stocks in the Israeli forecast were PERI with a return of 39.23% and NVMI returning 24.52%. The Fundamentals Stocks Forecast also yielded up to 71.09% from KEM.  Along with KEM, TGB rose over 45% in its given time frame.

Package Name: Tech Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Months (12/23/2016 – 03/23/2017)
I Know First Average: 17.29%

3. Double Digit Growth After 1 Month
In a 1 month time frame, I Know First’s algorithm accurately predicted several high-yielding stocks.  In the Stocks Under $5 Forecast, the long section reveals the highest yielding were: IMGN with 48.18%, PTX with 41.97% and IMMU with 33.67%. The market premium calculated to 13.05%. In the short section, the algorithm accurately predicted a short positions for RTK with 57.39%, DRYS with 47.58%, and TDW with 34.59%. In the Healthcare Stocks Forecast, the top two picks were: PTK returning 49.04% and IMGN yielding 48.56%. The forecast’s top two short picks were: RAD and BVX with returns of 24.58% and 22% respectively. Among the highest yields were a result from the Medicine Stocks ForecastPPHM was the highest performer of all with a return of 91.89%. PTK also posted a return of 43.53%.

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long & Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (02/23/2017 – 03/23/2017)
I Know First Average: 12.34% (Long) & 20.30% (Short)


4. Pattern Developing in 14 Day Forecast
Given its 14 time frame, I Know First’s algorithm has been forecasting short positions in its Top 10 Stocks Forecast and Insiders Stocks Forecast. As the general market declined, the first forecast selected short positions for SM, CLF and ENDP.  Each of these stocks earned investors with short positions are return ranging from 10.88% to 16.90%. Investors with short positions in the second forecast also saw a return of 20.59% from DAVE and 15.67% from SMRT.  Although the forecasts highlight short positions, one long position for stock: DNKTR, yielded an incredible 60.52% in its given time frame. The Healthcare Stocks Forecast predicted long positions for IDRA, XOMA and PTX, which yielded  30.37%, 20.18%, and 14.74%, respectively.

Package Name: Top 10 Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 14 Days (03/07/2017 – 03/21/2017)
I Know First Average: 7.33%


5. Stock Yields Above 40% Within A Week
The Insiders Stocks Forecast achieved a 100% accuracy.  The top performing stock of the week was NKTR.  Investors saw a 44.13% return in investment while the S&P 500 returned .04%.  Each forecasts: Fundamental Stocks Forecast, Stocks Under $10 Forecast and Computer Industry Stocks top picks were: KERX yielding 16.05%, INVE rising by 15.92%, and QUIK returning investors 13.04%.

Package Name: Insiders Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 7 Days (03/13/2017 – 03/20/2017)
I Know First Average: 4.95%


6. 3 Day Forecasts Yields Over 25%
In its given 3 day time period, the Fundamental Stocks Forecast revealed the top performing stock as INVE with a return of 27.61%.  The Energy Stocks Forecast achieved a 90% accuracy, correctly picking a long position for PLUG, which yielded 14.29%. The I Know First’s algorithm also successfully selected long positions in the Healthcare Stocks Forecast for KERK and IDRA.  Both which also achieved double digit growth with a return of 13.74% and 12.06%, respectively.

Package Name: Fundamental – Low PEG Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (03/15/2017 – 03/18/2017)
I Know First Average: 4.94%

7. Achieving Hit Ratio Over 85%
I Know First self-learning algorithm managed to achieve a hit ratio of 85.19% as indicated on a three day currency article published on March 23, 2017.  The currency predictor forecast accurately indicates USD falling in value relative to others. Along with the USD, the EURO also faces uncertainty as the UK government seeks an agreement for a Brexit deal with the EU.

Package Name: Currencies
Forecast Length: 3 Days (03/19/2017 – 03/22/2017)
I Know First Hit Ratio: 85.19%


8. 3 Month I Know First Portfolio Performance Yielding Double Digit Growth


Article Summaries

  1. Despite increasing competition in the vector illustration market, Adobe seems confident in its growth in subscription revenue. An I Know First analyst published a bullish article on May 26, 2016. To counter its competition, Adobe would release the Experience Design CC. Since the forecast was released, Adobe stock increased by 28.17%.
  2. In a 3 month time span, I Know First’s accurately predicted a bullish forecast for Visa.  Seeking to expand further into the Latin American and Chinese market, I Know First recognized Visa’s strive to gain market share.  Since I Know First published its Visa article on January 13, 2016, the stock has yielded 22.38%.
  3. Given Apple’s premium cost for its products, it customers have the money to spend nearly $45 billion in app purchase.  Recognizing how service is becoming Apple’s fastest growing segment and app purchases continuously increasing, a bullish forecast was foreseen.  Since I Know First released its bullish article on May 15, 2016, the stock has increased by over 55%.