I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: June 25th, 2020

I Know First
Weekly Newsletter | June 25th, 2020


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Good morning, I Know First universe.

We’re happy to share our best article and stock prediction of the week:

  • Top Trade Ideas – Options Forecast Based on Algo Trading: Returns up to 35.69% in 3 Days
  • Top Featured Article – Stock Market Forecast: How AI Identifies Winning S&P 500 Sectors In Coronavirus Times
☆ Use Artificial Intelligence To Spot Opportunities In The Market With I Know First’s Dailey Market Forecasts ☆

Need to Know First!

  • Top Stocks To Buy Based on Big Data: Returns up to 126.26% in 14 Days
  • High Risk Stocks Based on Data Mining: Returns up to 171.43% in 1 Month
  • Top Technology Stocks Based on Pattern Recognition:  Returns up to 88.11% in 3 Months
  • Tech Stocks Based On Data Analytics: Average Gain of 48.24% in 1 year
  • Amazon (AMZN) has gained 40.30% since April 4, 2020 as it has recovered from the sell offs that plagued the beginning of the year.
  • Immunomedics (IMMU) Stock is up 14.99% since we posted a bullish June 4, 2020 prediction 2 weeks about how the pharmaceutical company was a wise pick in the medical space.
  • ABMD returns 18.28% in less than a month since our May 29, 2020 upside forecast identified potential for the medial stock during the Coronavirus pandemic.  

Weekly Winning Forecasts

3 Days

Fundamental Stocks: 78.20% Yield
Options Outlook: 9.91% Average
Top Stocks to Short: 6.35% Return

7 Days

Top Medical Stocks: 17.38% Avg
52 Week High Stocks: 73.03% Yield
Best Buffet Stocks: 11.27% Return

14 Days

Aggressive Stocks: 57.49% Average
S&P 500 Stock Picks: 36.49% Yield
Options Outlook: 39.09% Return

1 Month

Aggressive Stocks: 171.43% Yield
Top 10 Stocks: 37.65% Return
Best Energy Stocks: 51.90% Avg

3 Months

Top Trade Ideas: 523.89% Return
Stocks Under $10: 114.98% Avg
Best Tech Stocks: 88.11% Yield

1 Year

Promising AI Stocks: 82.31% Avg
Top Tech Stocks: 141.93% Yield
Best S&P Stocks: 154.24% Return

☆ Predicting Next Weeks Winning Stocks By Using Deep Learning☆

Snippets From Our Top Blog Posts For The Week:

Stay Ahead Of The Curve: AI Weekly

Shopify Stock Forecast: Why Shopify Has Bloated Valuation

There’s an ongoing global pandemic and yet Shopify touts a YTD price return of 86.77%. This is in spite of Shopify’s continuing net losses. The rapid ascent of SHOP this year has given it bloated valuation ratios. This goes to show that investors strongly believe in the momentum growth potential of Shopify.

Shopify now touts a TTM Price/Valuation ratio of 49.21. This is much higher than Adobe’s 16.31. Adobe is the parent firm of Shopify’s rival, Magento.
The super optimism over SHOP is due to its outstanding 5-year revenue CAGR of 69.48%. Profitability will eventually come to Shopify once it reaches peak maturity.
Shopify has a healthy balance sheet. Its total cash is $2.36 billion and has no debt. Shopify can therefore a few more quarters of negative levered free cash flow.

Read more.

Stock Market Forecast: How AI Identifies Winning S&P 500 Sectors In Coronavirus Times

Automotive, airlines, energy companies are taking the biggest hit from Covid-19 crisis, while healthcare and online streaming companies benefit from the outbreak.  Although the above industries can be seriously affected, there are companies managed to win the competitive edge even under the current situation.This make it very difficult to create accurate stock market forecasts under the current situation. However, I Know First is still able to identify the best stock market opportunities.

