I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: March 13th, 2017

I Know First Review

On March 12, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First Review

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on March 8, 2017, we published a 3-day long forecast of our Pharma Stocks Package with a bullish signal for XOMA Corporation (XOMA)Within 3 Days 8 of the 10 predictions revealed themselves to be correct and XOMA registered a return of 20.28%.

Package Name: Pharma Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (03/08/2017 – 03/11/2017)
I Know First Average: 5.90%

Best Stocks

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. Most Impressive Forecasts From 3 Day Time Frame 
This Pharma Stocks forecast, was I Know First’s top forecast during the past week. XOMA was the highest returning stock at 20.28% in just 3 days. Additionally, Medecine Stocks forecastBiotech Stocks forecast, and Basic Industry Stocks forecast had as well excellent short-term performance. The forecasts had overall average returns of 5.69%, 5.05%, and 4.15%, respectively. From the Basic Industry package, AKZOY had a superb return of 18.61%. Additionally, KITE, IMGN, and PTX had as well notable returns of 12.92%, 12.69%, and 11.27%, respectively.

2. Long-Term Forecasts Reach Superb Returns of 646%
In 1 year, I Know First’s self-learning had forecasted superb returns, with the top performance from this Stocks Under $5 forecast. The forecast had an overall average of almost 137% and an 80% accuracy level in 1 year. AMD and CLF had the highest 1 year returns from the package at 450.21% and 242.56%. GGB as well had superb returns from this Basic Industry forecast at 313.67%. The forecast had an accuracy level of 100% and an average of 117.67%. Additionally, this Small Cap Stocks forecast and Top 10 Stocks forecast had notable returns in 1 year with averages of 94.17% and 46.55%, respectively. CWEI had the highest overall 1 year return at 646.06%. GOL, X, and NAV had high returns of 240.02%, 208.18%, and 155.35%, accordingly.

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (03/06/2016 – 03/06/2017)
I Know First Average: 136.82%

Black Box Trading
3. 90 Days Predictions Return Almost 70% 
The top 3 month forecast came from this Fundamental Stocks forecast with an overall average of 22.74%, and a market premium of over 17%. From the package, PPHM and XIV had high returns of 62.75% and 47.52%, respectively. Furthermore, this Tech Stocks forecast and Israeli Stocks forecast had superb 3 month average returns 17.29% and 17.90%, respectively. From these forecasts INVE, AMD, MU, CRNT, and TSEM had excellent returns of 67.77%, 34.53%, 22.83%, 53.71%, and 26.78%, respectively.

Package Name: Fundamental – Low Short Ratio Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Months (12/11/2016 – 03/11/2017)
I Know First Average: 22.74%

Stock Forecasting Algorithm

4. Month Long Predictions Yield Returns Over 112% 
The strongest 1 month predictions came from this long and short Risk Conscious Stocks forecast, long Medicine Stocks forecast, and long Biotech Stocks forecast. The forecasts had overall average returns of 15.41% (long), 13.86% (short), 14.23%, and 12.96%, respectively. The excellent month long performance was led by PPHM, which had yielded a high 112.50% return. Additionally, DRYS (short position), KEM, CYH, and IMGN had notable returns of 67.22%, 47.96%, 47.05%, and 45.15%, respectively.

Package Name: Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast
Recommended Positions: Long & Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (02/05/2017 – 03/05/2017)
I Know First Average: 15.41% (Long) & 13.86% (Short)

5. Self-Learning Algorithm Reveals Stock Picks Yielding 39.05% in 14 Days
I Know First subscribers of Biotechnology, Pharmaceuticals, and Stocks Under $5 forecast, witnessed the algorithm’s stock picks having double digit growth within 2 weeks. IMGN and PTX were among the highest yielding stocks In the long Pharma Stocks forecast, long and short Stocks Under $5 forecast, long Biotech Stocks forecast.  PTX had the highest return of 39.05% followed by IMGN with a 37.64% yield. The forecasts had a overall returns of 5.66%, 5.24% (long), 11.18% (short), and 9.83%, respectively. PPHM had as a superb 14 day return at 27.65% from the Biotech Stocks package.

Package Name: Pharma Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (02/26/2017 – 03/12/2017)
I Know First Average: 5.66%

Market Predictions

6. Algo Traders Post Superb Returns In Past Week
While the S&P 500 posted a loss in the previous 7 days, I Know First’s 7 day portfolio posted positive returns. The highest yield came from the Energy Stocks Forecast shorting GLF, returning over 40%. Shorting DVAX yielded 30% from the short Fundamental Stocks Forecast and shorting FTR resulted in a 15.02% return. The 2 highest yielding stocks positing new 52 week high came from WTW posting 22.59% return and MUX at 14.29% from long 52 Week High Stocks Forecast. The algorithm had a 76% hit ratio in regards to currency prediction in a mere 7 days.
Package Name: Energy Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 7 Days (03/03/2017 – 03/10/2017)
I Know First Average: 13.98%

Market Forecast

7. Swing Trading Strategies Reach Over 76% In 1 Year 
I Know First’s algorithmic indicators can be used to backtest various short term trading strategies. The top strategy had yielded up to a 55.19% alpha above the S&P500 Index, from January, 2016 till March 1st, 2017. Read the full trade report for a more detailed analysis with charts and graphs, depicting a high reward to risk payoff with low Betas and high Sharpe Ratios.


Article Summaries

  1. Prior to Adidas Group’s fourth quarter earnings announcement, I Know First’s AI-based algorithm had forecasted a bullish prediction on ADS.DE shares. On March 7th, 2017, an I Know First financial analyst wrote a bullish article to compliment the forecast. He explained that the new CEO had taken Adidas into a new direction, and has helped the firm’s business development grow tremendously. Since then, ADS.DE shares have risen almost 12% to date.
  2. On October 31st, 2016, an I Know First financial analyst wrote a bullish article regarding AAPL shares. The analyst had explained that the holiday season and recall of Note 7s would help Apple recover a sales decline. The article had complimented I Know First’s self-learning algorithmic prediction on Apple Inc shares. Since then, AAPL shares have risen by over 22% to date.
  3. Despite Disney’s decline for the first half of the year 2016, a senior analyst and I Know First’s algorithm maintained a buy recommendation. Since the article’s release On November 8, 2016, I Know First’s accurate forecast resulted in a 20% yield since then. This is partly due to Disney’s released of highly demanding grossing films this past year.