I Know First Weekly Review Algorithmic Performance: February 4th, 2021



I Know First
Weekly Newsletter | February 4th, 2021


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Good morning, I Know First universe.
We’re happy to share our best article and stock prediction of the week:
  • Top Trade IdeasStock Picks Based on Stock Market Algorithm: Returns up to 466.95% in 3 Days
  • Top Featured Article – AI Stock Market Predictions: Algorithm Predicted GME and AMC Surge Against All Odds
Top 10 Stocks to Buy This Week Based on AI Algorithm + Daily S&P 500 Forecast

Need To Know First!

  • Stock Picks Based on Stock Market Algorithm: Returns up to 466.95% in 3 Days
  • Best High Short Interest Stocks Based on Deep-Learning: Returns up to 655.29% in 7 Days
  • Best Pharma Stocks Based on Big Data: Returns up to 92.43% in 14 Days
  • Stocks With High Implied Volatility Based on Stock Market Algorithm: Returns up to 1271.22% in 1 Month
  • Consumer Discretionary Stocks Based on Machine Learning: Returns up to 2649.58% in 3 Months
  • Best Biotech Stocks Based on Deep-Learning: Returns up to 1616.19% in 1 Year
  • GameStop (GME) Stock is up 2076.83% since October 25, 2020, following a short squeeze generated by Reddit users.
  • Novavax (NVAX) Stock returns up to 77.32% since December 13, 2020, as it is a major competitor for the vaccine from Covid-19.
  • Aurora Cannabis (ACB) Stock returns up to 55.08% since November 22, 2020, following the legalization of cannabis in five new states in the US

Best Investment Opportunities For 2021

By the end of the last year, we sent to our clients our top stock picks for 2020 in this newsletter. Now, we have analyzed their performance, and are happy to share that they attest to our algorithmic predictions and market accuracy. In a 1-year time horizon, the Top S&P 500 Stocks package delivered good results. NVDA returned 121.99% in the timeframe, while ALGN and AMZN saw outstanding returns of 88.85% and 75.73% respectively.

But they were not the only stocks in the package to see a good increase. At the same time, stocks such as LRCX, NFLX, IPGP, ADBE registered yields of 64.95%, 59.41%, 55.84%, and 50.38% respectively. All these stock movements were predicted correctly by our algorithm.

Considering our top technology stocks, the results were impressive. In a 1-Year time horizon, our package saw returns up to 117.66%. AMD was one of the highlights of the package with an 86.78% yield, while AAPL also impressed with returns of 63.95% and 76.71% respectively.


Overall, you can see that our algorithm was very successful over the course of 2020.

To help you filter through all the different forecasts we have, I Know First’s Research Department has compiled the most recommended investment avenues for 2021. The outlook is based on the most prominent assets the algorithm will find for the coming year. The forecast includes the top 3 stocks for 2021, best ETF’S, the most up to date S&P 500 Forecast, Nasdaq forecast, European indices forecast (DAX, CAC, etc), the top commodities for 2021, and more!

You can get access to this report today so you can know first what the biggest winners of 2021 will be! Hurry because it is the last chance to get it!


Weekly Winning Forecasts

3 Days
Consumer Stocks: 132.1% Average
Options Predictions: 466.95% Yield
High Short Stocks: 197.8% Return

7 Days
High Short Stocks: 655.29% Yield
Retail Stocks: 24.73% Average
Medical Stocks: 104.6% Return
14 Days
Implied Volatility: 815.49% Return
Aggressive Stocks: 27.42% Average
Best Pharma Stocks: 92.43% Yield
1 Month
Implied Volatility: 1271.22% Yield
Consumer Stocks: 1576.9% Return
Aggressive Stocks: 81.66% Average

3 Months
Consumer Stocks: 2649.58% Yield
Implied Volatility 297.33% Average
High P/S Stocks: 1954.28% Return
1 Year
Biotech Stocks: 1616.19% Yield
Insider Trades: 125.73% Average
Top 10 Stocks: 115.98% Return
☆ Top 10 Stocks to Buy Today: Predicting This Week’s Winning Stocks By Using Deep-Learning ☆

Snippets From Our Top Blog Posts For The Week:

Stay Ahead Of The Curve: AI Weekly


AI Stock Market Predictions: Algorithm Predicted GME and AMC Surge Against All Odds

Try to find a person who has Internet access and still doesn’t know that GME stock price exploded as a result of the battle that emerged from a Reddit post last week. The story started as the single person offering to “crowd-push” against the major market players holding short positions on GME stock and take revenge on the 1% of the society to be held accountable for the latest financial crises. The reasonable question for a regular investor in this situation – “Could I predict it anyhow and make it work for my benefit?” Short answer – Yes, we at I Know First could and we did it with our AI stock market predictions.