The most important thing for investors is to accurately identify opportunities and risks and use sector rotation to optimize portfolio performance. he Sector Rotation strategy is based on the idea that in any given time period, some sectors in any given economy perform better than others, investment-wise, growing higher and generating better returns. The next logical step from this point, of course, is to invest in the top performers and try to avoid investing in those lagging behind. Then, you decide the fund allocation of the sectors in your portfolio and pick out the individual stocks in the sectors based on predictions as accurate as possible. Then you make sure you re-balance it every now and then to make sure your funds are allocated in line with the aforementioned idea. With I Know First forecasts available for a wide range of time horizons, we can react quickly to the next winning sector.

Read more.

Top S&P 500 Stocks: Daily Forecast and Global Model Performance Evaluation Reports

In this stock market forecast evaluation report, we will examine the performance of the forecasts generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for top S&P 500 stocks which were daily sent to our customers. Our analysis covers the time period from 19 June, 2019, to December 8, 2019. The report also demonstrates how our Global Stock Picking method compares to our Daily Forecast model and how those generate predictions resulting in returns that beat S&P 500 even during the volatile times in 2019.

Stock market forecasts that were generated by our Daily Forecast model obtained positive returns for all time horizons and outperformed the S&P 500 for all time horizons (3-days to 1-year). We observed a consistent positive effect of signal-based filtering, besides one exception in the 90 days time horizon, additional screening by signal always resulted in higher performance. The Global Model improved the performance even further – our algorithm’s forecast according to this new model enabled a more flexible trading strategy that generated robust returns compared to both the S&P 500 Benchmark and the traditional model performance on longer horizons. The highest return of 6.86% was obtained by applying the Global Model on the 90-days time stock market forecast horizon.

Read more.

Organic Food Stocks: How The Pandemic Benefitted Healthy Food Stocks and How AI Knew First

The coronavirus has been affecting people’s life in every aspect – from the way people work to the way people eat. Before the pandemic, experts predicted momentum for meat alternatives, low- or no-alcohol beverages and sustainability-driven purchasing behaviors. Another prevailing trend now is that, however, people are re-evaluating their diets because it has underlined the link between food and health. Although this healthy food trend has been ongoing for years, the outbreak of the virus has further accelerated the demand for added health benefits in daily food supplies.

Organic foods are considered to be healthier and safer than their conventional alternatives. Thus, the sales get a boost especially when people are looking at disease prevention and nutrition improvement.  There are some organic food stocks that benefitted, for example, UNFI stock price tripled and NGVC stock price doubled in the past three months. During the same time, the Food and Beverage index PBJ monitored by I Know First increased by 13%.

Read More

Identifying The Best Stocks On Robinhood Using AI

Robinhood is an online broker-dealer that allows investors to trade without incurring a commission charge. Robinhood has changed the online broker industry, realizing a $8.3 billion valuation and possessing a large portion of the market space. Robinhood investors, in conjunction with I Know First’s algorithm forecasting, have repeatedly scored big. I Know First can provide Robinhood users with multiple stock forecasting options, including custom forecasts for individual portfolios.

I Know First and Robinhood investors have also had success in light of COVID-19. The virus promoted the growth of multiple industries, such as tech and pharma. Using our proprietary developed AI algorithm to predict the best stock market opportunities, we can provide Robinhood users with stock prediction packages. These packages would provide investors with more information and allow them to make more informed decisions.

Read more.

Want to learn more?

Letter from the CEO

Dear Readers, 

The Dow Jones rose 1% in last week’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index gained 1.9% and the Nasdaq composite 3.7%. The aggressive package was one of the leading packages recently with average return of 57% (!) in 2 weeks vs negative return of the S&P 500 index over the same time frame. The leading stocks in this package were NE, DPW, FET and ENT with respective returns of 126%, 112%, 101%, and 77% in just 2 weeks. The same package of high risk, high reward stocks had a return of 78% over the last month! The top performers in this package were DPW, QEP, TUP and FET with a return of 171%, 163%, 103%, and 95% in this time period. That’s not all too. The aggressive stocks forecast also saw extremely successful results over 3 months, achieving an average return of 133%
with individual stock returns up to 523%, 468% and 223%.

