I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: April 30, 2017

I Know First Review

On April 30, 2017, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.


I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all the I Know First subscribers, highlighting the past week’s performance in all the covered financial markets, i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms such as Apple, Yahoo, Baidu, and more which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting the relationships, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here.

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on April 26, 2017, we published a 1-year long forecast of our By-Country -Brazilian Stocks Package with a bullish signal for GOL Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes S.A. (GOL). Within 1 year 9 of the 10 predictions revealed themselves to be correct and GOL registered a return of 355.91%.

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this past week’s newsletter.

1. Stocks With Triple Digit Return in 1 Year
In the By Country – Brazilian Stocks forecast for the 1 Year time horizon, 9 of the 10 stocks were predicted accurately. The biggest return from this forecast was from GOL, which increased an astonishing 355.91%. VALE, BRF, and CPL were other top performing stocks, with exceptional returns of 78.33%, 59.67%, and 57.35%. The average return of the forecast was 70.39%, while the S&P 500 return for the year was 14.35%. Also for the 1 Year time horizon, the Tech Stocks forecast had an average return of 61.20%. The best performing index was the AMD, which increased by 238.10%. Other top performing indices were the INVE and the NANO, which increased 178.44% and 93.87%. AMD was also the top performing stock with a return of 229.07% from the Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast.  This overall forecast had a market premium of 47.5%.

Package Name: By Country – Brazilian Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (04/26/2016 – 04/26/2017)
I Know First Average: 70.39%

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2. 3 Day Forecasts Result In Top Picks With At Least 24% Return
In its given 3 Days time period, the Medicine Stocks forecast revealed the top performing stock as ORMP with a return of 27.29%.  The BioTech Stocks forecast achieved a 9 out of 10, correctly picking a long position for ORMP, which yielded 27.29%. The I Know First’s algorithm also successfully selected long positions in the Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast for RTK and DUST.  Both which also achieved growth with a return of 24.89% and 18.15%, respectively.

Package Name: Medicine Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Days (04/23/2017 – 04/26/2017)
I Know First Average: 8.07%

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3. Stock Price Predictor Results in Nearly 40% Return in 1 Week
I Know First’s 7 Days portfolio posted positive returns. The highest yield came from the By Region – European Socks forecast yielding KN.PA, returning 18.51%. PTN yielded 18.89% from the Pharma Stocks forecast and ORMP resulted in a 18.14% return. The 2 highest yielding stocks from Fundamental – Low Short Ratio Stocks forecast came from VHC posting 39.58% return and RMTI at 23.43%.

Package Name: By Region – European Socks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 7 Days (04/21/2017 – 04/28/2017)
I Know First Average: 7.59%

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4. Double Digit Return in 2 Weeks
The 14 Days 52 Weeks High Stocks forecast selected stock: MDXG, this resulted in a 18.16%. The second top performer was SYX, with a return of 13.36%. During this time period for the 2 weeks forecast, the S&P 500 had a return of 2.37%. In the Computer Industry Stocks forecast, the forecast had an average return of 5.51%, more than twice the amount of the S&P 500 return of 1.87%. SSYS was the top performing stock with a return of 18.24%, while LOGM increased 10.19%. Lastly, in the Top 10 Stocks forecast, the top performers were: LB and SWFT, with returns of 10.46% and 10.27%, respectively.

Package Name: 52 Weeks High Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 14 Days (04/14/2017 – 04/28/2017)
I Know First Average: 6.57%

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5. Stock Rises beyond 70% Return in 1 Month
Investors were able to reach, in 1 Month, a 49.33% return in from PLUG with this Small Cap Stocks forecast. The forecast had an overall average of 12.38%, above the S&P 500 Index return of 1.09%. Additional high 1 Month returns came from this Stocks Under 5 Dollars forecast, which had an overall average of 10.69% and returns up to 72.06%. PLUG was also the top performing stock. The highest yielding stock in the Top 10 Stocks forecast on the other hand came from AKRX, with a return of nearly 48%.

Package Name: Small Cap Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Month (03/29/2017 – 04/29/2017)
I Know First Average: 12.38%

6. Overall Forecast Return at least 15% in 3 Months
GNCMA was the top performing stock for a trio of 3 Months, as the stock price soared during that time. The 3 Months Insiders Stocks forecast had an incredible average return of 25.70%. GNCMA had an astonishing return of 84.19%, while IMGN and JAZZ also had excellent returns of 68.95% and 23.95%. IMGN also increased 77.87% in the 3 Months Medicine Stocks forecast. It had an average return of 18.51%, as 9 of the 10 stocks. These included IMGN and BCR, which increased 77.87% and 29.07%. In the HealthCare Stocks forecast, IMGN increased 79.75%, while TARO and AGN jumped 15.74% and 15.63%. Once again, the average return of 15.97% was much greater than the S&P 500 return of 4.01%.

Package Name: Insiders Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 3 Months (01/20/2017 – 04/20/2017)
I Know First Average: 25.70%


Article Highlights

  1. Defying critics, I Know First remained bullish for Apple. The iPhone 7 sold well, but the one product that stood out was the iPhone SE. The iPhone SE’s success shows Apple’s success in diversification. Despite drawbacks in the past, Apple’s fundamental continues to impress. Since the article’s release on August 11, 2016, the stock has increased by 33%.
  2. Many were critical of Tesla’s unpopular decision to acquire SolarCity, some were skeptical of Tesla’s ability to mass produce the Model 3. Nevertheless, the popularity of the car and the company’s potential growth in the Chinese market, contributes to Tesla’s rise. On September 20, 2016, I Know First wrote a bullish article on the company.  Since the forecast, the stock has increased by 52.21%.
  3. Hewlett-Packard continues to solidify itself as the largest in the $55 billion dollar global hardcopy peripherals industry.  The company’s acquisition of Samsung’s printer business in September 2016 decreased competition and gave Hewlett-Packard access to over 6,500 patents from Samsung. Since writing a bullish article on September 23, 2016, the stock has increased by 24.47%.