I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: August 14th, 2017

I Know First Review

On August 14th, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First ReviewI Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on May 9th, 2017, we published a 3 month long forecast of our Risk Conscious/Aggressive Stocks with a bullish signal for Dynavax Technologies Corporation (DVAX)Within 3 months, 7 of the 10 predictions revealed themselves to be correct and Dynavax Technologies Corporation (DVAX) registered a return of 218.52%.

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. Which Stock Increased by Over 120% in 1 Year?
Within a forecast time-frame of one year, I Know First provided its subscribers with a number of high yielding stocks. Using a variation of pattern recognition and AI, the following forecasts, if utilized, could support I Know First subscribers in profitable stock selection. In the Tech Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock pick was KTOS with a return of 120.63% in 1 Year. In addition to KTOS, MU had a notable return of 98.62% yield. The forecast’s average of 49.48% surpassed the S&P 500’s 1 Year return of 13.38%. The Transportation Stocks forecast revealed its stock pick, CSX with an impressive return of 78.47% in 1 Year. GOL also had a high return of 77.12%. In the Basic Industry Stocks forecast, besides KTOS with a return of 120.63%, the bullish forecast also selected MTOR with a return of 90.69%.

Package Name: Tech Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length:1 Year (08/08/2016 – 08/08/2017)
I Know First Average: 49.48%

i know first review

2. 3 Months AI Stock Forecast Outperforms Index Benchmark more than 10x.
Many investors attempt to surpass their index benchmark performance. In I Know First’s case, its three month forecast average surpassed its index benchmark by 10 times the amount. In the Risk Conscious-Aggressive Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock was DVAX with an impressive return of 239.09%, in 3 months. The forecast average had a return of 36.37% compared to the S&P 500’s return of 3.15%. In the 52 Week High Stocks forecast, the highest performing stock came from SYX. The stock returned investors 69.46%. Another notable stock return was TREE, with a return of 58.04%. The I Know First algorithm unveiled additional undervalued stocks in the Fundamental- High Short Ratio Stocks forecast with notable returns. WTW and SYX returned investors 97.84% and 46.90%, respectively. In the Insiders Stock forecast, SGMS and TREE had outstanding returns of 60.84% and 59.16%, respectively.

Package Name: Risk Conscious- Aggressive Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Months (05/08/2017 – 08/08/2017)
I Know First Average: 36.37%

i know first review

3. Utilizing Self-Learning Algorithms Results in High Yield 1 Month Stock Picks.
Shorting stocks can yield investors with high rewards. I Know First accurately predicted a number of stock picks for shorting in its 1 month forecast, some exceeding returns over 30%. In the Pharma Stocks forecast, the forecast accurately predicted bearish performances, such as the case with PTX. Buying short positions on PTX resulted in investors yielding 36.99%. INSM also had a high return of 31.50% (short). The forecast achieved an average exceeding its benchmark index. The forecast average reached 13.56% compared to the S&P 500’s return of 0.65% in its given time-frame. In the Fundamental-High Short Ratio Stocks forecast, DVAX had a high return of 75.51%. The next highest yielding stock in this forecast was WTW, with a return of 33.19%. In the Stocks Under $20 forecast, DVAX and CG were the 2 highest 91.67% and 15.30%, respectively. Finally, the Biotech Stocks forecast selected DVAX with a return of 75.51% and ALXN with a return of 11.21%.

Package Name: Pharma Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (07/12/2017 – 08/12/2017)
I Know First Average: 13.56%

i know first review

4. 2 Week Stock Forecast Achieves 100% Accuracy
The forecast achieved a 100% accuracy was the Risk Conscious-Aggressive Stocks. The highest yielding stock in the forecast was WAC 47.71% (short). Another stock that had a yield if an investor were to short the stock was CLSN, with a return of 27.78% (short). The forecast’s overall average of 16.92% exceeded the S&P 500’s return of -1.60%. The Chinese Stocks forecast also had respectable returns from 0852.HK and BIDU. These stocks returned investors 68.82% and 17.59%, respectively. In the Brazilian Stocks forecast accurately selected SID and BBD with returns of 16.45% and 9.85%, respectively. If we were to look at Currencies forecast, the forecast achieved a hit ratio of 77.78%, with the highest return of 3.96% from EUR/CHF.

Package Name: Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 14 Days (07/27/2017 – 08/10/2017)
I Know First Average: 16.92%

i know first review

5. 1 Week Forecast Achieves Double Digit Growth
Selecting stocks with double digit growth has been proven to be attainable throughI Know First’s self-learning algorithm. In the Fundamental- Low PEG Stocks forecast, IO yielded investors 25.58%, while MTW stock increased by13.77%. In the Medicine Stocks forecast, the highest return was TEVA and ENDP with returns of 27.16% (short) and 23.41% (short), respectively. The I Know First forecast average reached 10.96% resulting in a market premium of 12.18%.  In the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast, the highest performing stock was SID with a return of 13.11%. The next highest yielding stock was ARWR with a return of 9.09%. Finally, in the Top 10 Stocks forecast, TEVA and ENDP had the highest return 27.16% (short) and 23.41% (short) respectively.

Package Name: Fundamental – Low PEG Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 7 Days (08/04/2017 – 08/11/2017)
I Know First Average: 4.03%

i know first review

6. 3 Day Forecast Reveals Pick Yields Over 40%
In a 3 day forecast, I Know First revealed an interesting investment opportunity in the Volatility forecast. The highest returns were ^VXO and ^VIX. VIX yielded investors 41.58% and 39.60%, respectively. The forecast average calculated to 16.69%, while the S&P 500 returned -1.32% in 3 days. In the Stocks Under $10 forecast, CDTI and ENDP had returns of 22.61% (short) and 19.51% (short), respectively. In the Fundamental-Low PEG Stocks forecast, IO had an impressive return of 29.55%. Finally, in the Small Cap Stocks forecast, the forecast achieved a return of up to 22.09%.

Package Name: Volatility
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (08/10/2017 – 08/13/2017)
I Know First Average: 16.69%

i know first review

Article Summary

  1. Apple is awaiting its release of the iPhone 8. Its predecessor, the iPhone 7, has been a major success for the company. As a company with one of the highest customer retention rate, Apple is looking to mimic its success with the release of the iPhone 8. Along with Warren Buffet adding Apple to its portfolio, shareholders are looking forward to the company’s future.  I Know First published a bullish forecast on August 14, 2016Since the forecast’s release, AAPL shares have increased by 45.57%.
  2. I Know First has been bearish on AMD shares. In one such case, on June 22, 2017, I Know First recognized a weakness in the company. Although AMD’s stock performance has been correlating with the rise in Bitcoin, it may not follow in the long-term. AMD still lacks in innovation compared to Intel and Bitcoin miners are transitioning from GPUs to Application-Specific Integrated Circuit chips. In accordance with the algorithm’s predictions, AMD shares have fallen by 12.52%.
  3. On July 30, 2017I Know First’s algorithm forecasted a long position for Tesla. The Model 3 has been released to favorable reviews and a backlog of orders. Although some may think the stock is overvalued, revenue is expected to rise considerably once the company achieves its goal of manufacturing 3,000 Model 3 cars a month. Since I Know First released the forecast, the stock has increased by 7%.