Additionally, we want to wish fathers around a world a Happy Father’s Day. If you forgot to get a present, it’s not too late. For the next 24 hours only, we are offering 15% off of every single forecast! First, go here, then choose from our various services for which package you’d like, and then enter ‘Father2020’ to get access to this great opportunity! An algorithmic trading package is the perfect gift for those who are just starting to invest actively or for those who have already established large portfolios! 

Warmest Regards

Yaron Golgher, Co-Founder and CEO

Q&A With I Know First
I Know First’s Daily Market Forecasts And How to Interpret the Numbers

Q: What is the forecast date?
A: The forecast date is the date the algorithm released this set of predictions

Q: What is the time horizon? 
A: The time horizon is the suggested period of time to hold the suggested stocks. When we calculate the forecast performance, we do so from the forecast date through the end of the time horizon.

Q: What do the colors indicate?
A: The green boxes signify long predictions and the red boxes signify short predictions. The bright shades denote the strongest predictions.

Q: What is the accuracy (checks and x marks)?
A: If the algorithm correctly predicts the direction of a stock’s movement, a check mark is placed next to the stock’s return and if the algorithm is incorrect in its prediction, an x mark is placed next to the stock’s return.

Q. What is the return?
A. The return is the percentage movement of each stock multiplied by 1 if the algorithm suggested a long position or multiplied by negative 1 if the algorithm suggested a short position. In other words if the algorithm correctly predicts the direction of the stock, the return is the positive percentage change of the stock, and if the algorithm incorrectly predicts the direction of the stock, the return is the negative percentage change of the stock. The return is the last end of the day price at the target date of the forecast VS the price when the forecast was sent (the end of the day price of the previous day).

Q. How do you calculate the average Top 10 Return?
A. The average Top 10 return is the sum of all the suggested Top 10 stock returns divided by 10. If one were to invest in each of the Top 10 stocks with equal weights, he would earn the “average return.”

Get Access to the Latest Heatmap + Daily Market Forecasts!

Commodities, Gold & Currencies

Gold Price Predictions:
Returns up to 2.47% in 1 Month

June 21 | Read More

AI Based Gold Outlook: 
Returns up to 29.48% in 1 Year
June 21 | Read More

Commodity Futures Prediction
Returns up to 1.49% in 3 Days
June 21 | Read More

Forex Forecast Based on AI: 
86.54% Hit Ratio in 1 Month
June 21 |
Read More

Exchange Rate Forecast by AI:
63.46% Hit Ratio in 1 Month
June 18 |
Read More

Forex Market Forecast:
76.92% Hit Ratio in 1 Month
June 17 | Read More

Weekly Apple Stock Update

This week’s Apple Stock News discusses App Store Ecosystem Facilitated Over Half A Trillion Dollars In Commerce In 2019.

App Store ecosystem supported $519 billion in billings and sales globally in 2019 alone. The new study, conducted by independent economists at Analysis Group, found that the highest value categories were mobile commerce (m-commerce) apps, digital goods and services apps, and in-app advertising. The results encapsulate the full sweep of the dynamic, competitive, and flourishing app economy.

The study also looked at COVID-19 effects on different app sales. Social apps are helping friends and families stay connected, and education and business collaboration apps are helping students and employees adjust to remote working environments. Food and grocery delivery apps have benefited from increased consumer demand at the same time as apps related to businesses that have faced restrictions, or those that require in-person interactions, have seen a sharp drop-off.

In other news, Apple shared on June 11 the WWDC20 lineup, including keynote and Platforms State of the Union timing, and information on how developers can learn about the future of iOS, iPadOS, macOS, tvOS, and watchOS, and engage with Apple engineers. The events will be available for direct stream and on-demand playback from Apple Park via apple.com, the Apple Developer app and the Apple Developer website. For viewers in China, they will be on Tencent, iQIYI, Bilibili, and Youku.

Read more.

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