I Know First Review: June 21st 2014

The stocks selected here are the top performing stocks from I Know First: Daily Market Forecast’s June 21st 2013 Stock Forecast titled, Capital Gains Based on Algorithms: 57.31% Average Gain in 1 Year. The “I Know First Average” return was 57.31% versus the S&P 500’s return of 23.38% over the same time period.

Top 10 Aggressive (21st June)

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Signal (360 days): 883.66

Predictability (360 days): .63

Return: 91.94%

Alcatel-Lucent provides Internet protocol (IP) and cloud networking, and ultra-broadband fixed and wireless access to service providers and their customers, enterprises, and institutions worldwide.  Recent analysis of ALU shows that the company has been experiencing steady growth in revenues and earnings per share.  Earnings have grown nearly 74% in the last year and this has translated into an 84.97% gain in the stock price.  However, the current debt-to-equity ratio of 1.93 is quite high when compared to similar companies in the communications equipment industry.


Signal (360 days): 52.38

Predictability (360 days): .33

Return: 42.48%

Hewlett-Packard has wowed investors this year with over a 21% gain in HP’s stock price.  Last month they posted estimate beating second quarter results and investor’s seem to have faith in their long term outlook.  The key to success behind any tech company is innovation, and HP’s focus on driving innovation, reducing costs, and simplifying the organizational structure will help the company in the long run.  HP is making the right decisions to sustain its turn around, and with a P/E ratio of only 12, it looks like a good pick.


Signal (360 days): 43.72

Predictability (360 days): .66

Return: 16.37%

Ford Motor Company develops, manufactures, distributes, and services vehicles, parts, and accessories worldwide.  The company’s strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as revenue growth, solid cash flow from operations, stock price gains, and a noteworthy return on equity.  However, Ford has been struggling to grow net income and improve their bottom line.  Overall, the U.S. automaker industry is in a firm position and poised to succeed in the future.


Signal (360 days): 34.48

Predictability (360 days): .61

Return: 103.92%

Nokia Corporation is engaged in the network infrastructure, location-based technologies, and advanced technologies businesses worldwide.  The Finnish telecommunication company has seen its shares shoot up more than 103% over the past year.  In the past few months the company has secured a couple of major deals.  Nokia’s network united sealed a five year deal with Telenor, as well as Algeria-based carrier Algérie Télécom.  These partnerships will help Nokia penetrate foreign and emerging markets, leaving plenty of upside left for this $31 billion dollar company.

nikkei 225

Signal (360 days): 32.86

Predictability (360 days): .39

Return: 18.03%

The Nikkei 225 is a stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE).  ^N225 received a positive signal of 32.86 and predictability of .39.  The index returned 18.03% in accordance with the algorithmic forecast.


Signal (360 days): 31.69

Predictability (360 days): .27

Return: 134.93%

Micron Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets semiconductor solutions worldwide.  If offers dynamic random access memory (DRAM) products for data storage and retrieval that are used in computers, tablets, mobile phones, communication equipment, computer peripherals, industrial, automotive, and other electronic devices.  The company has been on a nice streaking of beating earnings estimates.  When looking at the past 2 reports, MU has beaten estimates by at least 35% in both cases.


Signal (360 days): 30.66

Predictability (360 days): .63

Return: 12.77%

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. received a positive signal 30.66 of and predictability of 0.63. The stock returned 12.77% in accordance with the algorithmic forecast. A month back (5/20) AMD introduced its second generation R-Series embedded processors code named Bald Eagle, which are successors to the original R-Series products. The new processors use AMD’s latest “Steamroller” CPU cores to target a few specific markets including gaming machines, medical imaging, digital signage, industrial control and automation (IC&A), and communications and networking infrastructure. Experts are hailing the new processors as the highest performance embedded devices for 2014, putting AMD in a good position compared to its competitors. Compared to Intel’s Haswell-based Core i7 -4765T’s score of 1424 on the 3DMark 11 benchmark suite, the AMD Bald Eagle scored 2051, a 44 percent increase for the same 35W thermal design profile. A 46 percent improvement from the AMD chip was also seen on the BasemarkCL benchmark. To further encourage users to adopt the new chips, AMD has pledged to provide 10 years of support for the chips, meaning that replacement parts will be available for at least that long. The price has not yet been released.


Signal (360 days): 28.46

Predictability (360 days): .02

Return: 14.13%

The Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) Housing Sector Index (HGX) is comprised of roughly 20 companies working in the construction industry in the United States.  Financials have soared over the past year with the housing sector in front of the pack.  The demand for single family houses has recovered, and earlier this year Chief Economist at NAHB, David Crowe, described the market as, “a shortage of buildable lots and skilled workers, rising materials prices and an extremely low inventory of new homes for sale.”  As long as the economy continues to improve, so will the housing market. merv

Signal (360 days): 25.45

Predictability (360 days): .17

Return: 139.27%

Over the past year Merval Buenos Aires(^MERV), the most important index on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, gained over 164%.  This demonstrates the strength of Argentina’s economy and the potential of investing in emerging markets.   Selected stocks mentioned from this forecast are not an endorsement for making trading decisions with these assets currently. Please make trading decisions only with the most recent forecast.

Business Disclosure: I Know First Research is the analytic branch of I Know First, a financial startup company that specializes in quantitatively predicting the stock market. This article was written by Joe Stempel, one of our interns. We did not receive compensation for this article, and we have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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