Although the predictability was relatively medium, the corresponding signal levels indicated a coming abnormality in the stock price volatility and the stock price direction in the nearest future. Moreover, we published an article recommending buying the GME stock on October 26, 2020, in our weekly newsletter. Since then GME stock set off with more than 2200% and continued until the publication date hitting the 3000% level.

Read more.


I Know First To Democratize AI-Driven Stock Predictions For All

The landscape of investment is a diverse one, with all sorts of actors in the play – from individual investors to pension funds and other institutional investors. What unites them, among other things, is the apparent appetite that they have for AI technology, which has recently been shaking up the financial sector.

The AIs trained by the large players are quite likely to end up stay unavailable for most of the actors on the market, whether we speak of other institutional investors or retail clients seeking to make their own decisions based on AI forecasts rather than put their trust in a hybrid Robo-advisor. Institutional investors, in the meantime, can often find themselves facing a lack of resources, or manpower, or experience necessary to make the most out of AI-driven investment.

This is exactly where high-tech startups seeking to democratize AI for all enter the stage – and in this sphere, one of the leaders is an Israel-based company with the ambitious name I Know First.


Read more.


Apple Stock Forecast: Substantial Earnings & Growth Amid The COVID-19

In this Apple stock forecast evaluation report, we examine the performance of the Apple stock forecast generated by the I Know First AI Algorithm for the AAPL stock with time horizons ranging from 3 days to 1 year, which were delivered daily to our clients. Our analysis covers the time period from 1st October 2019 to 1st January 2021.

It is important that even the forecasts for the shortest time horizon have demonstrated a hit ratio well above the conventional machine learning waterline above 50%, while the average hit ratio across all the time horizons is 70%. This means that I Know First customers could be highly certain in the forecasts they are getting are based on statistically meaningful relationships picked up by the AI algorithm in the fresh market data and can be used as a solid basis for decision-making amid these volatile time periods.


Read more.


Stock Picking Algorithms: The Machine Advantage

How do Stock Picking Algorithms work? Those who seek adventures might look for companies in the news or those companies that are rumored to be taking over. If they hear positive news, they buy the stock, with hopes that the stock will go higher. Some of us are lucky, but most of us aren’t, and, therefore, we lose money. Is luck related to it at all?

Other people simply buy stocks in companies that make products which they like. Most Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) investors belong to that category. Investing in Apple is a win-win situation for them as either they can win big, or they can, at least, own stocks in a company that they like.

One can follow the fundamentals, the daily price moves, the company reports, the news, the competitors, the suppliers, the patents, the lawsuits, the weather, and more to predict the stock market. Some forecasts could have been produced by those who follow what I mentioned above. However, algorithms are completely different, using computers and logic.


Read More.


Aggressive Stocks & Coronavirus Stock-Market Volatility

The purpose of this report is to present the results of the live forecast performance evaluation for the I Know First AI Algorithm, specifically for the Aggressive stocks. The following results were observed when signal and predictability filters were applied to pick the best-performing stocks out of the most predictable ones. The period under evaluation is from 17th July 2019 to 6th January 2021.

The algorithm is outperforming the benchmark index throughout the time periods. The I Know First algorithm has obtained the best performance for the 3-month time horizon. Due to the high volatility of aggressive stocks having a long-term investment outlook is ideal. We can see a sizable change in the stock prices, irrespective of short-term downtrends. All in all, an investor can improve his investments by adding Aggressive stocks to his portfolio when considering the I Know First predictability indicator.


Read More.



Want to learn more?

Letter from the CEO

Dear clients,

GameStop turned the stock market upside down this week. Individual investors pushed up the GME price significantly, generating a short squeeze and a huge loss for hedge funds. You may be asking if it was possible to predict that GME would increase its value and the answer is yes. Our predictive algorithm was capable. In both 3 and 7 days time horizon, our AI predicted correctly the stock movement for both GME and AMC. This is just another statement that predictive algorithms are not restricted to a small group of people. In fact, we are helping to democratize it for all.

Both GME and AMC were the highlights of some of our packages. In the Consumer Stocks package, both of them generated over 325% return in only three days. Another stock the AI predicted the movement was EXPR, which provided an impressive yield of 433.52%. The package had an average return of 132.11% in the timeframe, while the S&P 500 had a 2.36% deficit at the same time. The High Short Interest Stocks package returned a 119.74% premium over the S&P 500’s return in the 7 days time horizon. Additionally, the Implied Volatility Options had not only GME as a highlight, but PEI, BB, and TELL with returns of 92.65%, 43.29%, and 42.25% respectively.

Even though we are looking into a huge increase in the short term, our packages with longer time horizons still provided good results for our clients. The one month Implied Volatility Options package had an average return of 174.38% not just because of GME, but also for the yield of 175.21% from AQMS and 75.37% from FCEL. In the 3 months timeframe, the Consumer Stocks package generated an average return of 303.89%! Again, not only GME provided good results in the package, as DDS had a 93.50% return and LE a 78.13% yield. The S&P 500’s performance of 13.55% in the same time horizon provided a market premium of 290.34% for those who invested in our package.

More than that, we even published an article about GME back in October. Since then, GameStop stock increased 2076.83% its value. Where ever direction the market will go now, our algorithm already proved capable of identifying the best opportunities from our long and short picks


You can get today’s forecast here to not miss any new opportunities!

Warmest Regards

Yaron Golgher, Co-Founder and CEO
Q&A With I Know First
I Know First’s Daily Market Forecasts And How to Interpret the Numbers
Q. What are the Top 10 stock predictions?
A. The Top 10 stock predictions are the stocks that are poised to grow the most (have the strongest positive signals).

Q. What is the S&P 500 stock prediction and why do you include it?
A. The S&P 500 is the major US index and is a general indicator for the direction of the US stock market. If the algorithm predicts that the S&P 500 will go up, then it is a good sign that the stock market will generally increase. It helps in decision making. It is generally preferable to go long the Top 10 stocks when the S&P 500 has a positive prediction, and to go short the 10 stocks on the bottom of the table when the S&P 500 has a negative prediction.

Q. How should I use the S&P 500 forecast?
A. The S&P 500 is a great representation of the general US stock market. If the algorithm predicts that the S&P 500 will go up, then it is a good sign that the stock market will generally increase. If the predictability for the S&P 500 is relatively weak, then it is important to be cautious, as the algorithm is unconfident about the direction of the stock market.

Q. Which time horizons should I follow?
A. The longer-term forecasts (1-month and 3-month) tend to have higher predictabilities as the algorithm can more easily spot long-term trends. We suggest following these two time horizons the most closely, but the more reactionary shorter term horizons are helpful in understanding the short-term volatility of the market. Perhaps if you see that a stock with a strong, positive 3-month prediction has a negative short-term forecast, it is a good idea to wait until the stock decreases in value before buying it.

Q. How should I use the predictabilities and signals?
A. It is recommended that investors consider both the signal strength and predictability, as a highly predictable stock that barely moves and an unpredictable stock that is projected to move drastically both make unattractive investments.
Get Access to the Latest Heatmap + Daily Market Forecasts!

Commodities, Gold & Currencies

Gold Forecast:
Returns up to 54.88% in 1 Year

January 31 | Read More

Commodity Outlook:
Returns up to 6.32% in 7 Days

January 31 | Read More

Forex Forecast:
76.92% Hit Ratio in 3 Months

January 31 | Read More
Gold Outlook:
Returns up 3.49% in 3 Months
January 31 |
Read More

Currency Forecast:
71.15% Hit Ratio in 1 Year
January 31 |
Read More

Commodity Price Forecast:
Returns up 4.82% in 3 Days
January 31 |
Read More
Find The Latest Top Commodities and Currency Pairs With AI Insight

Weekly Apple Stock Update

This week’s Apple Stock News discusses the upcoming changes Apple will make in its Advertising Identifier (IDFA), a key tool for targeting users for advertising purposes. The changes are likely to be a net benefit to the consumer as they improve the privacy and security of iOS users. It is worth noting that Facebook generated 40% of US revenue as of the last quarter, with nearly all of that revenue coming from advertising. Hence, it is safe to say that the IDFA changes will affect a significant portion of Facebook’s user base, which could account for many billions of annual ad revenue.

Also, Apple is adding celebrity-led walking workouts to Fitness Plus, and new walks will be added every Monday through the end of April. “Time to Walk” combines music and inspirational monologues from renowned musicians, athletes, and actors. According to the latest research from Counterpoint’s IoT, the global smartwatch market posted a healthy 20% revenue growth in H1 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic and shipments remaining flat compared to the same period of last year’s service. Apple contributed more than 50% of the total market revenue in H1 2020.

Finally, fifth-generation smartphones will soon start growing in India. Apple has struggled to grab significant market share in India due to its premium pricing. It reportedly held just 2% of the Indian smartphone market at the end of 2019. Apple doubles its market share in India to 4% For 2020. Apple could benefit greatly in the Indian 5G smartphone market in the long term, as shipments are expected to reach 144 million units by 2025. This forecast makes the company’s shares very promising for an investor.

Read more.
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