Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm | I Know First |Algorithmic Performance Archives - Page 75 of 117 - Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm

Trading NYMEX (Crude Oil) Like a Quant: 55% Annual Return

July 16, 2015

Strategy for maximizing profits trading a single commodity.

Author: Daniel Hai

While I strongly believe in good portfolio diversification I want to discuss trading a single commodity in this post, NYMEX Crude Oil futures which I Know First tracks as CL1 in the commodities forecast. The strategy is unique in that is uses the long term signal to trigger a decision; however the shortest term signal (3 Days) us used to actually execute it. First of all the results are listed below. For testing I use the QuantConnect Lean Engine which is free and open (highly recommended). As they currently dont support futures I use the United States Oil ETF (USO).

The results are an annual return of 55.5% with a sharpe ratio of 1.76 and an annual standard deviation of 22.3%.

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Home Depot Stock Forecast: Home Depot Builds Momentum

July 16, 2015

I Know First published a bullish article on Home Depot on Seeking Alpha. Having explained how I Know First’s algorithm works, it is worthwhile to see if the algorithm agrees with the bullish fundamental analysis of the company. The three-month and one-year forecast for Home Depot are included.

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Gilead Stock Analysis: Buy Ahead Of The Upcoming Earnings (GILD)

July 14, 2015

Summary

Gilead Sciences has fallen over 6% since reaching an all time high on June 23rd.
The recent pullback is a great investing opportunity for long-term investors as concerns over HCV competition are overblown.
The valuation is very cheap, and the company is reducing its reliance on the HCV market.
I Know First Algorithm is bullish on Gilead Sciences in the long-term and believe it will reach new record highs.

Long-term investors should continue adding this stock at current prices. The recent pullback is a prime investing opportunity, as this stock is the most attractive option in not only the biotech sector, but quite possible of any stock on the market. The recent news that Harvoni was approved in Japan offers plenty of extra room for revenue growth, and the market in the US is far from drying out. Along with the new TFA drug trials for HIV patients and the potential for an acquisition to bolster its oncology offerings, there is plenty to be excited about moving forward.

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ACH Stock – Quick Win: 19.63% Gain In 3 Days

July 14, 2015

ACH Stock

ACH had a signal of 8.2 and a predictability of -0.12. In accordance with the algorithm, the company reported short-term capital gains of 19.63%. Aluminum Corporation of China was part of the stock forecast that can be found in the "Risk-Conscious" Package.

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Global Market Forecast Based On Algorithms

July 13, 2015

What Happened in 2014 Globally?

I Know First is a financial services firm that utilizes an advanced self-learning algorithm to analyze, model and predict the stock market. The algorithm predicts the flow of money in almost 2000 markets across a range of time frames (e.g., 3-day, 1-month, 1-year). The algorithm’s predictability becomes stronger in the 1-month, 3-month, and 1-year horizons, so it is particularly useful as a long investment tool, albeit that it can also be used for intraday trading.

In the article “Stock

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Apple Forecast: Will the Stock be affected by the Chinese Stock Market Plunge?

July 8, 2015

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Chinese stock markets has been falling unabatedly since June 12th with the Shenzhen Composite Index leading the decline plummeting 38 percent. The crash has wiped off approximately $3.2 trillion off the markets – twice the size of India’s stock market. In order to stem the plunge of stock, 26% of firms listed on mainland exchanges suspended trading locking up $1.4 trillion worth of shares.

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GILD Stock Forecast – Quick Win: 17.30% Gain In 3 Months

July 8, 2015

Gilead Sciences was part of the stock forecast that can be found in the "Dividend Stocks" Package. The full Dividend Stocks Package includes a daily forecast for a total of 20 stocks with bullish and bearish signals: