I Know First Review Weekly Algorithmic Performance: December 16, 2018

I Know First Review

On December 16, 2018, our weekly newsletter was sent out to all I Know First subscribers, which can be found here. Below, you may find the I Know First Review, highlighting the algorithm’s performance for this past week.

I Know First sends a weekly newsletter every Sunday to all subscribers, highlighting the past weeks performance in all the financial markets covered i.e. equity positions, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the weekly newsletter includes analysis and updated news reports regarding prominent firms, such as MSFT, ZNGA, NFLX, which our subscribers are able to utilize for their investment strategies. The in-depth analysis is provided by the I Know First financial analysts, who are often times also top rated authors for prominent financial sites such as Seeking Alpha.

In general, the algorithm is based on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning with elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms incorporated in it. This means the algorithm creates, deletes, and modifies relationships between different financial assets to optimize its predictive accuracy. Based on the relationships and the latest market data, the algorithm calculates its forecasts. Since the algorithm learns from its previous forecasts and is continuously readjusting, it adapts quickly to changing market situations.

For a more detailed explanation, regarding the algorithm, click here

As highlighted in the newsletter, our subscribers had seen superb returns, whether long-term or short-term. Our investors are able to tackle the market head on with all its recent uncertainties and achieve premiums well over those offered by institutional and classic fund managers. For example, on December 11, 2017, we published a 1 year long forecast of our Stocks Under 5 Dollars Package with a bullish signal for Arrowhead Research Corporation (ARWR) with a return of 321.18%

Every week the top performing financial instruments are highlighted, as shown below from this week’s newsletter.

1. 3 Day Stock Forecasts Result in Returns Over 76%

In a just a span of 3 Days, I Know First’s stock prediction algorithm accurately predicted high returns among its forecasts. The highest performing stock in Healthcare Stocks package was SGYP saw monumental growth of 76.40% in just 3 Days . The forecast average had a return of 11.45% compared to the S&P 500’s return of -1.40%. In the Biotech Stocks To Buy forecast, the highest performing stock was NVAX returning investors 20.98% in 3 days. Another notable stock return was KERX and EXEL at 6.67% and 6.13%, respectively  The I Know First algorithm unveiled additional Top stocks for S&P 500 Companies Package forecast with notable returns.  The best performance in the short position came from NOV which registered a return of 4.95%. For the long positions the largest growth was registered by TWTR with a return of 4.12%, during the same period.

Package Name: Healthcare Stocks
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 3 Days (12/12/2018 – 12/15/2018)
I Know First Average: 11.45%
Healthcare Stocks Outlook

How to interpret this diagram

2. Nearly 45.95% Return in 7 Day

Within 7 Days, I Know First subscribers saw impressive returns. In the The Energy Stocks Package forecast, SN  increased greatly in value by 45.95%ILD.PA also had a high return of 8.18%. In the Best European Stocks forecast, VWS.CO also had a high return of 7.16%. The next highest yielding stock in this forecast was GEN.CO, with a return of 6.27%Under the Fundamental Package forecast, for the long positions the largest growth was registered by XPER with a return of 26.30%, The best performance in the short position came from YRCW which recorded a return of 14.64%The package itself saw an overall return of 5.53% for the short position and 3.07% for the long position, providing investors with a 7.36% premium above the S&P 500’s return of -1.83% for the same time period.

Package Name: Fundamental – Low PEG Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long & Short
Forecast Length: 7 Days (12/06/2018 – 12/13/2018)
I Know First Average: 3.07% (Long) & 5.53% (Short)
Stock Market Forecast

3. High Performing 14 Day Stock Forecasts Utilizing AI
The highest returning stock from the 14 Days forecasts listed below was TSRO with a return of 63.61%. The Low P/E Stocks forecast also listed another high performing stock picks. In 14 Days, SN registered a return of 40.66%. The forecast’s overall average of 5.04% exceeded the S&P 500’s return of -1.16%. The Fundamental Package forecast had respectable returns from AGEN and HTHT. These stocks returned investors 19.82% and 8.60% respectively.  Another forecast, Bitcoin Package  saw significant returns. The algorithm had correctly predicted 4 out 4 returns. The prediction with the highest return was USD/BTC, at 9.58%. Further notable returns came from BTC/EUR and ITBIT/USD at 9.32% and 9.18%, respectively.

Package Name: Fundamental – Low P/E Stocks
Recommended Positions: Long & Short
Forecast Length: 14 Days (11/28/2018 – 12/12/2018)
I Know First Average: 5.04% (Long) & 14.24% (Short)
Algo Trading 

4. 1 Month Forecast Utilizing Deep Learning Resulted in High Yield Stock Picks
I Know First’s self-learning algorithm processes through big data to unveil investment opportunities. In this case, the forecasts resulted in high yielding stock picks, one surpassing 35.67%. In the Pharma Stocks Package forecast, a number of stocks have increased significantly. Among its picks, ENDP had the highest return of 15.48%. The I Know First forecast average reached 4.55%, resulting in a market premium of 7.33%. In the Stocks Under 10 Dollars Package forecast the algorithm had successfully predicted 10 out of 10 movements. The highest trade return came from PKD at 70,82%. The suggested trades are also for SN and BRS  with returns of 64.11% and 58.44% respectively. The overall average return in this package was 35.53%, providing investors with a 40.02% premium over the S&P 500’s return of -4.49% during the same period. In the Commodities forecast, the highest performing was PALL with a return of at 18.33%. The next highest yielding was ^JPLAT with a return of 11.66%.

Package Name: Commodities
Recommended Positions: Long&Short
Forecast Length: 1 Month (11/13/2018 – 12/13/2018)
I Know First Average: 2.91%
Commodities Price Forecast 

5. 3 Month Machine Learning Stock Forecast Resulted in Over 85.78% Yield
By effectively utilizing machine learning, I Know First’s algorithms successfully recognized various patterns to provide its subscribers with high yielding stocks in the 3 Months forecasts. Among the three listed below forecasts, each of them selected the stock pick yielding the highest return. In the Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast forecast, the highest performing stock pick was PKD with a return of 85.78% in 3 Months. In addition to PKD, ADXS and DPW had notable returns of 69.85% and 67.91% yield, respectively. The forecast’s average of 46.84% greatly surpassed the S&P 500’s 3 Months return of -10.48%The Commodities forecast also selected CME_NG1 as its top pick with a return of 49.04%^JPLAT and PALL followed with returns of 35.50% and 30.17% for the 3 Months period. In the Bovespa Stock forecast, besides ELET3.SA with a return of 61.12%, the bullish forecast also selected ELET6.SA and MULT3.SA also performed well for this time horizon with returns of 59.73% and 32.48%, respectively. 

Package Name: Risk-Conscious – Aggressive Stocks Forecast
Recommended Positions: Short
Forecast Length: 3 Months (09/14/2018 – 12/14/2018)
I Know First Average: 46.84%
High Risk High Reward Stocks 

6. Which Stock Increased By Over 321.18% in 1 Year?
I Know First’s AI algorithm selected high yielding stock picks in its given 1 Year time-frame. In the By Country – Bovespa Stock forecast, the highest returns were FIBR3.SA and BBAS3.SA. Stocks yielded investors 52.24% and 47.35% respectively. The overall average return in this Brazilian Stocks package was 22.88%, providing investors over the S&P 500’s return of 22.98% during the same period. In the Stocks Under 5 Dollars Package forecast, ARWR had amazing return of 321.18%; CRNT, and GLUU also saw outstanding returns of 92.57% and 69.61%. With these notable trade results, the package itself showed an average return of 52.22% compared to the S&P 500’s return of 22.98% for the same period. Finally, in the Currency forecast the algorithm provided predictions for USD/ARS resulting in impressive return of 117.90%.

Package Name: Stocks Under 5 Dollars
Recommended Positions: Long
Forecast Length: 1 Year (12/14/2017 – 12/14/2018)
I Know First Average: 52.22%
Best Stocks Under 5

Article Summary

1)NFLX Stock Prediction: Why You Should Avoid Investing In Netflix

Our last Netflix stock forecast focused on the streaming company’s emphasis on content creation as a means to retain and attract subscribers. Netflix has 137.1 million subscribers, can grow to 150 million next year if Netflix goes big on marketing a cheaper mobile-only subscription plan. There’s probably more than 100 million potential customers who can only afford to pay $5 or less per month despite the huge expense incurred to create original content. The stock is currently trading at a premium, and while the company has the potential to gain many new subscribers these profits will probably not be significant and there is no near-term catalyst that can boost this stock to above $300. The I Know First algorithm therefore currently has a bearish algorithm for Netflix. Read more.

2)Bitcoin Stock Forecast: Why Bitcoin Mining Is Not Profitable Anymore

Over the past few years, the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency bubble has grown and collapsed. This year it seemed that Bitcoin would stabilize at $6200 as it stayed there for month. But surprisingly it fell further down. Bitcoin is now down more than 80% from its all-time high, having plummeted since the beginning of the year. The mining of Bitcoin is of course a costly thing: mining a single bitcoin costs on average around $4758 in the US, which is under the value of the market rate for a bitcoin. Consequently, it does not make any economic sense to mine Bitcoin now. Therefore, the supply is likely to stagnate until Bitcoin crosses again the mark of around $4500. The future doesn’t look bright for Bitcoin, many analysts foresee a stagnation or continuing decline until mid 2019. Read more.

3)MSFT Stock Forecast: How Microsoft Reclaimed The Title 

Microsoft has not stopped fighting for the title and became the most valuable company before dropping to a market cap of $860 billion, slightly below Amazon and Apple once again. So how exactly has Microsoft been working to increase profit and market cap? The cloud is transforming traditional computing and Microsoft Office traditionally a computer based program was forced to change and adapt to compete with the other providers such as Google and Amazon and so Microsoft reduced its reliance on Windows software for PCs and became a major player in cloud computing. Cloud computing has been one of the major areas of growth, not only for Microsoft, but for other major players. Microsoft’s commercial cloud revenue, which primarily consists of revenue from Office 365 commercial, Azure, Dynamics 365, and other cloud properties, captures the extraordinary momentum of the cloud-driven growth engine. Read more.

4)Quantum Trading: Econophysics Can Help Predict Financial Markets
In physics, ‘Phase Transition’ can refer to the physical transition from one state to a different state within the same type of object. Today, many experts explain market conditions through basic principles derived from phase transition. In the ‘market’ the price of an instrument is determined by supply and demand. This principle of phase transition is studied by econophysicists and other scientists today using back-tests of historical empirical evidence found in the market. I Know First has a state of the art algorithm, that uses Artificial Intelligence and self-learning capabilities to predict asset price movements in the market today. The concept of phase transition occurs mainly in conditions of market instability, which is analogous to supersaturation in physics. When one paradigm has been exhausted, and the conditions are ripe for a change, then any small perturbation in the market input, such as the interest rate change, or social event (presidential elections) can bring about a large paradigm shift. Read more.

Please note-for trading decisions use the most recent forecast.

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